{"id":15676,"date":"2023-02-16T07:14:22","date_gmt":"2023-02-16T12:14:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/?p=15676"},"modified":"2023-02-16T07:14:22","modified_gmt":"2023-02-16T12:14:22","slug":"thursday-february-16-2023-forecast-714am","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/?p=15676","title":{"rendered":"Thursday February 16 2023 Forecast (7:14AM)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 16-20)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A word of caution: You hear talk of a pattern change. Yes, the pattern is about to change, or technically is already in the process of doing so. But it&#8217;s not a flip-switch. It&#8217;s a slow process. The weather during the next 5 days will be very reflective of the pattern we&#8217;ve been in much of the winter. Mild. Lack of snow. We will get one cold shot, but it will be brief. The resultant weather from a larger scale pattern change won&#8217;t be showing up in this 5-day period, but focusing on that first, this is what we have coming up. Today will be kind of the opposite of yesterday, which started with clouds and went to sunshine. Today we start with the sun and trend cloudier. But with a nice temperature launch pad we will see a lot of readings approach and break 60 for highs. I don&#8217;t think we&#8217;ll see a lot of temperatures way into the 60s, as we have a weak boundary in the area cutting off some areas to the north from getting too warm, as well as a wind component off the water keeping the South Coast in check, so the warmest areas will be somewhat limited. But either way, the region will enjoy yet another mild winter day. Rainfall holds off until tonight, with the northward push of a frontal boundary, and then a wave of low pressure cuts across the Northeast, a bit closer than previously forecast, so the frontal boundary on Friday will be close, warm air shorter-lived, rainfall sooner, and temperature fall ready to take place starting at midday and onward through afternoon and evening. For the most part, any moisture will be out of here before it&#8217;s cold enough to snow. One possible exception is southern NH which may catch a few snow showers on the back side of departing low pressure as the front pulls offshore during Friday afternoon. I do expect a gusty wind to dry the ground off for the most part before temperatures fall well below freezing Friday evening, but any areas that remain wet will quickly freeze over, so keep that in mind if driving or walking on any untreated surfaces. We have a dry weekend ahead as high pressure approaches Saturday, and moves just to the south of the region Saturday night and eventually off the Atlantic Coast by later Sunday. Saturday will be a breezy and seasonably cold day, with moderating temperatures and less wind Sunday. A low pressure disturbance will approach from the west later Sunday night into Monday, igniting a weak secondary low over or just east of our region during Monday. This won&#8217;t be a big deal for us, just a weaker system with some unsettled weather in the form of rain showers with air on the mild side.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>TODAY: Partly sunny early then mainly cloudy. Late-day rain possible. Highs 57-64, coolest in southern NH and the northern half of central and eastern MA, warmest southern interior MA, northeastern CT, and northern RI, with highs of 50-57 South Coast. Wind SW-S up to 10 MPH may shift to SE or E for a while in areas near and north of I-90.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>TONIGHT: Cloudy. Rain likely evening. Lows 50-57. Wind S-SW 10-20 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>FRIDAY: Mainly cloudy through midday including a period of rain showers, possibly heavy, from west to east across the region. Sun\/cloud mix thereafter but a brief snow shower possible parts of southern NH, maybe clipping northeastern MA. Highs 55-62 morning, then falling temperature afternoon. Wind SW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts shifting to NW.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>FRIDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 18-25. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill below 10 at times.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SATURDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 32-39. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 17-24. Wind W under 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 45-52. Wind W 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 35-42. Wind S 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Highs 43-50. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 21-25)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Gradual impact of pattern change starts to show up during this period. Fair\/breezy\/cool to start and probably returning at the end of the period. Between a complex low pressure system moves through from west to east, probably as mainly rain for our area, but can&#8217;t rule out a colder trend and some mix\/snow involved before the system is finished impacting the area. Southeast ridge weakens and colder air to north and northwest is closer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 26 \u2013 MARCH 2)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Newer weather pattern more evident during this period with a couple of low pressure areas potentially impacting the region with a variety of precipitation including frozen stuff, and an overall colder temperature regime. Details to be worked out in the days ahead.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 16-20) A word of caution: You hear talk of a pattern change. Yes, the pattern is about to change, or technically is already in the process of doing so. But it&#8217;s not a flip-switch. It&#8217;s a slow process. The weather during the next 5 days will be very reflective of the pattern &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/?p=15676\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Thursday February 16 2023 Forecast (7:14AM)<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15676","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-weather"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15676","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=15676"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15676\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15677,"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15676\/revisions\/15677"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=15676"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=15676"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=15676"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}