{"id":16393,"date":"2023-08-14T07:04:28","date_gmt":"2023-08-14T11:04:28","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/?p=16393"},"modified":"2023-08-14T10:10:24","modified_gmt":"2023-08-14T14:10:24","slug":"monday-august-14-2023-forecast-704am","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/?p=16393","title":{"rendered":"Monday August 14 2023 Forecast (7:04AM)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 14-18)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A small area of high pressure brings drier air in today, but a lot of mid level moisture in place will mean the sky won&#8217;t be sunny all day. We&#8217;ll have a fair amount of mid level cloudiness to deal with, but with breaks and thin spots to allow sun at times, especially north of I-90, before it thickens up again by day&#8217;s end. Low pressure approaching from the west is going to try to pull a warm front through the region tonight and Tuesday, but as trends have been south on this, and it still looks that way, the front may never get north of the I-90 belt, if it even makes it that far, before being pushed back to the south. An initial thrust of moisture will bring fairly widespread showers with some embedded downpours and possible thunder overnight into Tuesday morning, basically the first 8 to 10 hours of Tuesday, before a break. If the frontal boundary makes it onto the SNE landmass, areas along and south of it stand the chance of some heavier showers\/storms with possible severe weather later Tuesday as a wave of low pressure moves by. A boundary position further south would mitigate the severe weather chance and just mean showers for a while. Either way, this frontal boundary will then pull adequately southeastward to allow drying and the return of fair weather for Wednesday. A cool pool above will ignite diurnal clouds but I still feel any shower threat will remain north of our region. Current timing suggests that the next trough and frontal system arrives after a fair weather daytime Thursday, and swings through quickly enough that a shower and limited thunderstorm threat takes place for a 12 to 15 hour period from about midnight Thursday night \/ Friday morning to mid afternoon Friday. The earlier timing would lessen the chance of stronger storms Friday due to lack of adequate solar heating, but if this system is a couple to a few hours slower, that chance would go up, and last longer. This will be something to monitor as we move through the week. Something we won&#8217;t be needing to monitor this week: hot weather. Temperatures so far this month are running generally 1 to 3 F below normal, and this lack-of-heat portion of the pattern will continue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>TODAY: Lots of clouds \/ partial sun. Highs 77-84. Dew point near 60. Wind variable to S up to 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>TONIGHT: Cloudy. Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms overnight. Areas of fog overnight, especially near the coast. Lows 61-68. Dew point 60+. Wind SE under 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>TUESDAY: Cloudy. Showers and embedded thunderstorms possible in eastern areas early, then favoring areas south of I-90 later in the day. Areas of fog, especially in the morning. Highs 68-75. Dew point 60s. Wind SE-E up to 10 MPH except variable to S 5-15 MPH near the South Coast.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms early, favoring the South Coast region, then clearing. Patchy ground fog. Lows 61-68. Dew point 60+. Wind variable to W up to 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>WEDNESDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 78-85. Dew point under 60. Wind W 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 58-65. Dew point falling to near 50. Wind W under 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>THURSDAY: Sun followed by clouds. Highs 77-84. Dew point 50s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Showers and possible thunderstorms, especially overnight. Areas of fog. Lows 60-67. Dew point near 60. Wind S 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>FRIDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms until mid afternoon. Highs 78-85. Wind W 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 19-23)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A low pressure trough will sit to the north of the region with a west northwest air flow out of Canada bringing dry weather and near seasonable temperatures for the August 19-20 weekend. The August 21-23 period will feature a little more of a battle between this drier northwesterly flow and an attempt by warmer, more humid air to push back in from the southwest, which can bring some unsettled weather if the boundary is nearby. Favoring a drier scenario over wetter as the northwest flow should win out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 24-28)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trends are for a more persistent west and northwest flow than previously indicated which may continue to limit or even eliminate a hot weather threat and keep it on the drier side with just brief shower chances.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 14-18) A small area of high pressure brings drier air in today, but a lot of mid level moisture in place will mean the sky won&#8217;t be sunny all day. We&#8217;ll have a fair amount of mid level cloudiness to deal with, but with breaks and thin spots to allow sun at &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/?p=16393\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Monday August 14 2023 Forecast (7:04AM)<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16393","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-weather"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16393","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=16393"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16393\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16395,"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16393\/revisions\/16395"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=16393"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=16393"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=16393"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}