{"id":16834,"date":"2023-11-30T08:22:57","date_gmt":"2023-11-30T13:22:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/?p=16834"},"modified":"2023-11-30T10:25:19","modified_gmt":"2023-11-30T15:25:19","slug":"thursday-november-30-2023-forecast-822am","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/?p=16834","title":{"rendered":"Thursday November 30 2023 Forecast (8:22AM)"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 30 \u2013 DECEMBER 4)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>High pressure to our south will provide a fair, slightly milder day to end November. The early days of December hold some unsettled weather for us. The precise details of how it plays out are still coming into focus but the basic idea is this. A warm front lifts northward into the region on Friday with a shot of light rainfall arriving late in the day end moving out late at night. The boundary I called a warm front initially will sag back to the south as a cold front, eventually to become quasi-stationary during the weekend just to our south. Clouds dominate most of the weekend, but rainfall will be limited, with perhaps a shot of it early Sunday from a weak low pressure wave moving along the frontal boundary, and a more widespread rain arriving Sunday night into Monday with a slightly stronger low moving along the boundary. Currently there is inconsistency from run to run with any single model and non-consensus between different models regarding the play-out of this portion of the unsettled weather event. My leaning based on the meteorology of the situation is for a low pressure wave that moves right across southeastern New England and air too mild to support much in the way of frozen precipitation, hence my forecast wording of &#8220;rain&#8221;. I&#8217;ll watch for colder air to become involved in a substantial enough way to potentially allow the system to end as a mix or some frozen stuff, particularly north and west of Boston, but that&#8217;s more detail than I want to dive into in a situation far too uncertain for a day 5 forecast. As always, fine-tuning takes place in the next few forecasts posts. You can also check out comments I post for new insight on the potential.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>TODAY: Sun\/cloud mix southern NH and northern MA with full sun elsewhere this morning. Sunshine and a few high clouds this afternoon. Highs 40-47. Wind WSW 5-15 MPH, a few gusts around 20 MPH South Coast.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 30-37. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>FRIDAY: Clouding up. Late-day light rain. Highs 46-51. Wind S 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Light rain evening. Patchy fog overnight. Lows 36-41. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SATURDAY: Cloudy. Foggy areas early. Highs 42-49. Wind N up to 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of light rain overnight. Lows 35-42. Wind N-NE up to 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SUNDAY: Cloudy. Chance of light rain early. Rain likely late in the day. Highs 42-49. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain likely. Areas of fog. Lows 35-42. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>MONDAY: Cloudy. Rain likely in the morning, ending during the afternoon. Highs 42-49 early, may fall into the 30s before day&#8217;s end. Wind N 10-20 MPH, potential for higher gusts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>DAYS 6-10 (DECEMBER 5-9)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Blocking pattern evolves to put most low pressure far enough south to keep us mainly dry with just an upper trough potentially bringing a few rain and\/or snow showers into the middle of this week, followed by a fair weather trend as high pressure takes over. Temperatures generally close to normal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>DAYS 11-15 (DECEMBER 10-14)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Into mid December we go with a pattern that features a loss of blocking, a return to more zonal flow, more active weather but not seeing &#8220;medium-range-reliable&#8221; signals for major storms or major temperature swings during this particular period.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 30 \u2013 DECEMBER 4) High pressure to our south will provide a fair, slightly milder day to end November. The early days of December hold some unsettled weather for us. The precise details of how it plays out are still coming into focus but the basic idea is this. A warm front &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/?p=16834\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Thursday November 30 2023 Forecast (8:22AM)<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16834","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-weather"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16834","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=16834"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16834\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16838,"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16834\/revisions\/16838"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=16834"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=16834"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.woodshill.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=16834"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}