DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 5-9)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
We’ve one more hot summer day before a pattern change cools us down. Humidity levels ease up today compared to the weekend though with a little down sloping westerly wind today. A cold front approaches from the northwest and increases our chance of seeing showers and thunderstorms, but the timing looks late, as in tonight, for the best chance of such activity, so the loss of solar heating is likely to limit activity in the absence of other strong dynamics. With the frontal boundary still slogging its way through the region for a portion of Tuesday, there can be showers, especially along and south of the boundary, during the morning hours, before a break. But the boundary never gets that far to the south and another ripple of low pressure moving along it will bring the shower threat break to the region Tuesday night. Timing of this area suggests a drying trend on Wednesday. Temperatures Tuesday and Wednesday will be considerably cooler than they have been recently, and the dew point will be lower, but not down into the crisp category. You’ll notice a difference though. And now we get to talk a little about Debby’s potential impacts up here, and much like I stated yesterday, the range of possibilities with that system remains very wide. Ensemble spread for the forecast of the low position itself, let alone any swaths of moisture that can extend hundreds of miles away from it, range up to about 500 miles, or more, for the late week period. I currently envision a scenario where the low center stays far to the south, meandering around the South Carolina Coast before being drawn back inland, and bands of moisture breaking off and heading north, at least for some distance. How far? That’s a good question. I am currently thinking that high pressure will hold everything to the south on Thursday, with a fair weather day here. The big question is really Friday \/ Saturday. I can see a scenario where high pressure is being under-forecast by guidance and it holds to keep our region dry one, or even both days, possibly allowing one arm of mid level moisture to pass by during that time, or even forcing it to the west, with surface high pressure sinking off to the southeast and allowing us to turn warmer and tropical, but not so rainy. A scenario of weaker high pressure could allow much more rain to get up this far north, but this scenario is one I am currently leaning away from as far as this 5-day forecast time frame is concerned. Needless to say, the forecast beyond 72 hours is very low confidence and subject to major tweaks the next few days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TODAY: Sunshine dominates, clouds increase late. Highs 78-85 Cape Cod, 85-92 elsewhere. Dew point gradually lowers from upper to middle 60s. Wind W 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Potential showers and thunderstorms late evening into overnight, with greatest potential for activity north and west of Boston. Areas of fog forming. Lows 62-69. Dew point in 60s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH but can be stronger and gusty around any storms.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Shower chances are greatest in the morning mainly near and south of I-90. Highs 71-78. Dew point lower 60s. Wind variable to N-NE up to 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Chance of showers. Lows 60-67. Dew point 60+. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and patchy fog morning. Thinning \/ breaking clouds afternoon, especially north of I-90. Highs 71-78. Dew point in 60s. Wind E up to 10 MPH becoming variable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 61-68. Dew point near 60. Wind variable under 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 73-80. Dew point 60+. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY: Variably cloudy. Potential for showers. Lows 60-67. Highs 75-82. Dew point 60+. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 10-14)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Very low confidence forecast for the August 10-11 weekend but seeing a humid spell with the greater chance of shower activity later in the weekend based on the scenario I feel is most likely to take place regarding Debby. Early next week starts humid then trends drier, shower chances decrease. Significant heat is not in the forecast.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 15-19)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Temperatures run near to a little below normal with a couple of episodes of unsettled weather to interrupt a mostly quiet pattern.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 5-9) We’ve one more hot summer day before a pattern change cools us down. Humidity levels ease up today compared to the weekend though with a little down sloping westerly wind today. A cold front approaches from the northwest and increases our chance of seeing showers and thunderstorms, but the timing looks … Continue reading Monday August 5 2024 Forecast (8:09AM)<\/span>