DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 6-10)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
We’ve flipped to a cooler regime for a while, saying goodbye to the heat with the arrival of a cold front and shower activity early this morning. Temperatures will be running below seasonal normals now for a few days, most noticeable today and Wednesday. While dew points are down over the often-70-or-higher readings we’ve had recently, they will still be in the 60+ degree range much of the time through midweek, so it’s still “humid” by definition, but not as uncomfortable with the lower dew point readings combined with cooler air. Along with this though we have some unsettled weather, with 2 main areas of showers, one coming through this morning, and another later tonight into Wednesday morning. We can get some breaks of sun, especially north of I-90, this afternoon, and a little bit more substantial clearing from northwest to southeast Wednesday afternoon and night as we get a push of drier air from Canadian high pressure. This small bubble of high pressure is going to deliver a decent weather day Thursday with more sun and fairly comfortable air, though clouds will already be making a comeback from south to north during the afternoon and evening. These clouds are associated with what will be the remains of Debby, which came ashore as a category 1 hurricane in northwestern Florida and is currently causing flooding rainfall in the Southeast (Georgia \/ Carolinas) as a tropical storm. On yesterday’s discussion, written early in the day, I leaned toward a scenario that would keep Debby meandering around that area while it weakened from a tropical storm to a tropical depression, the full impact not felt up here until later in the coming weekend, but shortly thereafter I saw a quick convergence of most reliable guidance toward the other main scenario on the table, and have continued to see that since, so with that overwhelming forecast evidence the scenario described today is different, and has a profound impact on the forecast for later this week. Current thinking is that we’ll have 2 “arms” of moisture come through as Debby weakens to a depression, transitions to non-tropical, and accelerates north then northeast, probably even more quickly than the current NHC forecast indicates. This would bring us a showery episode on Friday, probably as early as pre-dawn and maybe for several hours into the day before we broke into a tropical air mass with just scattered showers. Then as the low center that was Debby accelerates northeastward, passing northwest of the WHW forecast area, we’d get into a band of heavier showers and embedded thunderstorms Friday night into part of Saturday, which would have an abrupt shut-off as the system pulled through and started to accelerate away. This acceleration may actually lead to fair weather for the majority of Saturday, but that is not quite certain yet (at day 5).<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TODAY: Overcast with showers and patchy fog likely morning to midday. Thinning clouds with partial sun especially north of I-90 in the afternoon. Thickening clouds across the region again west to east by the end of the day. Highs 70-77. Dew point 70+ early then lowering gradually into the 60s. Wind variable mainly N to E 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TONIGHT: Cloudy. Widespread showers return from west to east, may be heaviest south of I-90 including embedded thunderstorms. Areas of fog. Lows 60-67. Dew point 60+. Wind E up to 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy with patchy fog dissipating and showers ending in the morning. Thinning \/ breaking clouds in the afternoon with some sun. Highs 68-75, coolest coast. Dew point 60+. Wind E up to 10 MPH, becoming variable late in the day. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 61-68. Dew point near 60. Wind variable under 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 73-80. Dew point 60+. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Widespread showers arrive south to north. Areas of fog overnight. Lows 65-72. Dew point 65+. Wind SE to S up to 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely, most widespread morning to midday. Areas of fog morning. Highs 72-79. Dew point 65+. Wind S 5-15 MPH, higher gusts possible.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with showers likely, potentially heavy, including a chance of thunderstorms. Areas of fog. Lows 68-75. Dew point 68+. Wind S 5-15 MPH, higher gusts possible.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
SATURDAY: Cloudy with showers \/ downpours and a chance of thunderstorms morning. Clearing afternoon. Highs 75-82, occurring late. Dew point 70+ morning, falling to 60s afternoon. Wind S 10-20 MPH, higher gusts, shifting to SW.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 11-15)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Larger scale pattern puts a low amplitude trough over the Northeast with a general westerly air flow, surface high pressure in the Great Lakes and low pressure in eastern Canada. A few days can see diurnal shower development (August 12-14 most likely) but for the most part this looks like a fairly dry pattern with temperatures averaging a little below normal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 16-20)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Temperatures run near to a little below normal with a couple of episodes of unsettled weather in an otherwise mostly quiet pattern.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 6-10) We’ve flipped to a cooler regime for a while, saying goodbye to the heat with the arrival of a cold front and shower activity early this morning. Temperatures will be running below seasonal normals now for a few days, most noticeable today and Wednesday. While dew points are down over the … Continue reading Tuesday August 6 2024 Forecast (8:25AM)<\/span>