DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 8-12)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Dry, cooler weather will be with us today and into the extended weekend, but we won’t get through the entire weekend with an unsettled interruption. First, high pressure provides plenty of sun and dry air today. A cold front passes with no fanfare other than a gusty breeze this evening, setting us back to seasonably chilly levels for Saturday and Sunday. Saturday’s sky will be blue with passing fair weather clouds popping up, while Sunday’s will feature an increase in high to middle clouds west to east. This will be as the next trough and frontal system approaches from the west, but like many of its predecessors, it is not likely to produce significant rain, which we need to quell ongoing high fire danger and expanding drought. I just expect a period of rain Sunday night and an additional rain shower early Monday (Veterans Day), with dry air arriving quickly enough so that outdoor ceremonies for the holiday won’t likely be rained on. In fact, Monday looks fairly mild, albeit breezy, as the fair weather returns. High pressure builds in with fair, dry weather for Tuesday as the pattern goes on.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TODAY: Sunshine. Highs 55-62. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusts 20-25 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 28-35 southern NH and central MA, 35-42 Boston area to South Coast. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusts up to 20 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear followed by high clouds. Lows 25-32. Wind calm.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
SUNDAY: Thickening clouds. Highs 46-53. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. A period of rain. Areas of fog. Temperatures steady or rising slightly. Wind S 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
MONDAY (VETERANS DAY): Cloudy with a chance of rain showers early, then a sun\/cloud mix. Highs 60-67. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
MONDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 37-44. Wind W 5-15 MPH, diminishing late.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TUESDAY: Sunny. Highs 48-55. Wind NW5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 13-17)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
There’s been a lot of difference between two major medium range models of late, and I don’t often mention models by name on my discussion, but here I will. GFS (US model) has had a tendency to over-amplify and over-block the pattern beyond 5 days recently, while the ECMWF (European model) has done a better overall job with the pattern, even if missing some details. We see this again on the most recent runs with the GFS hinting toward a more amplified northern stream creating a slower-moving storm to impact our region late next week. Run-to-run variation has been significant, with little ensemble support (many runs of the same model with minor adjustments). This indicates to me that the guidance is struggling with the pattern. The ECMWF paints a picture of “more of the same”. While the most recent run does indicate a “stronger” system there, it doesn’t slow it down, and doesn’t consolidate it in such a way to deliver beneficial precipitation to our region. Granted, this is still far enough away that many solutions are technically “on the table”, but given recent performance and the current \/ ongoing pattern, I remain with the same outlook of a brief unsettled interruption around the middle of this period and otherwise mainly dry weather and variable temperatures. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 17-21)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Still nothing that screams big pattern change to me – more of the same.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 8-12) Dry, cooler weather will be with us today and into the extended weekend, but we won’t get through the entire weekend with an unsettled interruption. First, high pressure provides plenty of sun and dry air today. A cold front passes with no fanfare other than a gusty breeze this evening, setting … Continue reading Friday November 8 2024 Forecast (7:25AM)<\/span>