DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 7-11)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
While the media is in a frenzy about computer model runs, I continue to look at the weather situation from an objective scientific point of view, and today’s prognostication will look a lot like the one posted 24 hours prior. The theme for today through midweek is cold, dry, and breezy \/ windy, on the back side of a large low pressure circulation in Atlantic Canada – part of a large scale blocking pattern that has been steering storms to our south and then collecting their remnants in a giant whirlpool of air to our northeast. This continues, with largely dry weather for our region. While I can’t rule out a passing snow flurry today and Wednesday, a trough coming around the back side of the aforementioned low pressure area enhances the snow shower chance on Thursday, and we’ll have to monitor these for the potential of delivering some minor accumulation to portions of the region. Behind this, a gusty northerly breeze continues Friday, but that day should be absent of snow shower chances. Now to “day 5”, a day that has been overly focused on too far in advance because of computerized atmospheric simulations, some of which have shown an epic snowstorm – and the vast majority of which have not, but have been often ignored in the name of hype, views, and clicks. Well, keeping it real, yes there is a “threat” of a storm system of some kind as we get to the weekend. There will be a storm system coming out of the South and heading for the Mid Atlantic Coast, and another “piece of energy” in the form of a trough swinging our way via the Great Lakes. Both of these are likely to be impacted by the blocking pattern in place, which will have shifted barely enough to allow the Atlantic Canada low to nudge eastward, but not far enough to exert its influence on the southern system, which is more likely than not to begin missing the region to the south, or maybe grazing our region’s southern reaches, during Saturday, while what remains of the northern energy brings us a snow shower threat. Obvious monitoring and refining of this outlook as necessary, and I’ll speak of it as needed in the comments and more thoroughly on tomorrow’s post.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TODAY: Partly cloudy. A passing snow shower possible with potential dustings. Highs 22-29. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, gusts around 30 MPH. Wind chill often under 20.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TONIGHT: Mostly clear to partly cloudy. Lows 10-17. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusts above 20 MPH. Wind chill below 10 at times.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. A possible snow shower. Highs 22-29. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, gusts around 30 MPH. Wind chill often under 20.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Isolated snow showers. Lows 10-17. Wind N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill occasional under 10.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Scattered snow showers likely with minor spotty accumulation possible. Highs 23-30. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill below 20 at times.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 11-18. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 27-34. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 12-19. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow showers. Highs 26-33. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 12-16)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Clouds and snow showers can linger into the late weekend (January 12), otherwise looks like more dry and cold weather on tap heading into next week – maybe a snow shower threat mid period period with a disturbance in the northwesterly air flow (about January 14).<\/p>\n\n\n\n
DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 17-21)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Mid to late period snow potential but highly uncertain scenario. Temperatures generally below normal.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 7-11) While the media is in a frenzy about computer model runs, I continue to look at the weather situation from an objective scientific point of view, and today’s prognostication will look a lot like the one posted 24 hours prior. The theme for today through midweek is cold, dry, and breezy … Continue reading Tuesday January 7 2025 Forecast (7:21AM)<\/span>