8:03AM<\/p>\n
A trend back east with Irene’s track on some of the major computer models indicates they are correcting their too-far-westward shift of the day before, in my opinion, and we’ll be happy at this point we did not jump on the “westward-ho-go-the-models” band wagon. Don’t like to do it with winter storms, don’t like to do it with tropical cyclones. So all in all the same general idea applies on this morning’s forecast. Irene will skirt NC and move N to NNE just offshore the Delmarva & NJ during the next couple of days on its way to an eventual Long Island NY & South Coast of New England landfall late Sunday, and from there a path across MA, odds favoring central parts of the state, and on into NH and Maine, then long gone by the late night of Sunday when the stars may already be shining. And as we have been talking about in the discussions and comments, this should be a classic New England hurricane, losing tropical characteristics as it accelerates through, but maintaining enough strength to be significant, with the eastern side being the big wind side (along with the storm surge at the coast), and the western side being the big rain side.<\/p>\n
Don’t forget that hurricanes and tropical storms can produce isolated tornadoes, especially on their eastern sides when moving northward. This is not meant to alarm anybody, but just to make you aware that they are possible.<\/p>\n
This is by no means the final call on Irene’s path! There are still conditions that exist that can effect both the track and expected strength of this hurricane.<\/p>\n
Look for updates during the course of the day in the comments section below, mostly from some of my readers, as I will be out of town most of the day (will check in via mobile).<\/p>\n
Updated Boston Area Forecast…<\/p>\n
TODAY: Mostly sunny, warm, and humid. High 81-86. Wind W up to 10 MPH shifting to S.<\/p>\n
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy, mild, and muggy. Low 64-69. Wind S up to 10 MPH.<\/p>\n
SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy, warm, and very humid. Isolated showers in the morning. Scattered showers in the afternoon, a few of which may be heavy. High 73-78. Wind S to SE 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n
SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Episodes of tropical showers, heavy at times. Chance of thunderstorms. Areas of fog, possibly dense at times. Low 64-69. Wind SE to S 5-15 MPH.<\/p>\n
SUNDAY: Overcast. Fog possible in the morning. Tropical showers most numerous in the morning, likely heavy at times with a chance of thunderstorms as well. Showers may become less numerous for a time in the afternoon before a core of heavy rain approaches from the SSW as early as the end of the afternoon or early evening. Mild with tropical humidity. High 70-75. Wind varying from SE to S mostly 10-20 MPH during the day with higher gusts, increasing to 25-45 MPH and stronger with powerful gusts possible in the evening, greatest chance of strong tropical storm to hurricane force wind gusts will be at coastal and higher elevations. Isolated tornadoes are possible, but not likely.<\/p>\n
SUNDAY NIGHT: Conditions the same as Sunday evening before improving as rain ends from south to north and clouds break during the night. Still mild and very humid. Low 65-70. Wind, dependent on the exact path, should shift from S to SW then W at least 25-45 MPH sustained, possibly stronger, with higher gusts (these directions could change if the center of the storm is closer, and we will detail that as things become more clear, closer to the event).<\/p>\n
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Warm and humid. High 80-85. Wind W 15-30 MPH and gusty, diminishing slowly.<\/p>\n
TUESDAY: Sunny. Low 58. High 79.<\/p>\n
WEDNESDAY: Sunny. Low 56. High 78.<\/p>\n
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 62. High 83.<\/p>\n
FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Low 63. High 82.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
8:03AM A trend back east with Irene’s track on some of the major computer models indicates they are correcting their too-far-westward shift of the day before, in my opinion, and we’ll be happy at this point we did not jump on the “westward-ho-go-the-models” band wagon. Don’t like to do it with winter storms, don’t like … Continue reading Great Day Today, And Then…<\/span>