9:17AM<\/p>\n
DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 30-APRIL 3)
\nThe final weekend of March is a lesson in putting too much stock into forecasts several days in advance. Some of them would have had you believe it was a lock beach-style weekend. Even my own forecast hinted at 70+. I put caveats in, maybe not strongly enough. As the days went on we were looking at 2 “usual suspects” that appear this time of year, one being a frontal boundary from the north and the other being the ocean’s influence. Both come into play in at least delaying some warmth and modifying some temperatures. The second of the two was never in doubt. The first, in doubt initially, was something fine-tuned through the week. And the running forecast the last couple of days heading toward this weekend depicted a scenario that will be reasonably close to what happens. The third wildcard regarding the weekend was the timing of a cold front from the west on Sunday. Later timing, warmer with later showers. Earlier timing, a wetter day and turning much cooler. It turns out the answer is really somewhere in between those. It’ll start out mild, showers won’t rush in, but they will arrive later, and we will see a temperature drop-off before the day is over from west to east. So you see, sometimes weather forecasting is pretty simple, like forecasting a sunny day with light wind and a sea breeze the other day with high pressure atop the region, and sometimes it’s nothing like that, with many players to take into account. Once we get beyond this, the first 3 days of April will showcase the forecast contrast yet again, with an easy chilly\/dry Monday forecast then a more complex and uncertain outlook for later Tuesday and Wednesday as we monitor the evolution of an offshore storm that likely gets close enough to at least put its cloud shield over the area, and may be close enough to at least graze the region with its precipitation shield as well, and that precipitation shield may be occurring with air cold enough to support something other than just rain. So it’ll be time to get the fine-tuning knobs ready once again. Spring in New England!
\nForecast details…
\nTODAY: Mostly cloudy, gradually becoming partly cloudy from south to north. Highs 54-71, coolest South Coast, warmest interior valleys, but warmest readings not being reached in northern areas until late day. Wind light E gradually shifting to S and SW increasing to 5-15 MPH from south to north.
\nTONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 48-55. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
\nSUNDAY: Variably cloudy. Rain showers crossing the region west to east during the afternoon. Highs 48-55 South Coast, 56-63 most other areas but 64-71 possible some interior areas. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to W late in the day.
\nSUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with rain showers possible eastern areas early, then clearing. Lows 30-37. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
\nMONDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 38-45. Wind NW 15-25 MPH.
\nMONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 28-35. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
\nTUESDAY: Clouding up. Highs 40-47. Wind light N to E.
\nTUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain\/mix\/snow possible favoring southern and eastern areas. Lows 30-37. Wind N 10-20 MPH and gusty.
\nWEDNESDAY: Cloudy with a chance of rain morning. Clearing afternoon. Highs 43-50. Wind NW 10-20 MPH and gusty.<\/p>\n
DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 4-8)
\nCurrent expected timing of systems would bring an upper disturbance across the region with some cloudiness April 4, a small area of high pressure with fair and milder weather April 5, a low pressure area with unsettled weather April 6, improving and milder weather April 7, and a front from the north with a chill-down April 8.<\/p>\n
DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 9-13)
\nExpecting some up and down temperatures with fair weather to start and end the period and some unsettled weather in between.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
9:17AM DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 30-APRIL 3) The final weekend of March is a lesson in putting too much stock into forecasts several days in advance. Some of them would have had you believe it was a lock beach-style weekend. Even my own forecast hinted at 70+. I put caveats in, maybe not strongly enough. As … Continue reading Saturday Forecast<\/span>