7:37AM<\/p>\n
DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 18-22)
\nWe start this late autumn day with a winterish issue, and that is pockets of icing where drizzle is occurring over some inland locations. Surfaces are just cold enough in some cases, especially untreated walks, stairs, overpasses, etc., for some very light glazing as the drizzle falls into air that sits just below freezing, so be careful if you are heading out and test surfaces before you fully commit to them. The issue won’t last long, even though some areas of light rain will be moving in as an ocean storm passes by today, because temperatures will rise to above freezing in all areas, although not that far above, making it a very chilly and raw mid November day. Incidentally, some locations will receive more rainfall from a follow-up disturbance crossing the region Tuesday morning than they see today, and that ran may mix with or even end as snow with borderline temperatures over interior higher elevations by midday Tuesday. Beyond that, the departure of this system and the further offshore evolution of another storm Wednesday mean gusty and chilly but drier weather into midweek. If there is a pick of this 5-day period it will no doubt be Thursday, as it will be fair and slightly milder as high pressure passes to the south of the region. However the mildest day of the stretch will be Friday, but the trade-off will be rain showers returning as low pressure tracks north of the region and drags a warm front through very early in the day and a cold front across the region later.
\nForecast details…
\nTODAY: Overcast. Areas of drizzle, some freezing drizzle especially interior locations west of I-95 through mid morning. Periods of light rain (maybe briefly heavier Cape Cod) mid morning on. Highs 33-40. Wind NE-N 5-15 MPH interior, 15-25 MPH coast, gusts 30-50 MPH possible Cape Ann and Cape Cod. Minor coastal flooding around high tide times.
\nTONIGHT: Overcast. Periods of light rain evening. Areas of drizzle. Temperatures steady 33-40. Wind N 10-20 MPH, higher gusts especially coastal areas and higher elevations, during the evening before diminishing somewhat overnight.
\nTUESDAY: Cloudy morning with a period of rain that may mix with or briefly turn to snow before ending over interior higher elevations, but no snow accumulation. Mostly cloudy afternoon. Highs 38-45. Wind variable to W 5-15 MPH.
\nTUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 28-35. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
\nWEDNESDAY: Partly sunny to mostly cloudy. Highs 38-45. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts especially Cape Cod.
\nWEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 30-37. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
\nTHURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 45-52. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
\nTHURSDAY NIGHT: Clouding up. A period of light rain possible northern MA \/ southern NH overnight. Lows 38-45. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.
\nFRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely, mainly afternoon. Highs 48-55. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.<\/p>\n
DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 23-27)
\nThe weekend before Thanksgiving and the days leading up to the holiday are big food shopping and travel days, along with a handful of regular (or irregular) work commutes, and are vulnerable to foul weather. The weather pattern during this period, likely to be dominated by a fast west to east flow, makes it a little difficult to pin down what will happen so many days in advance. For example, 3 different medium range models have 3 different solutions for the November 23-25 period. What I do know is that we will likely watch a low pressure system or two passing south of the region sometime between late November 23 and November 25, but it is not clear at this point whether or not it will be close enough to impact the weather directly in southern New England. If I had to venture a gut feeling guess, it’s that after a shot of cold air for November 23, one low will come by and close enough for at least cloudiness and possible brief rain\/mix as it passes by to the south early November 24, with a second one also passing south of the region November 25. This would be followed by fair weather and typical November chill for November 26, and then we would have to watch for another system from the west by the end of the period – way too far out for details.<\/p>\n
DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 28-DECEMBER 2)
\nIf the 6-10 DAY is low confidence, you can be assured that this further-out-in-time period is even lower confidence. I believe the overall jet stream will be a fast-flowing west to east but appearing like somebody creating waves in a rope. So the only thing I can say is that while it may not be outright stormy it may be active with several changes in the weather to track. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
7:37AM DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 18-22) We start this late autumn day with a winterish issue, and that is pockets of icing where drizzle is occurring over some inland locations. Surfaces are just cold enough in some cases, especially untreated walks, stairs, overpasses, etc., for some very light glazing as the drizzle falls into air that … Continue reading Monday Forecast<\/span>