Wednesday February 8 2023 Forecast (6:58AM)

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 8-12)

Our weather pattern will be a mild one overall but holds several weather changes as we move through the remainder of this week and over the weekend. One must remember that a “mild” pattern in the winter doesn’t mean you can’t have winter weather issues. Last night, a frontal boundary crossed the region with a brief period of precipitation, falling as mostly rain and sleet, with some of that rain falling as freezing rain especially west and north of Boston and over some interior portions of southeastern MA and northern RI as well. This leaves untreated surfaces where the precipitation fell on the slick side in these areas early this morning, and this will be an issue until the temperature rises above freezing in these locations, so anybody venturing out this morning please take note of these and be safe. Otherwise, a nice winter day can be expected as high pressure dominates. But don’t get used to any persistence, as additional changes are ahead. A warm front approaches Thursday, bringing clouds back in and a period of rain, which may start as some snow and sleet over interior southern NH and central MA. The low pressure area parenting this front will track northwest of our region and its fairly weak cold front will come across the region Thursday night with some rain shower activity. Behind this front however is not much in the way of cooling, in fact, quite the opposite because the air will be sufficiently modified and the upper pattern supports a surge of mild air, with high temperatures on Friday that may challenge some records. The question is how much sun do we get? Not sure we clear enough to support the record-breaking temperatures, but it is a potential. Heading into the weekend there are a couple more questions to be answered. A secondary front coming through on Saturday will send our temperatures back to a more seasonable chill during the course of the weekend. There will be two waves of low pressure to keep an eye on. Low pressure wave number 1 will pass south of the region Friday night and Saturday. Guidance has trended a bit further south with this system and it does appear that most of the precipitation will remain to the south of New England. What does reach the region would most likely be limited to the South Coast and be in the form of rain sometime Friday night into Saturday. The second low pressure wave carries a little more uncertainty and may surge its way into a little more of southern New England by later Sunday. If its precipitation shield does make it in, the odds of some frozen precipitation being involved would be a little higher with colder air in place. This will be watched closely and fine-tuned as we get closer to it…

TODAY: Clouds give way to sun. Highs 41-48. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 24-31. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of rain mid to late afternoon that may begin as snow or sleet well north and west of Boston. Highs 43-50 occurring late in the day. Wind variable to SE up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with a chance of rain in the evening, drizzle and patchy fog overnight. Lows 38-45. Wind SE to S 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 53-60. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of rain favoring the South Coast late evening and overnight. Lows 40-47. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Chance of rain near the South Coast early. Highs 40-47 then falling slowly. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows 33-40. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain/mix/snow, favoring southern areas, in the afternoon. Temperatures steady 33-40. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 13-17)

Watching for minor systems around mid period and maybe a slightly stronger one at the end of the period with precipitation threats. Temperatures near to above normal.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 18-22)

Hard to time any systems that may threaten, but early indications are that one may approach late in the period with a rain/mix/snow threat once again. Temperatures near to above normal.

Tuesday February 7 2023 Forecast (7:26AM)

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 7-11)

Weak high pressure starts us out with sunshine today, then a cold front approaches from the west later on with clouds, and this front will produce a brief but messy precipitation episode this evening, snow/sleet north, rain toward the South Coast, and an area of freezing rain between. Untreated surfaces in some areas may become slippery this evening and overnight. High pressure brings fair weather back to the region for Wednesday with a gusty breeze for a while behind departing low pressure initially, before that settles down. Thursday dawns bright but clouds advance ahead of a warm front that brings a period of rain, that may start as sleet and snow to the north and west. That front goes by and sets us up for a very mild Friday with lots of clouds. A cold front then slides across the region Friday night into Saturday with rain showers, and the front likely hangs up so that we have additional wet weather on Saturday as colder air filters in, maybe meaning some mix/snow before the day is over in areas to the northwest.

TODAY: Sun followed by clouds. Highs 36-43. Wind W-SW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Evening precipitation – snow/sleet/ice/rain north to south. Lows 28-35. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to NW.

WEDNESDAY: Lots of sun, few clouds. Highs 45-52. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 23-30. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of rain mid to late afternoon that may begin as snow or sleet well north and west of Boston. Highs 43-50 occurring late in the day. Wind variable to SE up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with a chance of rain in the evening, drizzle and patchy fog overnight. Lows 38-45. Wind SE to S 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows 40-47. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Cloudy. Chance of rain, may mix with sleet/snow southern NH and central MA later. Highs 40-47 then falling slowly. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 12-16)

Rain/mix/snow possible early in the period and another system threatens later in the period with precipitation. Mostly dry weather in between. Temperatures near to above normal.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 17-21)

One or two low pressure systems may impact the region with precipitation threats as an active pattern goes on.

Monday February 6 2023 Forecast (7:19AM)

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 6-10)

A mild and active pattern will be with us for the next several days, though despite the number of disturbances to pass by, none of them will have much impact. There will be a fair amount of clouds in the sky today. These clouds are on the western side of a strong storm system that is located well off the coast. Its only impact on our region will be a little bit of rain this morning over portions of Cape Cod and the Islands before it’s moving further away. Other cloudiness will drift in from the west as part of an older, dissipating disturbance. A narrow area of high pressure will build in for Tuesday with fair and nice weather, but later in the day and at night a frontal system will cross the region, bringing mainly rain showers due to the mild air, but the temperature will be marginal enough so that some sleet and snow may occur in portions of central to northeastern MA and adjacent southern NH. That’s offshore by early Wednesday and we have a fair and mild day that day as another area of high pressure moves in. This day will be the pick of the work week. Low pressure heading through the eastern Great Lakes and destined to pass to our north will drag its warm front across our region on Thursday, bringing clouds and an area of rain back into the region. It may be cold enough at the outset of the precipitation for it to begin as sleet and snow across southern NH and interior northeastern to north central MA, but not expecting much of a problem from this. The milder air overtakes the region again on Friday as the system’s weak cold front moves in, probably not with much precipitation but probably without a lot of clearing. In fact a wave of low pressure may bring back wet weather later Friday, depending on timing.

TODAY: Clouds dominate / sun limited. Early to mid morning rain at times Cape Cod / Islands. Highs 42-49. Wind variable up to 10 MPH early, then N increasing to 10-20 MPH, some higher gusts especially coastal locations.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 19-26. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Sun followed by clouds. Highs 36-43. Wind W-SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely evening, except some sleet/snow mixed in well north and west of Boston. Lows 28-35. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to NW.

WEDNESDAY: Lots of sun, few clouds. Highs 45-52. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 23-30. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of rain midday and afternoon that may begin as snow or sleet well north and west of Boston. Highs 43-50 occurring late in the day. Wind variable to SE up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with a chance of rain in the evening, drizzle and patchy fog overnight. Lows 38-45. Wind SE to S 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Late-day rain possible Highs 45-52. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 11-15)

Unsettled weekend with a slow moving frontal system and a wave or two of low pressure to move through, with a trend to colder we’ll see rain potential change to frozen precipitation at least for parts of the region before ending. Watching for another unsettled weather system toward the end of the period but timing uncertain.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 16-20)

One or two low pressure systems may impact the region with precipitation threats as we’ll be in an active pattern at mid month.

Sunday February 5 2023 Forecast (9:02AM)

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 5-9)

For now it’s back to the pattern we’ve been in – generally mild – following our brief but intense arctic blast. Sometimes when the large scale pattern is as stable as it has been this winter, the interruptions are quite temporary and you’ll go back to the longer-term pattern until something else is ready to change it. That’s what we have this winter with the cold West and mild East, which, while not having a lot of cases to go by, seems to be a characterization of a 3rd year La Nina winter – though we won’t know for sure any time soon. Mere scientific speculation at this point. Anyway, what’s coming up? Up and down temps but overall mild. A warm front already went by last night, and a weak cold front comes along this evening while a stronger storm develops well offshore with no impact here. Warm front goes by early Tuesday and cold front comes along later Tuesday to early Wednesday as another low goes by to our north in southern Canada. And another warm front approaches Thursday. This sounds more active than the unsettled weather we’ll see from it all, which will be rather limited during the next 5 days.

TODAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 37-44. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 25-32. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy early then sun returning. Highs 35-42. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clouds return. Lows 28-35. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of rain showers late-day. Highs 45-52. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Lots of clouds and a rain shower possible in the evening. Some clearing overnight. Lows 28-35. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 35-42. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Lots of clouds. Lows 28-35. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Variably cloudy. Slight chance of light rain. Highs 43-50. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 10-14)

Unsettled stretch. Milder again then trending colder. Precipitation at times, odds favoring liquid earlier in the period and frozen by mid period.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 15-19)

Another potential winter storm threat looms during this period as well. Temperatures variable – averaging near to above normal.

Saturday February 4 2023 Forecast (11:25AM)

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 4-8)

The worst is over, and now the recovery begins. With a cold blast comparable to the one of Valentine’s Day 2016, some records were set, some obliterated, some places were a bit colder than that outbreak while others were right around the same as that day. In short, it was wicked cold out!!! And it still is, but it’s starting to warm up, slowly for now, but eventually to accelerate. In fact even with a temperature recovering only to the teens above zero by later in the day, with the wind dropping off you’d think it was much milder than it actually is, because at that point it is in a relative sense. As high pressure slips to the east and south of New England and a warm front quietly swings through, we’ll really feel it turn milder on Sunday, back to the 40s, and as our old friend Barry Burbank (WBZ TV) often said, it’ll be “a veritable heatwave!” on Sunday. We get a little bit of a hiccup in the warm up as a weak cold front slides back across the region by early Monday, but back we go to the warmer side of the front on Tuesday as low pressure heads rapidly eastward through southeastern Canada. Its cold front will come through by early Wednesday, cooling it down again but not nearly to the levels we have just endured.

TODAY: Sunny but some clouds may show up by later in the day. Temperatures rising gradually to late day highs 8-15. Wind NW 15-25 MPH with higher gusts, diminishing later. Wind chills still below -20 at times, easing later.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. A brief snow flurry possible central MA and southern NH. Temperatures steady 8-15 evening then rising slowly overnight. Wind NW 5-15 MPH evening, SW up to 10 MPH overnight.

SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 37-44. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 25-32. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy early then sun returning. Highs 35-42. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clouds come back again. Lows 28-35. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of rain showers late-day or evening. Highs 45-52. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Lots of clouds and a rain shower possible in the evening. Some clearing overnight. Lows 28-35. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 35-42. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 9-13)

Unsettled stretch. Milder again then trending colder. Precipitation at times, odds favoring liquid earlier in the period and frozen later in the period. Lots of details to work out in the days ahead.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 14-18)

Another potential winter storm threat looms during this period as well. Temperatures variable – averaging near to above normal.

Friday February 3 2023 Forecast (7:23AM)

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 3-7)

The arctic boundary is just clearing the South Coast and crossing Cape Cod as I write this at 7 a.m. Friday, and now it’s time to endure about 36 hours of intense arctic cold, coming in on moderate to strong north northwest wind today, peaking tonight and very early Saturday, and easing by later Saturday. Please be safe if you have to be outside at all during this time. Recovery from this arctic blast will be quick from later Saturday through Sunday, when some areas will see temperature rises in the neighborhood of 50 degrees in 30 hours. A southwesterly air flow on the back side of arctic high pressure, which doesn’t waste any time moving to our east, will be the reason. Some cloudiness with the return of the milder and more moist air will be the result Saturday night and Sunday at times, but right now I am continuing the trend of no precipitation through Sunday that was evident yesterday. At most a few flakes of snow could occur in northern and western areas Saturday night with the passage of a warm front. After a wave of low pressure goes by to the north on Sunday, the boundary comes back as a cold front later Sunday and thwarts the warm up for a day on Monday, but this time we’re not going to see arctic air behind that front. The boundary, now in a wavery mood, goes back to the north again for Tuesday with a stronger low pressure wave moving through the Great Lakes, and before its cold front crosses the region some time that night, we’ll see a pretty mild day on Tuesday.

TODAY: An early-morning snow shower near the South Coast / Cape Cod, otherwise sunshine and a few passing clouds. Highs 25-32 early, then falling through the 20s and 10s to below 10 by evening. Wind W 5-15 MPH with higher gusts, shifting to NNW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts. Wind chill falling below zero during the afternoon.

TONIGHT: Clear. Lows -15 to -8 I-95 belt westward from I-90 north, -7 to 0 elsewhere. Wind NNW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill -25 to -45 at times.

SATURDAY: Sunny. Late-day highs 8-15. Wind NW 15-25 MPH and gusty, diminishing later in the day. Wind chill as low as -25 to -35 in the morning, easing slowly as the day goes on.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. A brief snow flurry possible central MA and southern NH. Temperatures steady 8-15 evening then may rise slightly overnight. Wind NW 5-15 MPH evening, SW up to 10 MPH overnight.

SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 37-44. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 25-32. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy early then sun returning. Highs 35-42. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clouds come back again. Lows 28-35. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of rain showers late-day or evening. Highs 45-52. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 8-12)

Colder air arrives behind a cold front early in the period, fair weather through February 9, and watching the February 10-12 window of time for a potential winter storm threat.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 13-17)

Another potential winter storm threat looms during this period as well. Temperatures variable – averaging near to above normal.

Thursday February 2 2023 Forecast (7:35AM)

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 2-6)

A fair and seasonably chilly day today before we experience a short-lived but strong blast of arctic air, to last about 30 hours. Not much has changed regarding the timing, duration, and expected intensity of the cold / wind. We’re looking at an early-morning cold frontal passage on Friday, maybe a passing snow shower with the front, a temperature fall all day, increasingly dangerous wind chill values, the core of the cold going through Friday night and very early Saturday, then a slow temperature recovery and diminishing of wind later Saturday through Saturday night, and a return to near or even slightly above normal temperatures with more cloudiness on Sunday. A fairly quiet and milder stretch will be ours for the early part of next week. And if you’re wondering what is prognosticated beyond this 5-day period, I have news for you. Just moments ago (as of the time I’m writing), the world’s most famous groundhog, Punxatawney Phil, emerged from his winter’s nap to see a shadow and declare that we have 6 more weeks of winter – that is assuming that winter actually starts any time soon around here. 😉 Well, I guess our reminder is coming in a hard-hitting way in 24 hours, so there you go. It just isn’t going to hang around as our overall very mild winter goes on. If you want to know what’s going on around here beyond this 5-day period, read on after you get through the detailed forecast just below…and Happy Grounhog Day… ……again………. 😉

TODAY: Partly sunny. Highs 32-39. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 18-25. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Partly cloudy with a passing snow shower/squall possible early, then sunny. Highs 25-32 early, then falling through the 20s and 10s to below 10 by evening. Wind W 5-15 MPH with higher gusts, shifting to NNW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts. Wind chill falling below zero during the afternoon.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows -15 to -10 in interior southern NH and north central MA to -10 to -5 from the NH Seacoast through the interior portions of eastern MA to -5 to 0 in the I-95 belt from northeastern MA to northern RI, and 0-5 along the South Coast. Wind NNW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill -20 to -40 at times.

SATURDAY: Sunny. Late-day highs 8-15. Wind NW 15-25 MPH and gusty, diminishing later in the day. Wind chill as low as -25 to -35 in the morning, easing slowly as the day goes on.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Temperatures steady 8-15 evening then may rise slightly overnight. Wind NW 5-15 MPH evening, SW up to 10 MPH overnight.

SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 37-44. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 25-32. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 36-43. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 7-11)

We’ll be near a frontal boundary with at least a fair amount of clouds at times and possible precipitation a couple times during the first couple days of the period. Fair/dry/seasonably chilly weather returns mid period, and may have to watch for the next storm threat by the end of the period, which may bring a potential variety of precipitation or even something frozen.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 12-16)

Watching for two potential impacts by low pressure with possible wintry precipitation during mid February.

Wednesday February 1 2023 Forecast (7:41AM)

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 1-5)

We open the month of February with a wave of low pressure to the south having been close enough for another very minor South Coast snowfall, even extending up to parts of the South Shore of MA. That moves out quickly and we see dry and seasonably chilly weather across our region for the balance of today as well as through Thursday too, as high pressure becomes the main driver of the midweek weather here. Look out though! Here comes a short-lived, sharp blast of arctic air – the coldest we will see since a similar occurrence on February 14 of 2016. The cold front will go through around dawn on Friday, give or take an hour or two either side, from northwest to southeast, and may be accompanied by a brief snow shower or snow squall, especially in southern NH and northern MA as any of that activity will be tending to dry up as it heads southward. Then it’s Montreal Express time as we watch the temperature plunge and the wind blow, putting us into the deep freeze for the balance of Friday, through the night, and well into the day on Saturday, with conditions starting to ease up as we move through the day Saturday – less wind with time and a very slow temperature recover. When you have a deep arctic shot timed this way, the temperatures the following night don’t tend to fall again, but stay fairly steady or even rise, and that’s what I expect Saturday night. Heading into Sunday, a significant recovery continues and takes the region back above freezing for high temperatures. Earlier thoughts of some unsettled weather with the return of the mild air have been abandoned in favor of dry conditions with just some varying amounts of cloudiness.

TODAY: Clouds early with any snow ending across southeastern areas. Mostly sunny thereafter. Highs 28-35. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 13-20. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 32-39. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 18-25. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Partly cloudy with a passing snow shower/squall possible early, then sunny. Highs 25-32 early, then falling through the 20s and 10s to below 10 by evening. Wind W 5-15 MPH with higher gusts, shifting to NNW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts. Wind chill falling below zero during the afternoon.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows -15 to -10 in interior southern NH and north central MA to -10 to -5 from the NH Seacoast through the interior portions of eastern MA to -5 to 0 in the I-95 belt from northeastern MA to northern RI, and 0-5 along the South Coast. Wind NNW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill -20 to -40 at times.

SATURDAY: Sunny. Late-day highs 8-15. Wind NW 15-25 MPH and gusty, diminishing later in the day. Wind chill as low as -25 to -35 in the morning, easing slowly as the day goes on.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Temperatures steady 8-15 evening then may rise slightly overnight. Wind NW 5-15 MPH evening, SW up to 10 MPH overnight.

SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 37-44. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 6-10)

We’ll be near a frontal boundary with at least a fair amount of clouds at times and possible precipitation a couple times during the first few days of the period. Fair/dry/seasonably chilly weather returns later in the period, based on current timing and expected pattern.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 11-15)

Watching for two potential impacts by low pressure with possible wintry precipitation involved heading into mid month.

Tuesday January 31 2023 Forecast (7:26AM)

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 31 – FEBRUARY 4)

A cold front passing through the region overnight brought with it a swath of precipitation, generally light, starting as rain for some areas but winding up as snow, enough for a coating on some surfaces. This lingers from the south Coast to MA South Shore early this morning before moving out, followed by some clearing and a slightly colder day today end the month of January, which was very mild overall. February opens with a couple seasonably cold days and dry weather with high pressure in control. A wave of low pressure may just clip the Cape Cod / Islands region with a bit of light snow first thing Wednesday morning. On Friday, a sharp arctic cold front will move quickly through the region, and may be accompanied by a brief snow shower or snow squall. It opens the door to a quick-hitting blast of dangerously cold air, the coldest since February 14 of 2016. The core of the cold will be timed so that nearly the entire region falls below zero for Saturday morning, but there will be a period of dangerously cold wind chill temperatures starting later in the day Friday and not easing up until later in the day Saturday, so about 24 hours.

TODAY: Cloudy start with lingering rain to mix South Coast, and light snow just inland from South Coast to South Shore of MA, ending by mid morning. Sun returns thereafter from west to east. Highs 32-39. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clouds return South Coast and mostly clear sky to the north. Lows 15-22. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Clouds and a brief period of snow possible Cape Cod & Islands early morning, otherwise mostly sunny. Highs 27-34. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 13-20. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 33-40. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 23-30. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Partly cloudy with a passing snow shower/squall possible morning, then sunny. Highs 25-32 early, then falling through the 20s and 10s to below 10 by evening. Wind W 5-15 MPH with higher gusts, shifting to NNW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts. Wind chill falling below zero during the afternoon.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows -15 to -10 in interior southern NH and north central MA to -10 to -5 from the NH Seacoast through the interior portions of eastern MA to -5 to 0 in the I-95 belt from northeastern MA to northern RI, and 0-5 along the South Coast. Wind NNW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill -20 to -40 at times.

SATURDAY: Sunny. Late-day highs 8-15. Wind NW 15-25 MPH and gusty, diminishing later in the day. Wind chill as low as -25 to -35 in the morning, easing slowly as the day goes on.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 5-9)

Quick warm-up Sunday February 5 comes with a chance of some snow then rain. Watching a wave of low pressure to potentially bring some rain/mix/snow to southeastern areas early Monday otherwise dry, turning colder later in the day but not nearly as cold as the previous shot. Seasonable cold for the middle of next week – maybe with brief precipitation then a return to dry weather.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 10-14)

Watching for potential wintry precipitation episodes mid period with variable temperatures.

Monday January 30 2023 Forecast (7:33AM)

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 30 – FEBRUARY 3)

We’re in the midst of having a trough swing through with a couple of frontal boundaries. One has gone by with little fanfare, only lots of clouds and a few sprinkles of rain yesterday. The second one has a little more punch to it and brings some rain and snow showers, but not until this evening and tonight, so we get a daylight that is precipitation-free today. With the front coming by tonight and moving away from the region Tuesday, we get another dry day and slightly colder to end the month of January. Canadian high pressure brings seasonably cold weather for midweek. I’ve been trying to figure out if a wave or two of low pressure should impact the region with any snow during this time, and the strongest indications are now that this activity will remain mostly to our south, with just the chance of the northern edge of a snow shield scraping the South Coast in the early hours of Wednesday. Meanwhile, an extension of a wobbly Polar Vortex will be moving its way south southeastward across Canada and is destined to catch our area for a brief time starting Friday. However, even a brief visit by this feature can result in some extreme cold, and that will arrive with the passage of an arctic front on Friday, during the day, which may be accompanied by some snow showers and squalls, but will certainly be followed by a stinging wind and a plunging temperature.

TODAY: A sun/cloud mix. Highs 42-49. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Rain to mix to snow showers arrive north and west late evening and progress southeastward during the overnight hours, with a potential quick coating of snow and temporarily slippery surfaces. Lows 25-32. Wind SW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts, shifting to NW overnight.

TUESDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 28-35. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clouds return. A pre-dawn to sunrise period of snow possible South Coast with a very minor accumulation potential. Lows 15-22. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 25-32. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 13-20. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 33-40. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 23-30. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Partly cloudy with a passing snow shower/squall possible morning, then sunny. Highs 25-32 early, then falling through the 20s and 10s to below 10 by evening. Wind W 5-15 MPH with higher gusts, shifting to NNW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts. Wind chill falling below zero during the afternoon.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 4-8)

A brief shot of extreme cold to start the weekend with February 4 seeing low temperatures that should range from -15 to -10 in interior southern NH and north central MA to -10 to -5 from the NH Seacoast through the interior portions of eastern MA to -5 to 0 in the I-95 belt from northeastern MA to northern RI, and 0-5 along the South Coast with a slow recovery of temperature back to 10-18 by the end of the day, along with dangerously cold wind chills especially the first half of the day before easing up later. As is typically the case, these episodes of extreme cold tend to be short-lived and we’ll see a temperature moderation continuing on the night of February 4 through the day February 5 when a disturbance and return of milder air may bring some snow/mix showers to the region for a time. Another frontal boundary brings back slightly colder air for early to mid next week and at that time we may need to watch for a wave of low pressure potentially threatening the region with some wintry precipitation.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 9-13)

Watching for potential wintry precipitation episodes mid to late period with variable temperatures.

Sunday January 29 2023 Forecast (8:31AM)

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 29 – FEBRUARY 2)

Weak low pressure moves northwest and north of our region today into Monday with lots of clouds but only a limited precipitation chance as a warm front / cold front combo goes through, and a secondary cold front approaches and passes by later Monday through early Tuesday. High pressure to the west extends in for fair weather and a colder trend for the final day of January and the first day of February. We’ll need to watch a wave of low pressure to bring clouds and some opportunity for snowfall by Thursday, though the track of this system and its impact here is not certain.

TODAY: Intervals of sun and clouds with a trend toward more cloudiness. Highs 45-52. Wind SE up to 10 MPH early, then SW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a passing rain shower in the evening. Partly cloudy overnight. Lows 32-39. Wind SW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts, shifting to W.

MONDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 40-47. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy with a passing rain or snow shower possible in the evening, followed by overnight clearing. Lows 22-29. Wind shifting to NW 10-20 MPH.

TUESDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 28-35. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 15-22. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 25-32. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 13-20. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Cloudy with a chance of snow. Highs 23-30. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 3-7)

A shot of arctic air arriving on February 3, possibly introduced by a snow shower or squall, with the cold peaking early in the weekend of February 4-5 before easing, then an opportunity for snow/mix later in the period as low pressure moves toward the region from the southwest.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 8-12)

Watching for potential wintry precipitation episodes mid to late period with a pattern of near to below normal temperatures.

Saturday January 28 2023 Forecast (7:56AM)

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 28 – FEBRUARY 1)

After a mostly sunny day on Friday, one of the very few we’ve had this month, we’ll have to endure more cloudiness this weekend, but it won’t be a bad weekend by mid-winter standards, with mainly dry weather and a lack of serious cold weather. One weak low pressure area moving north of the region today is pulling a frontal boundary through the region with no more than a few flakes of snow scattered about, and this boundary will settle just to the south later today and tonight, to lift back to the north on Sunday as another low center heads through the eastern Great Lakes. This second low center will pass north of our region Sunday night into Monday pulling the boundary back through the region by early Monday, with a secondary cold front to come through at some point later Monday, but again with mainly dry weather and only the minimal chance of a passing shower or snow or rain, depending on location and timing. A small area of high pressure brings fair weather for the final day of January, and then we watch low pressure making a run at New England from the west southwest, bringing the opportunity for snow with colder air in place to start off February. At this point, this system does not look like it will arrive in the form of a strong storm, but rather a weaker wave of low pressure.

TODAY: A brief shower of very light snow or rain possible early in the day. Intervals of clouds and sun with a trend toward more sunshine with time. Highs 37-44. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Clouds return. Lows 25-32. Wind W diminishing to under 10 MPH and becoming variable.

SUNDAY: Intervals of sun and clouds with a trend toward more cloudiness. Highs 45-52. Wind SE up to 10 MPH early, then SW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a passing rain shower in the evening. Partly cloudy overnight. Lows 32-39. Wind SW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts, shifting to W.

MONDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 40-47. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy with a passing rain or snow shower possible in the evening, followed by overnight clearing. Lows 22-29. Wind shifting to NW 10-20 MPH.

TUESDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 28-35. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 15-22. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy with a chance of snow. Highs 25-32. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 2-6)

Watching for snow threats early and late period, with a shot of much colder air between as the general pattern set-up features colder high pressure to our north and a frontal boundary residing not too far south of this area.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 7-11)

Colder pattern overall. Watching beginning of period for wintry precipitation threat carrying over from end of the previous period, and an additional disturbance mid to late period with another chance of wintry precipitation.

Friday January 27 2023 Forecast (7:20AM)

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 27-31)

After the next 5 days, we’ll have made it through the first 2 months of meteorological winter without a widespread significant snowfall for southeastern New England. It’s happened before, but it’s not something we see frequently. La Nina has certainly made its mark in this way on our area. Will that trend hold into February? Probably not. But that’s for sections beyond this first one, dealing with the final 5 days of the first month of 2023. Today, we have a rare day for this month where the sun will shine most of the time. Other than some patchy clouds, a mainly clear sky will be ours as a small area of high pressure moves across the region. Enjoy it. Our weekend doesn’t look as sunny, but it doesn’t look that bad either. Minor weather systems will have relatively minor impact. First a weak cold front moves across the region early or midday Saturday, more a trough than a front, as there won’t be much “cold” to be delivered behind the boundary. In fact, Saturday will end up a milder day than today will be. A fairly weak area of low pressure moving through the eastern Great Lakes will head for northern New England and the St. Lawrence Valley later Sunday before heading into southeastern Canada Monday. This system will push a front north of us as a warm front early Sunday then drag a weak cold front across the region later Sunday through early Monday. These two systems only come with minor precipitation threats with otherwise mainly dry weather conditions. A small area of high pressure is expected to bring fair and seasonably chilly weather to our region for the final day of January.

TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 32-39. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Slight chance of a snow shower mid evening to overnight. Lows 20-27. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of a passing snow/mix/rain shower through midday. Highs 37-44. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, shifting to NW, higher gusts possible.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 22-29. Wind NW 5-15 MPH early becoming variable, then S up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 38-45. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with a chance of light rain/mix south and east, light mix/snow north and west. Lows 31-38. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Gradually increasing sun. Highs 35-42. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 18-25. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 35-42. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 1-5)

Watching potential for winter precipitation event early in the period, a shot of much colder air to follow, and a slight moderation by late in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 6-10)

Overall pattern looks a little colder with another storm threat early to mid period.

Thursday January 26 2023 Forecast (7:35AM)

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 26-30)

A swath of dry air ate up some of the early portion of yesterday’s precipitation event, cutting out a fair amount of what was already expected to be a fairly light snowfall. A healthy swath of moderate to heavy rain moved through the region overnight, along with milder temperatures, eating away at the already feeble snow pack in most of the region and keeping the ground bare where there isn’t any snow on the ground right now. Any more snow chances upcoming? Yes, eventually, but not anything significant in the immediate future – as in the next several days. Today, we’re mild initially as we say goodbye to the rain, exiting the eastern coastal areas early this morning. The balance of the day is dry, with lots of clouds, some sun, maybe a few pop up showers, a mild start, and a cooler finish on a gusty westerly breeze. Colder air arrives tonight and it will be modestly chilly on Friday as high pressure noses into the region. We may see more sun Friday than we have many days this month, one of, if not the, cloudiest month on record to date (will re-acquire updated sunshine data soon). No changes for the weekend outlook and heading into early next week. Expecting a cold front to swing through on Saturday with no more than a passing rain or snow shower, then the front comes back as a warm front Sunday ahead of a weaker area of low pressure to pass by to our north, bringing the front back through once again as a cold front early on Monday. The passages of that frontal pair brings more clouds than anything, but some light precipitation, favoring rain, may occur Sunday night and early Monday, based on current expected timing. A follow up wave of low pressure should remain to the south as it passes by later Monday.

TODAY: Cloudy start with rain showers in eastern coastal areas ending. Clouds break for sun at times thereafter but still the chance of a few pop-up showers of rain or mixed precipitation. Highs 40-47 except 48-55 South Coast / Cape Cod, occurring this morning, before slowly falling afternoon. Wind variable 5-15 MPH becoming SW to W 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Clearing. Lows 17-24. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 32-39. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 20-27. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of a passing snow/mix/rain shower. through midday. Highs 37-44. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, shifting to NW, higher gusts possible.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 22-29. Wind NW 5-15 MPH early becoming variable, then S up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 38-45. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with a chance of light rain/mix south and east, light mix/snow north and west. Lows 31-38. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Limited sun. Highs 35-42. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 31 – FEBRUARY 4)

While the overall pattern trends colder and has 1 or 2 opportunities for precipitation, favoring mix/frozen, the timing is a little up in the air. Windows of opportunity exist later January 31 to early February 1, February 2 into February 3, and again at the end of the period. Will bring things into better focus with time.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 5-9)

Overall pattern looks a little colder with another storm threat at mid period.

Wednesday January 25 2023 Forecast (7:35AM)

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 25-29)

The upcoming storm system behaves as previously noted in terms of timing, coming in this afternoon and exiting early Thursday, with low pressure moving into the eastern Great Lakes and redeveloping right over southern New England before moving quickly seaward. Recent short range guidance trends have been consistently for a slightly weaker thrust of precipitation and slightly milder overall set-up, and after briefly considering erring on the side of “over-performance” before this trend got underway, I’m actually going to take the top edge off my initial snowfall estimate, which will appear in updated form in the detailed forecast below. Expect a little batch of very light to light snow to extend out from the approaching system that can put some flakes in the air but not likely have any real road impact sometime early this afternoon, favoring areas north of I-90 and west of I-95. The main batch of precipitation then arrives late in the day, before darkness falls for the western areas and at dusk or shortly after dark for eastern areas. For most it starts as snow, except the immediate coast and certainly the South Coast which have a much better shot at starting as a mix of snow and rain or even just rain. Before long, a definitive rain/snow line, perhaps with a narrow ribbon of sleet along with it, will not only be apparent but will waste little time moving northward across the WHW forecast area during the evening hours, followed by a solid moderate to heavy swath of rainfall during the late evening and overnight hours. The system is moving along swiftly enough that I expect this area of rain to exit from west to east before dawn on Thursday, leaving us with a drier day, mild in temperature, with an increasing breeze to help dry of most cleared surfaces. With colder air returning Thursday night we will have to watch for areas of melt-water and puddles freezing up – typical wintertime stuff – so be aware of that later that night and early Friday. Friday’s weather itself looks fair with a little less wind as a small ridge of high pressure, centered to the south but extending northward, moves across the region. The wind picks up again on Saturday as that high slides offshore and a low pressure area moves quickly west to east across southeastern Canada. This low will drag a cold front across the region which may produce a few showers of snow, mixed precipitation, and maybe even rain to the south, during the morning and midday hours, based on current expected timing. But that frontal boundary doesn’t get that far south and east of us and lifts right back across the region on Sunday while another low pressure disturbance moves through the eastern Great Lakes, destined for a path north of our region late Sunday through early Monday. This will bring some light precipitation later Sunday or Sunday night, in the form of snow or mix to the northwest, mix or rain to the southeast, to be fine-tuned as we get closer to its occurrence.

TODAY: Clouding up. Brief light snow possible north central to northeastern MA and southern NH midday or early afternoon. Snow/mix/rain arriving west to east late in the day, snow most likely inland, rain more likely coast. Highs 33-40. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Overcast. Snow/mix/rain transitioning to rain during the evening south to north, rain possibly heavy at times late evening into overnight, ending west to east pre-dawn. Snow accumulation before change-over from little or nothing in coastal areas to a coating to 2 inches away from the coast, with 2-4 inches possible in higher elevations of central MA and southwestern NH. Temperatures slightly rising to 35-42 southern NH and central MA, 43-50 most areas except over 50 South Coast and Cape Cod. Wind E-SE 10-20 MPH, higher gusts, shifting to SW along the South Coast with an area of variable winds right along the track of the new low center.

THURSDAY: Clouds occasionally break for sun. Highs 40-47 except 48-55 South Coast / Cape Cod. Wind variable 5-15 MPH becoming W 10-20 MPH with higher gusts expected.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 17-24. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 32-39. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 20-27. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of a passing snow/mix/rain shower through midday. Highs 35-42. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, shifting to NW, with higher gusts possible.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 22-29. Wind NW 5-15 MPH early becoming variable, then S up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of light rain/mix southeast and mix/snow northwest evening or night. Highs 38-45. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 30 – FEBRUARY 3)

Relatively weak disturbance (the one coming in late Sunday) exits early Monday January 30 with fair weather following through January 31. Continuing to watch the first few days of February for colder weather and a potential winter precipitation threat.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 4-8)

Overall pattern looks a little colder with another storm threat around mid period.

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