DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 11-15)

A thank you to all veterans who have served us! Today, for any outdoor parades and ceremonies to honor them, we have pretty perfect November weather with high pressure to our south, a generally light westerly breeze, and plenty of sunshine with a cool morning and milder afternoon – the pick of the week! Things go downhill after this as the much-talked-about storm starts to make good on the threat. However, keeping it in perspective, we’re looking at a minor to moderate impact event here in our area. Clouds move in tonight and Thursday, rain chances go up during Thursday and peak Thursday night into Friday before diminishing gradually later Friday and ending Friday night, potentially involving some wet snow in higher elevations of southwestern NH to central MA – depending on available moisture by then. This all happens as elongating, maturing low pressure tracks south of our region with two centers doing the “dumbbell pivot” (eastern center moving east to northeast, western center moving east to southeast). Eventually, a reorganized and more consolidated low center will be east of our region Saturday and moving into Atlantic Canada by Sunday as upper level low pressure crosses our region from west to east. This results in a breezy, cool, but dry weekend with clouds holding the edge Saturday and more sun Sunday.

TODAY (VETERANS DAY): Mostly sunny. Highs 55-62. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 37-44. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain in the afternoon. Highs 48-55. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Overcast. Rain likely southeast / chance of rain northwest. Lows 38-45. Wind E 5-15 MPH except 15-25 MPH South Coast.

FRIDAY: Overcast. Rain likely southeast / chance of rain northwest. Highs 45-52. Wind E to NE 10-20 MPH except 20-30 MPH South Coast especially Cape Cod, with higher gusts possible.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain tapers off but can briefly mix with wet snow interior higher elevations before doing so. Lows 35-42. Wind NE to N 10-20 MPH, higher gusts, particularly eastern coastal areas to Cape Cod.

SATURDAY: More clouds than sun. Highs 47-54. Wind N 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 33-40. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

SUNDAY: More sun than clouds. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 16-20)

High pressure dominates much of next week with fair weather. A frontal boundary may move through at the end of the period but looks like it will be lacking in moisture. Temperatures near to above normal.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 21-25)

High pressure dominates again early in the period with fair weather. A storm system in the Midwest to Great Lakes and high pressure moving off the coast set up a wet weather potential around November 24 but it may turn quite mild ahead of it. This is quite far into the future so further details are not possible yet.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 10-14)

Today you’ll find no significant changes to the outlook during the next several days from what I posted yesterday. We remain in a northwesterly air flow today when a cold front passes by with varying amounts of clouds but a minimal chance of a quick-passing rain shower. We’ll continue to see an active breeze too, which will settle down a bit but still be noticeable as high pressure slides south of the region Wednesday, providing nice weather for Veterans Day. Then the much-talked-about storm system starts to impact our region Thursday with its influence remaining with us until the start of the weekend. The scenario I expect is much what I described previously. To summarize, I expect low pressure to head our way via the Ohio Valley, redevelop off the Mid Atlantic Coast, elongate, and do a dumbbell pivot with the redeveloped low starting a more northeastward trek with the older low to the west eventually being pulled more southeast. This should keep the track of the elongated low center just south of New England between Thursday night and Friday night, with our region on the northern side of its precipitation shield. With a broad onshore flow off the milder Atlantic waters, this means a rain event for our region, heaviest south, lighter north, with amounts considerably lower than the recent event. If any snow gets involved it would be wet flakes mixed in with rain (or a brief chance to wet snow) in higher elevation locations of southwestern NH and central MA, assuming the precipitation was significant enough to make that happen. Time frame on this potential would be toward the end of the system on Friday evening. By Saturday, I’m expecting a more consolidated area of low pressure with an expanding circulation to be east of our region, heading for Atlantic Canada. For us, this means a breezy, cool Saturday with lots of clouds, some sun, and not being able to rule out a passing rain shower.

TODAY: Intervals of clouds & sun. Slight chance of a quick-passing rain shower. Highs 52-59. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Clearing. Lows 37-44. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY (VETERANS DAY): Mostly sunny. Highs 55-62. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 35-42. Wind W up to 10 MPH becoming variable.

THURSDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 48-55. Wind variable becoming E 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Overcast. Rain likely southeast / chance of rain northwest. Lows 38-45. Wind E 5-15 MPH except 15-25 MPH South Coast.

FRIDAY: Overcast. Rain likely southeast / chance of rain northwest. Highs 45-52. Wind E to NE 10-20 MPH except 20-30 MPH South Coast especially Cape Cod, with higher gusts possible.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain tapers off but can briefly mix with wet snow interior higher elevations before doing so. Lows 35-42. Wind NE to N 10-20 MPH, higher gusts, particularly eastern coastal areas to Cape Cod.

SATURDAY: Variably cloudy. A passing rain shower potential. Highs 48-55. Wind N 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 15-19)

High pressure builds toward the region with lingering upper level low pressure overhead November 15 but looking dry with sun / cloud mix to end the weekend. High pressure builds in thereafter and dominates with fair and seasonable to slightly milder than normal weather well into next week.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 20-24)

A quick-passing front may bring a brief rain shower threat early period. A more formidable system brings unsettled weather by the end of the period, with details TBD.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 9-13)

A seasonably cool northwesterly air flow dominates our weather early this week. A trough moving through today and a cold front moving through tomorrow will both be moisture-starved with only a slight chance of quick-passing light rain showers, otherwise expect dry, breezy, variably cloudy conditions. Wednesday, Veterans Day, will feature more sunshine and a westerly breeze with high pressure to our south. Then we turn our attention to developing / evolving low pressure coming out of the Ohio Valley. My expectation is that an initial low pressure area will move from the Ohio Valley toward the Mid Atlantic Coast where it will redevelop. The new low and the old low will do a partial “dumbbell pivot” where the newer low starts to track northeast and elongating upper low pressure starts to pull the older low a little more to the south. The pair of lows are likely to pass south of New England Friday and Friday night. Results: Cloudiness increases Thursday, and a rain chance begins Thursday night and lasts through Friday, with highest probability for steadiest rain would be in the southeastern half of the WHW forecast area (eastern CT, and RI up to Boston MA area eastward), with the chance lowering the further northwest you go. Of course this would shift if the storm track shifts, and that is something to monitor as we get closer. You may have head a lot of talk about snow regarding this storm threat, but the only way snow gets involved in the WHW forecast area would be a slightly closer track, heavier precipitation, and marginally cold enough air in the higher elevations of southwestern NH into central MA. While it’s still several days away, I am currently not leaning in that direction.

TODAY: Plenty of clouds / intervals of sun, and the chance of a quick-passing rain shower. Highs 52-59. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows 36-43. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly to partly cloudy. Slight chance of a quick-passing rain shower. Highs 52-59. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 37-44. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY (VETERANS DAY): Mostly sunny. Highs 55-62. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 35-42. Wind W up to 10 MPH becoming variable.

THURSDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 48-55. Wind variable becoming E 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Overcast. Rain likely southeast / chance of rain northwest. Lows 38-45. Wind E 5-15 MPH except 15-25 MPH South Coast.

FRIDAY: Overcast. Rain likely southeast / chance of rain northwest. Highs 45-52. Wind E to NE 10-20 MPH except 20-30 MPH South Coast especially Cape Cod, with higher gusts possible.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 14-18)

Surface low pressure pulls away but upper level low pressure trough moves through during the November 14-15 weekend with breezy, cool conditions. May be lingering showers early weekend, otherwise generally dry weather expected. High pressure builds in with fair, initially cool then milder weather early to middle portion of next week.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 19-23)

Milder pattern indicated. Leaning dry into mid period and unsettled weather chance later in the period, but no major storminess foreseen at this time.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 8-12)

The transition from the warm spell to the cool shot has taken place now. One more slug of showers, some fairly heavy, visited the region overnight into the pre-dawn hours today as the upper low crossed the region. The vast bulk of this rainfall exited east of the region prior to sunrise with partial clearing. One final cluster of showers on the back side of the upper low is moving through south central MA toward northeastern CT in the southwestern reaches of the WHW forecast area, but will likely dry up fairly soon. This leaves us with a sun / cloud mix, at times clouds winning out, as the back side of the upper low is still over our region and moving gradually to the east, and a surface low intensifies while heading from the Gulf of Maine into Atlantic Canada. The northwest flow we are now into will continue through Tuesday, with two reinforcing cold fronts to pass by, the first during the day Monday and the second later Tuesday. Either or both of these can produce quick-passing showers, but we’ll be largely dry over the next few days, along with a cooler northwesterly breeze. By Wednesday, an area of high pressure scoots just to our south and lightens are wind, turning it more westerly, and bringing fair and pleasant weather for Veterans Day. But things are happening quickly, and while we have our fair weather Wednesday, low pressure will be taking shape to our west in the Ohio Valley region in response to an eastward-moving upper trough of low pressure. While the precise evolution of the system is still to-be-determined, the approach of it will send our weather downhill with increasing cloudiness and eventual rain chances Thursday (leaning toward night for that).

TODAY: Intervals of sun & clouds. Highs 54-61. Wind W to NW 10-20 MPH, gusts as high as 30 MPH.

TONIGHT: Decreasing clouds. Lows 38-45. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY: Sun / cloud mix. Chance of a quick-passing rain shower. Highs 52-59. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy, then clearing. Lows 35-42. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Sunny, then a sun / cloud mix with a late-day brief rain shower possible. Highs 52-59. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 37-44. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY (VETERANS DAY): Mostly sunny. Highs 55-62. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 35-42. Wind W under 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Increasing clouds. Chance of rain at night. Highs 52-59. Wind variable to SE up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 13-17)

Storm system impacts the region with rain tapering to showers (watch for mixed rain/snow highest elevation areas depending on storm evolution) on November 13, then pulls away to our east and northeast for a breezy but dry, cool weekend November 14-15 – probably more clouds & wind Saturday and less of both by Sunday. Fair and more tranquil weather toward the end of the period as high pressure builds in.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 18-22)

Drier pattern indications continue. Temperatures variable but averaging near to above normal.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 7-11)

The slow transition from the warm spell to a cooler period of weather is still ongoing, and after yesterday’s thunderstorms / downpours we still have the frontal boundary sitting across our region this morning with additional rainfall. This will be with us for a while before the final wave of low pressure moving by our region enters the Gulf of Maine and pulls the front offshore. While this low intensifies and accelerates into Atlantic Canada, its associated upper low will move across our region, keeping us mainly cloudy, and delivering additional showery weather to our region tonight, finally ending early on Sunday. This is when a clearing trend will begin, but the chilly air aloft will still promote additional clouds developing and crossing the sky on Sunday, so even though we clear the “storm clouds” away, we still have the diurnal clouds to deal with, limiting the sun at times, especially during the first half of the afternoon when it can even become mostly cloudy again for a while. The northwesterly flow that becomes established behind this storm system will be with us early in the week with 2 more troughs / cold fronts to come through, one during Monday and another later Tuesday. Either of these can trigger a few light rain showers but for the most part this will be a dry, breezy, seasonably cool period. When we get to Wednesday, a lighter westerly air flow and dominating high pressure will provide pleasant mid November conditions for any outdoor Veterans Day ceremonies.

TODAY: Cloudy morning with periodic rain and a few heavier showers favoring the I-95 belt eastward. Mostly cloudy with a possible shower this afternoon. Highs 56-63. Wind NE to NW up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Showers likely. Areas of fog. Lows 45-52. Wind NW to variable up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Cloudy early morning with showers favoring eastern coastal areas, then a sun / cloud mix. Highs 54-61. Wind W increasing to 10-15 MPH with gusts over 20 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 38-45. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY: Sun / cloud mix. Chance of a quick-passing rain shower. Highs 52-59. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy, then clearing. Lows 35-42. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Sunny, then a sun / cloud mix with a late-day brief rain shower possible. Highs 52-59. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 37-44. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY (VETERANS DAY): Mostly sunny. Highs 55-62. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 12-16)

Watching potential low pressure impact in the window from late November 12 to early November 15. Details to-be-determined but quite a range of possibilities is on the table this far in advance ranging from a miss/graze to a full impact with gusty wind and rain (even some inland higher elevation mix/snow). Many days to bring it into focus. Fair weather returns end of period.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 17-21)

Drier pattern indications here. Temperatures variable but averaging near to slightly above normal.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 6-10)

Our transition from a warm spell to seasonably cool weather will be slightly dramatic as a trough moves through our region today into the weekend. An associated frontal boundary that is moving into the region this morning has already triggered showers and even some heavier thunderstorms (which you may have woken up from in the pre-dawn in southeastern MA and parts of RI). The front will be hanging around the region through tonight with a couple waves of low pressure moving up along it, bringing us waves of rainfall with embedded heavier downpours – and additional thunder chances. The axis of heaviest rainfall does appear to set up near to east of I-95, with these areas seeing at least a 1 to 2 inch rainfall but some areas exceeding 2 inches. As previously mentioned, rivers and streams are fairly low from recent dry weather, so flooding with those is not expected. Poor drainage flooding, enhanced by leaf drop / drain clog, is likely. We have to wait for a final wave of low pressure to move by the region Saturday then intensify while moving through the Gulf of Maine and into Atlantic Canada during this weekend to see improvement. The forecast I wrote yesterday will be generally unchanged on today’s update. Once this gets by, we’re in a seasonably cool northwesterly air flow and watch for two disturbances / cold fronts to bring brief shower threats sometime Monday and again by later Tuesday.

TODAY: Cloudy. Numerous rain showers including embedded heavier downpours including potential thunderstorms, particularly I-95 belt eastward. Highs 63-70. Wind S 5-15 MPH, higher gusts especially South Coast.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Rain showers favoring I-95 eastward including embedded heavier downpours especially early evening. Areas of fog. Lows 48-55. Wind variable to NE 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Highs 57-64, occurring by midday. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain showers likely. Lows 45-52. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy early morning including a chance of rain showers east of I-95, then a sun / cloud mix with a chance of a quick-passing shower through early afternoon. Highs 53-60. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 38-45. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY: Sun / cloud mix. Chance of a quick-passing rain shower. Highs 52-59. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy, then clearing. Lows 35-42. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Sunny, then a sun / cloud mix with a late-day brief rain shower possible. Highs 52-59. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 11-15)

Northwesterly to westerly air flow dominates. High pressure brings fair and seasonable weather for Veterans Day. Unsettled weather threat later November 12 to November 14 before fair weather returns end of period. Temperatures somewhat variable, averaging near normal overall.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 16-20)

Best shot of briefly unsettled weather is mid period, otherwise high pressure looks dominant with mostly dry and seasonable to mild weather.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 5-9)

Our warm spell is entering its final stretch as high pressure now well off the coast results in a south wind and warm, relatively humid weather today ahead of an approaching trough and cold front from the west. This front can send a few showers into the region this afternoon, but much of this day will be rain-free with high temps well above the long term averages. The aforementioned cold front will enter the region tonight when the shower chance again increases as the front slows down and becomes quasi-stationary, a state it will maintain until Saturday when the final in a series of 3 low pressure waves intensifies more notably and pulls the front eastward. During the passage of these waves, shower activity will peak over the region during Friday with a narrower axis of heavier rainfall favoring the region near and east of I-95. I’m expecting rainfall amounts of 1.00 to 2.00 inches in general in southeastern NH, eastern MA, and RI, while amounts drop to under 1.00 inch to the west, and a narrow swath of greater than 2.00 inches can occur near or just east of I-95. Recent dry weather and low streams / rivers will prevent flooding in those regions, but leaf-clogged drains can lead to street and parking lot flooding during heavier rainfall times. Saturday’s weather will remain unsettled as an upper level low and trailing surface trough pass through, keeping the chance of rain showers going. Sunday looks like a day of mixed sun and clouds and generally dry and cooler, with an active breeze, but I cannot rule out a quick-passing diurnal shower with lingering instability in the atmosphere behind the departed low which by then will be accelerating from the Gulf of Maine toward Atlantic Canada. Heading out of the weekend and into early next week we establish a northwesterly air flow in the region, and in that air flow a cold front will sweep across the region on Monday bringing the chance of a quick-passing rain shower with it in an otherwise dry, breezy, and seasonably cool day.

TODAY: Clouds increase west to east. A rain shower possible west of and up to the I-95 belt afternoon. Highs 68-75. Wind S 5-15 MPH, gusts 20-30 MPH, strongest South Coast.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Scattered rain showers redevelop overnight. Lows 56-63. Wind S 5-15 MPH with gusts 20+ MPH.

FRIDAY: Cloudy. Numerous rain showers including embedded heavier downpours, particularly I-95 belt eastward. Highs 63-70. Wind S 5-15 MPH, higher gusts especially South Coast.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain showers favoring I-95 eastward including embedded heavier downpours especially early evening. Areas of fog. Lows 48-55. Wind variable to NE 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Highs 57-64, occurring by midday. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain showers likely. Lows 45-52. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy early morning including a chance of rain showers east of I-95, then a sun / cloud mix with a chance of a quick-passing shower through early afternoon. Highs 53-60. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 38-45. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY: Sun / cloud mix. Chance of a quick-passing rain shower. Highs 52-59. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 10-14)

Northwesterly to westerly air flow dominates. Disturbance passing by can bring a rain shower later November 10. High pressure brings dry weather for Veterans Day. Wave of low pressure brings minor rain chance later November 12 into November 13. Fair weather returns end of period. Temperatures vary but average near to slightly above normal for the 5-day period.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 15-19)

Overall pattern looks dry with limited, brief unsettled potentials from one or two passing disturbances. Temperatures near to above normal through mid month.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 4-8)

Offshore high pressure and an upper level high pressure ridge combine for another fair weather day with above normal temperatures today, where a few record high temps will be challenged. Enjoy the mid autumn summer recall, because some changes are incoming! It starts with an increase in clouds tonight and Thursday (some limited sun during the day) as a trough and cold front approach our area from the west. Shower activity should stay to our west during the day Thursday, but a few may work in at night as the front moves into the region, then slows down and comes to a “shaky stop” – aka quasi-stationary. During Friday this front hangs about in the region and a wave of low pressure will bring periodic rain with embedded heavier showers, perhaps and axis of convectively-driven heavier rainfall which can hang around into the early hours of Saturday. The greatest chance for heaviest rainfall appears to be near or east of I-95, but will monitor trends on short range guidance leading up to this event as it can result in some local flooding, especially as drains start to become leaf-clogged. During the day Saturday the front pushes offshore but we still have a trough and upper low to move through, which will take their time doing so, resulting in a day filled with cloudiness and the chance of additional shower activity, particularly that evening. This will exit early Sunday, and any clouds and showers should clear the coast by sunrise, leading to a day of mixed sun and clouds, an active breeze, and drying out with cooler air having arrived.

TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 71-78 except a bit cooler South Coast / Cape Cod. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 51-58. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. Highs 68-75. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Scattered rain showers. Areas of fog. Lows 52-59. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Cloudy. Periodic rain, embedded heavier showers favoring I-95 eastward. Highs 63-70. Wind S 5-15 MPH, higher gusts South Coast.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain showers favoring I-95 eastward. Areas of fog. Lows 48-55. Wind variable to NE 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Highs 55-62, occurring by midday. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain showers likely. Lows 43-50. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy early morning including a chance of rain showers east of I-95, then a sun / cloud mix. Highs 53-60. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 9-13)

Northwesterly air flow looks dominant next week. Disturbances passing by can produce brief rain shower threats November 9 and late November 10, with another such threat toward the end of the period as well. Temperatures up-and-down, but averaging a little above normal for the period.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 14-18)

Overall pattern looks dry with limited, brief unsettled potentials from one or two passing disturbances – details TBD. Temperatures near to above normal through mid month.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 3-7)

High pressure remains anchored to our south and east into midweek with fair, very mild weather. Details day to today include some cloudiness today due to warming aloft, the sunniest day Wednesday when record highs for the date can be challenged, and an increase in clouds Thursday with the approach of a trough and cold front from the west. It does now look like we can get through much of Thursday rain-free with the shower threat remaining mostly west of the region and not moving into the area until that night. This front will then become quasi-stationary Friday into Saturday as a wave of low pressure forms on it to our south then moves up across the region, increasing rain chances during Friday and into part of Saturday. There are some details to work out with this part of the forecast, including where a heavier band of rain may set up, and just how quickly everything winds down during Saturday as the system starts to pull away to the north and east. The next couple updates should serve to clarify these points. One certainty, our anomalous warmth will be a done deal by the end of the week as it cools back down.

TODAY: Partly sunny. Highs 66-73. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 48-55. Wind SW under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 70-77 except a bit cooler South Coast / Cape Cod. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. Highs 66-73. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain showers likely. Areas of fog. Lows 52-59. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Cloudy. Episodes of rain showers. Highs 60-67. Wind S 5-15 MPH, higher gusts South Coast.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Periods of rain. Areas of fog. Lows 48-55. Wind variable to NE 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Cloudy with periods of rain in the morning. Variably cloudy with a chance of showers afternoon. Highs 55-62 may occur before noon before cooling down. Wind N 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 8-12)

Northwesterly flow evolves November 8-10 with a shower chance from a passing disturbance November 9, otherwise mostly dry conditions. High pressure builds in for tranquil conditions for Veterans Day – November 11 before we watch for the approach of a disturbance and more clouds and potential wet weather at the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 13-17)

Unsettled potential early period, then a trend back to drier. Temperatures near to above normal.

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 2-6)

High pressure drifts offshore to our south and east today through Wednesday with fair, mild weather. After this, a trough approaches from the west along with an initial surface low passing to our north later Thursday into Friday, bringing in a lot of clouds and eventual shower activity, especially as the front slows down near (probably just west of) the region on Friday, a day that will be mild and humid with waves of shower activity.

TODAY: Sun / cloud mix. Highs 63-70. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 45-52. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 65-72. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 47-54. Wind SW under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 67-74. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 48-55. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. Late-day rain shower potential. Highs 65-72. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain showers likely. Areas of fog. Lows 52-59. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Cloudy. Episodes of rain showers. Highs 60-67. Wind S 5-15 MPH, higher gusts South Coast.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 7-11)

As a trough moves eastward through the region over the November 7-8 weekend, I expect lingering unsettled weather with lots of clouds and a shower chance November 7 with a wind shift and cool-down. Surface high pressure noses in with fair weather by November 8. Watching for a quick-moving system to bring additional unsettled weather early next week before a trend back to fair toward Veterans Day, although forecast confidence drops notably during this period due to how far into the future it is along with medium range model inconsistencies.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 12-16)

Unsettled potential early period, then a trend back to drier. Temperatures near to above normal.

COMMENTARY

Welcome to November 2026! This is the first day of the third month of Meteorological Autumn, and also the day (this year) we have made the switch from Daylight Saving Time to Standard Time. If you have any clocks that do not automatically switch, and you haven’t switched them, now would be the time to do so! My other reason for this commentary section before I move onto the daily forecast discussion and details and look a little further out to mid month is just to thank everybody for being a part of this weather blog! There’s a core group of folks who chat in the comments section daily who are like a family, and it’s always wonderful to see them there. But there are also many folks who are just here to read the blog itself and choose not to participate in the commentary, and that’s perfectly OK. Nobody is required to comment, but you are always encouraged to do so! I do allow a bit off off-weather chat there, but I do maintain a “no politics” policy for obvious reasons. There are other places to take those types of discussions, and I do like to keep the focus mainly on the weather in that section, again with the occasional deviation to maybe a word game or sports or even general news items. I try to monitor the blog the best I can, and have a couple others watching it to make sure things don’t get out of hand. So this part of this commentary is just a reminder to keep that in check. If people think about what they are going to say before they say it, we’d find the need for moderation action would be minimal. I think everybody can do that! And I say this now not because there has been a problem, but just as a reminder only! Regarding my discussions and my own comments, you’ll continue to see the no-hype style I’ve always used, and a blog that may include links to graphics and pictures from other cited sources, but not a blog that I am going to load up with colorful images. I prefer the text blog format as a break from all of that because it’s all out there in abundance, and my opinion of just how much is out there can be saved for another commentary section. Haha! Not that I’m against it. I’m not. But I like this place to be an alternative to all of that, and so it remains! My forecasts are not always going to be on the money – none of us can do that. But you can always be sure that I will give it my best shot and will be ready to admit when I’ve messed it up. If you can’t do that, you can’t learn why you did it and try to improve. That’s part of the scientific method. And meteorology is science. I will continue to use the scientific method when crafting my discussions and predictions. Without that foundation, nothing else you do is going to carry much value. Anyway, I hope you continue to enjoy this blog moving forward through the rest of 2026 and into the year ahead! Two notes: 1) My winter forecast will be issued somewhere around November 20. 2) Most of you know this, but in case you do not, I will be having a heart procedure to repair my mitral valve, as well as an ablation for arrhythmia, in late January of 2027. This will probably result in the blog not being updated for a handful of days starting with the day of the procedure and (if all goes as planned) a couple to a few days in ICU. I’ll update everybody on this as it gets closer. Thanks again everybody for your support!

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 1-5)

High pressure continues to dominate our weather as we start November and will provide fair, pleasantly cool weather today followed by a warming trend heading toward midweek as the high center slips eastward and offshore. A trough will approach our region by Thursday, with increased moisture due to a southerly air flow on the back side of the high. This introduces the chance of rain showers by that day.

TODAY: Sunny. Highs 56-63. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 38-45. Wind S under 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 62-69. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 43-50. Wind SW to variable under 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 60-67. Wind variable to S up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 43-50. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 62-69. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 48-55. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 58-65. Wind S 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 6-10)

A trough from the west and moisture from the south combine for a good shot at widespread rainfall on November 6, after which the surface system departs but upper low pressure keeps it unsettled November 7 before high pressure brings dry weather November 8-9. Next unsettled weather chance ~ November 10. Temps start mild, turn cooler, then moderate. Lots of detail to work out for this period.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 10-14)

Unsettled potential early period, then a trend to dry. Temperatures near to above normal.

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 31 – NOVEMBER 4)

The busy, gusty wind of last night has diminished and Halloween 2026 will be a fair, cool, and tranquil day. High pressure builds over the region today and tonight making this the case, and will result in a quick cool-down this evening from the 50s to the 40s but with very little wind for outdoor activities. Remember also that this night is longer than usual by 1 hour, as we flip the clocks back at 2:00 a.m. Sunday in the transition from Daylight Saving Time to Standard Time. Sunday and Monday will feature unlimited sun, but a different kind of limit will be noticed when the sun sets prior to 5:00 p.m. – ’tis the season! A weak disturbance passes by to our north Tuesday with some patchy clouds, otherwise as we head toward midweek high pressure slips offshore and we start to get into a milder southern air flow. By Wednesday, we may see some additional cloudiness this timing coming in with increased moisture from the south.

TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 55-62. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, diminishing.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 26-33 except 34-41 coastal & urban areas. Wind calm.

SUNDAY: Sunny. Highs 56-63. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 38-45. Wind S under 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 62-69. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 43-50. Wind SW to variable under 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 60-67. Wind variable to S up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 43-50. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 62-69. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 5-9)

A trough from the west and moisture from the south combine for increased shower chances November 5 and a more widespread rainfall on November 6. This system shifts off to the east thereafter, though upper level low pressure lingering can keep some clouds around along with a gusty wind and cooler weather heading into the first full weekend of November before high pressure settles in at the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 10-14)

Watching for mid period unsettled weather with a passing trough, flanked by fair weather. Temperatures near to above normal.

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 30 – NOVEMBER 3)

We’ve just enough moisture to kick off a few showers in eastern MA to the NH Seacoast as today dawn’s and a cold front moves through. Behind this front it will be a breezy and still-mild day however, the breeze quite gusty and boosting fire danger somewhat. A secondary front will move through this evening and that will be the introduction of a cooler air mass that will be with us for the coming weekend, which includes Halloween, the switch from Daylight Saving Time to Standard Time, and the first day of November. For Halloween evening shenanigans, expect a clear sky, light wind, but a quick drop-off in temperature as the wind is fairly calm – starting in the 50s at sunset and ending up in the 40s not long after. High pressure will dominate early next week with additional fair weather and milder air returning.

TODAY: Early clouds including quick-passing scattered showers NH Seacoast through eastern MA, then sunshine returning. Highs 65-72. Wind W 10-20 MPH, gusts up to 30 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 33-40. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, a few higher gusts.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 55-62. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, diminishing.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 26-33 except 34-41 coastal & urban areas. Wind calm.

SUNDAY: Sun and high clouds. Highs 56-63. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind S under 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 62-69. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 43-50. Wind SW to variable under 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 60-67. Wind variable to SE up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 4-8)

Pattern trends a bit more active. Low pressure brings a wet weather chance mid period. Details TBD. Temperatures near to above normal.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 9-13)

Disturbance or two with potential unsettled weather in the November 10-12 period. Temperatures near to above normal.

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 29 – NOVEMBER 2)

No changes. High pressure dominates. The first area of high pressure sinks to the south of our region today allowing a warm-up. A cold front moves through with clouds tonight and early Friday and shifts the wind, and a cooler high pressure area moves in from Canada for the weekend, but not before Friday is another mild day waiting for a secondary boundary to move through later in the day before the cooler air starts to move in. For Halloween on Saturday, it will be clear, calm, and quickly cooling off in the evening with temps falling from highs in the 50s into and through the 40s, but without any notable wind. Daylight Saving Time ends and standard time returns on Sunday morning when 2:00 a.m. EDT becomes 1:00 a.m. EST. What once looked like a low pressure area to bring a rain chance Monday now looks like only a weak disturbance with some clouds around that day, but the weather currently looks dry.

TODAY: Sunny. Highs 62-69. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clouds move in. Lows 46-53. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Clouds move out / sun returns. Highs 65-72. Wind SW shifting to NW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 33-40. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 55-62. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, diminishing.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 26-33 except 34-41 coastal & urban areas. Wind calm.

SUNDAY: Sun and high clouds. Highs 56-63. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind S under 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 57-64. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 3-7)

Greatest threat of wet weather is about November 6 in an otherwise mostly dry and mild pattern.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 8-12)

Disturbance or two with potential unsettled weather in the November 10-12 period. Temperatures near to above normal.

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 28 – NOVEMBER 1)

High pressure maintains control of our weather through the weekend. The only “interruption” will be two frontal boundaries that pass by during Friday, the first in the pre-dawn hours with some cloudiness and perhaps a sprinkle of rain, and the second later Friday with little fanfare other than a breeze and the introduction of a slightly cooler air mass after a prior warm-up. The weekend, which is one hour longer due to changing the clocks back 1 hour at 2:00 a.m. Sunday, will be dominated by high pressure, including Halloween evening which will be dry and cool with light winds for outdoor shenanigans.

TODAY: Sunny. Highs 55-62. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 32-39. Wind SW under 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Sunny. Highs 62-69. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 43-50. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sun / cloud mix. Highs 65-72. Wind SW shifting to NW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 33-40. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 58-65. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, diminishing.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 26-33 except 34-41 coastal & urban areas. Wind calm.

SUNDAY: Sun and high clouds. Highs 56-63. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 2-6)

Trend has been for the disturbances in the pipeline to look less and less impressive, and therefore associated rain chances to become minimal for November 2 & 4, to the point we may be looking at just fair weather and above normal temperatures as a ridge of high pressure becomes dominant next week.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 7-11)

Medium range guidance trends have switched to a trough passing through with unsettled early period, and perhaps another late period, with fair weather otherwise. Taking all this with salt grains as medium range guidance performance has been iffy. Doesn’t look overly chilly, and doesn’t look overly stormy.