DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 20-24)
Today is the last full day of astronomical spring, as we welcome summer with the occurrence of the solstice at 4:24 a.m. EDT Sunday. This weekend will feature weather that feels a little more like spring than summer, courtesy a broad upper trough over our region and a surface low spinning about in eastern Canada. Both days will feature a mix of sun and clouds as sun-heated land sends moisture upward into colder air aloft, prompting diurnal cloud development. Some of these clouds can grown adequately to produce showers and even an isolated thunderstorm. Activity will favor the 3 p.m. to 7 p.m. time frame each day and the most likely areas to see it are southern NH and northeastern MA today, and anywhere in the region on Sunday but still focused higher chances in southern NH and eastern MA. Today’s wind will be similar to yesterday’s – an active westerly breeze with gusts, but it will diminish later in the day. Sunday’s wind will be less active as the surface pressure gradient loosens up. The biggest take-aways from the weekend forecast: Low humidity, lack of heat, and dry the vast majority of the time. Just keep an eye out if you have late-day plans for any showers that may be in the area. We then turn our attention to a wave of low pressure moving into the Northeast on Monday, and this brings us the chance of a widespread, somewhat beneficial rainfall. Guidance has been showing somewhat differing solutions for this event, with some bringing in a widespread moderate rain event, and some shunting the brunt to our south with a lighter event or even a partial miss. You’ve heard it a million times here: “When in drought, leave it out”. Well, I’m not leaving it out, per say, but I am leaning toward a fairly widespread but not-too-beneficial event with light to moderate rainfall amounts from a system that moves in during Monday, peaks in the evening, and exits during the early hours of Tuesday. During that day we’ll see quick drying with a clearing trend. Previously, I’d been eyeing a potential system for more unsettled weather on Wednesday, but I am leaning away from that in favor of weak high pressure keeping us dry that day.
TODAY: Sun/cloud mix. Isolated to scattered mid afternoon to early evening showers possible, mainly southern NH and northeastern MA. Highs 75-82. Dew point near 50. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts, diminishing late in the day.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 55-62. Dew point near 50. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
SUNDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Scattered showers and a possible thunderstorm from mid afternoon to early evening. Highs 74-81. Dew point in 50s. Wind W up to 10 MPH but coastal sea breezes possible.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy evening. Mostly cloudy overnight. Lows 55-62. Dew point near 50. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY: Cloudy. Rain arrives southwest to northeast. Highs 68-75, coolest coast. Dew point rises to near 60. Wind E 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain in the evening. Areas of fog. Lows 57-64. Dew point around 60. Wind variable under 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Increasing sun. Highs 72-79. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 55-62. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 74-81, coolest coast. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.
DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 25-29)
Unesttled weather potentials June 25-26 and end of period, otherwise fair weather much of the time. Temperatures variable but averaging close to normal.
DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 30 – JULY 4)
West northwest flow and a couple disturbances with short-lived unsettled threats, Otherwise, mainly dry. Temperatures near to slightly above normal.