DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 12-16)

Back-side influence of upper low pressure (and a larger surface storm well to our east and northeast) will continue today. This comes in the form of morning snow showers from the Seacoast of NH through northeastern MA with lots of coastal cloudiness, and a gusty breeze across the region through the day. A difference between this post-storm air mass and many others this winter is that this one is not of arctic origin, and while the wind definitely has a bite, the less-cold air mass combined with the higher sun angle will make the breezy conditions more tolerable today, although that sun I mentioned will probably have to give up sky to more cloudiness as the day goes on – similar to but to a lesser degree than yesterday. High pressure to our southwest expands northeastward enough to shut the wind down and clear the sky more for tonight and Friday. We then look to a small but potent disturbance at upper levels with a surface trough reflection to move through the region on Saturday. While most of that day will see fair weather, there is a decent shot of one or two rounds of snow showers between the pre-dawn and sunset hours – basically a day to just keep an eye on the sky and radar if you have outside and travel plans, as any of these snow showers can be visibility-cutters, albeit for brief periods of time. This weekend is a holiday weekend for many, and as we get to Sunday we see fair and seasonable weather, but will be keeping an eye on low pressure to our southwest. This system has been under the expected media scrutiny all week (will it? won’t it?). I do not think we’re in from a hit from this system as it fails to phase with another system well to the north. This leaves us with the expectation for fair weather here again for Monday, though it may start as a cloudy day with the system passing by to our south before the sun returns for a while. However, more clouds arrive from the west later, these being associated with the northern system that the southern system will not be phasing with.

TODAY: Lots of clouds eastern coastal areas with some snow flurries NH Seacoast and northeastern MA into mid morning, otherwise a sun/cloud mix. Highs 31-38. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 10-17 rural and valley areas, 15-22 elsewhere, mildest coastal plain and urban centers. Wind NW 5-15 MPH shifts to W then drops to near calm.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 31-38. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear evening. Clouds return overnight with a snow shower chance favoring areas west of Boston pre-dawn. Lows 14-21. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Sun / cloud mix. Chance of snow showers, favoring early morning and late afternoon. Highs 32-39. Wind SW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts, shifting to NW.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 12-19. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 31-38. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 21-28. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Variably cloudy with most sun midday. Highs 32-39. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 17-21)

This presents as a fairly quiet period with one interruption about February 18 as low pressure passes to our north with a minor precipitation event far more likely than something more significant. Lack of arctic air, abundance of Pacific air, which means temperatures for the 5-day period near to slightly above normal, the mild air modified (cooled) by existing snow cover. However, the snow cover, subjected to the relatively mild air and higher sun angle, will be accelerating its “shrinkage” as time goes on.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 22-26)

Following a trend back toward a colder pattern and potential wintry precipitation event or two before month’s end.

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 11-15)

Low pressure redeveloped east of our region last night and will move northeastward toward Atlantic Canada through Thursday. A trough coming around the back side of this system will bring a snow shower and snow squall chance this evening after fair weather today. Fair weather returns Thursday though it will be breeze between the storm well to our northeast and high pressure to the southwest of New England. High pressure noses into the region with fair and more tranquil weather for Friday before a small but potent disturbance will bring a cold front through the region Saturday with a snow shower chance. This will be followed by fair weather on Sunday, but some increase in cloudiness later as the next low pressure approaches the East Coast from the west (more about this system in the next section after the detailed forecast).

TODAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 35-42. Wind NW to N 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Chance of snow showers and snow squalls from southern NH through central and eastern MA prior to midnight with accumulation of up to 1/2 inch possible. Lows 18-25. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 30-37. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 12-19. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 31-38. Wind NW to W 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 13-20. Wind W to SW up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Sun / cloud mix. Chance of snow showers. Highs 32-39. Wind SW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts, shifting to NW.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 12-19. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 31-38. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 16-20)

Watching for a potential storm threat for February 16 but leaning toward a pass out to sea to the south. Will monitor trends and update the outlook for this day accordingly. Fair and seasonable weather a good portion of next week following this threat.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 21-25)

A couple disturbances passing through triggering some up-and-down temperatures and minor precipitation threats, but no major storminess is indicated during this period. A stronger shot of cold air may arrive late in the period.

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 10-14)

A clipper-low will slide east southeastward rapidly today and tonight, with the low center passing just north of our area – across northern New England – during this evening, while it is maturing and its warm front / cold front combo is in the process of occluding (when the cold front catches up to the warm front starting at the low center and progressing away from it). One band of snow will move across our region ahead of the warm front / occlusion, with a second, slightly heavier band of precipitation along the cold front / occlusion. It looks like the occluding part of the frontal boundaries will cross southern NH and northern MA, while southern MA and CT /RI get briefly into the warm sector behind the warm front and ahead of the cold front before the latter passes through those areas. The further north you are, the less break (or no break) you will see between the snow areas with the two fronts. The further south you are, the shorter snow period number 1 will be, and the second period will come also in a somewhat shorter burst that will be mixed with rain the closer to the South Coast and Cape Cod you are, due to the brief intrusion of warmer air that occurs in those location. As expected, the accumulation of snow with this system will reflect what I just described. I’m looking for only a coating to 1 inch along the South Coast, 1 to 3 inches from a Providence RI / Hartford CT line northward with closer to 1 inch favored the further south you are and a build up the further north you go, and finally 3 to 5 inches north of Route 2 from far north central MA across southern NH into northeastern MA, with most areas toward the lower side of this range while the maximum amounts occur in a rather small zone from south central NH (Manchester / Concord area) to the NH Seacoast and northern Essex County MA. This precipitation event will end from northwest to southeast across the WHW forecast area from about 11 p.m. to 3 a.m. During the overnight hours into the daytime hours of Wednesday, the low pressure area will redevelop offshore to the east of New England, and as it moves away, the old low pressure area to the north will transform into an inverted trough behind the new low pressure center, and as the latter’s center intensifies and heads toward Atlantic Canada, it will pull the inverted trough southward around the back side of its circulation. It is this trough that will then bring the chance of snow showers to southeastern NH and eastern MA Wednesday evening. This part of the event looks slightly less impressive on short range guidance than it did 24 hours ago, however the opportunity does exist, and anybody who experiences a snow shower could see a minor additional accumulation of snow and briefly low visibility. Thursday’s weather will be blustery and seasonably chilly with a fair amount of clouds mixed with some sun as our area sits underneath the western side of upper level low pressure and in a northwesterly air flow behind the departed low pressure area which will by then be a larger storm in Atlantic Canada, while a high pressure area builds across the Ohio Valley. That high, while passing to our south, does nose northeastward enough to result in more sun and less wind on Friday, which despite being a seasonably chilly day as well, will feel less cold than Thursday now to the noticeably-increasing sun angle as we enter mid February. On Saturday, I’m watching a small but potent disturbance dropping southeastward out of Canada that will drag a cold front our way and bring the chance of some passing snow showers that day.

TODAY: Sunshine fades behind increasing clouds. Highs 27-34. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Overcast evening with snow likely, however a brief break in precipitation especially I-90 belt southward, and some rain mixed in late evening along the South Coast. Snow and South Coast mix ends northwest to southeast late evening into overnight followed by breaking clouds. Lows 23-30. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 30-37. Wind NW to N 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Chance of snow showers southeastern NH and eastern MA evening. Lows 13-20. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 27-34. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 12-19. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 28-35. Wind NW to W 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 13-20. Wind W to SW up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Sun / cloud mix. Chance of snow showers. Highs 30-37. Wind SW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts, shifting to NW.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 15-19)

Watching the period from late February 15 through February 16 for potential impact from low pressure. Track of storm system is uncertain, but currently leaning toward a graze or miss as it passes to the south. Fair, seasonably cold weather follows for February 17-19.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 20-24)

A couple disturbances passing through triggering some up-and-down temperatures and minor precipitation threats, but no major storminess is indicated during this period. A stronger shot of cold air may arrive at the very end of the period.

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 9-13)

While this week will be quieter overall than recent weather has been, it won’t be without a little winter action. We start with a cold and dry day today with high pressure in control, but a quick-moving clipper low will race our way via the Great Lakes Tuesday, with advancing clouds after a little early-day sun. By day’s end into evening, thicker overcast will produce a swath of snow across the region with some accumulation. While it’s not destined to be a major snowfall, it will cause some travel disruption for a few hours, especially in areas near and north of I-90 where it will be steadiest and heaviest. The snow may be mixed with some rain along the South Coast initially due to slightly milder air in place there. This tapers off later at night, but as the low starts to intensify offshore as it departs on Wednesday, an inverted trough swinging around its back side will initiate some snow showers and snow squalls, mainly in southeastern NH and eastern MA during the afternoon to early evening. Coverage should be pretty widespread with some reduced visibility and minor additional accumulation before they pull away to the south and southeast by mid evening. Fair, seasonably chilly weather follows this for Thursday and Friday as high pressure builds in.

TODAY: Sunny. Highs 20-27. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, a few higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 5-10 except -3 to +4 in some lower elevations. Wind W under 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Sunshine fades behind increasing clouds. Highs 27-34. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Overcast with snow in the evening, may start mixed with rain along the South Coast – snow accumulation of a coating to 1 inch South Coast, 1 to 3 inches I-90 belt, 3 to 5 inches north of Route 2 with highest amounts in northeastern MA and southeastern NH. Snow ends with breaking clouds overnight. Lows 23-30. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of snow showers and snow squalls from north to south in the afternoon, favoring southeastern NH and eastern MA with minor additional accumulation possible. Highs 30-37. Wind NW to N 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 13-20. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 27-34. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 12-19. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 28-35. Wind NW to W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 14-18)

Unsettled weather potential mid period but next storm system may be a miss to the south. Overall pattern is quieter with slightly variable but mostly near normal temperatures for mid February.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 19-23)

No big changes. Up-and-down temps but averaging not far from normal for season. Watching for a couple disturbances but no strong indications of major storminess at this time.

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 8-12)

The region is now in the deep freeze following yesterday’s chaotic snow event, that despite my description, played out very much as expected. The arctic air mass that came in at its conclusion stays with us today and eases its grip starting Monday. Before that happens, today we will see a few ocean-effect snow flurries on Outer Cape Cod, and tonight, an area of high and mid level clouds can spin back southwest to south over our sky on the back side of the upper low from the just-departed storm system. After the quieter interlude Monday, the next weather system to contend with will be a fast-moving low pressure area passing north of our region late Tuesday into Wednesday. This system will have limited moisture to work with. Its warm front will produce a light snowfall in the region Tuesday evening, while its cold front can produce a few snow showers Wednesday morning. This system is going to redevelop off the coast to our southeast Wednesday night and Thursday before moving away, and while being far enough out to avoid significant impact, it may throw an inverted trough back toward the coast enough for additional snow showers in eastern sections Thursday morning – something to watch for.

TODAY: Cape Cod clouds and snow flurries especially Mid Cape eastward, diminishing this afternoon. Elsewhere, sunshine but high and mid level clouds patches arrive from north to south late in the day. Highs 12-19. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, gusts around 30 MPH. Wind chill often near to below zero.

TONIGHT: Patchy clouds early, then clearing. Lows -3 +4 except 5-12 Cape Cod and some urban centers. Wind NW diminishing to 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 17-24. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows -3 to + 5 except 5-12 Cape Cod and urban centers. Wind NW to W under 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Increasing clouds. Good chance of light snow late-day, favoring areas north of I-90. Highs 25-32. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with snow likely in the evening, accumulating a coating to 2 inches, favoring areas north of I-90. Lows 22-29 early but may rise slightly later. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of a snow shower in the morning. Highs 30-37. Wind SW shifting to NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 13-20. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 28-35. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 13-17)

Watching for some mid-period unsettled weather but still no strong indications of a major event. Temperatures variable, averaging out near to slightly below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 18-22)

No big changes looking ahead. Up-and-down temps but averaging not far from normal for season. Watching for a couple disturbances but no strong indications of major storminess at this time.

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 7-11)

A snowy Saturday, a result of the complex evolution / redevelopment of low pressure that was initially starting to pass to our north but ends up as an ocean storm to our south and moving out to sea tonight. During this process the snow takes place with one large general synoptic area as well as some enhanced ocean-effect bands and some focused heavier convective snow areas due to an inverted trough combined with an arctic boundary. When it’s all done, a general light to moderate snowfall occurs everywhere with the exception of heavier bands of snow accumulation where ocean-effect and trough-enhanced snowfall is maximized, still seeming like it will focus on northeastern MA and parts of the MA South Shore, and along a slowing arctic boundary in eastern CT, western RI, and adjacent far south central MA. The final snow amounts can end up highly variable from one location to another just a few miles away, but below I’ll give you my best-guess final call on this event, which wraps up by this evening. Note: I think if one location is going to exceed even my highest forecast number of 10 inches, it will be somewhere in Essex County MA. Tonight we have a few lingering snow flurries early with the full-on arrival of arctic air, which will be with us through Sunday night, along with wind and pretty brutal wind chills, as well as blowing snow to add a bit of insult to injury (unless you like this kind of weather, like I do – haha). If you need to be outside for any length of time tonight through Sunday night, dress accordingly! We’ll see a gradual moderation from the coldest weather Monday and Tuesday, although overnight / early morning low temps will still be quite frigid due to deep snow cover and lessening wind. High pressure brings fair weather on Monday. Timing for our next unsettled threat is a little faster with low pressure looking like it will rocket eastward, clipper-style, and pass just north of our area late Tuesday and early Wednesday. While a few tweaks may be needed, it looks like this system’s warm front can produce some light snowfall later Tuesday and its cold front may produce a snow shower early Wednesday, but it will not be a significant weather-producer.

TODAY: Overcast with snow including heavier snow shower bands favoring the MA North Shore & eventually South Shore regions. Snowfall accumulations of 3 to 6 inches in general, with pockets of 6 to 10 inches favoring Essex County MA and the MA South Shore, and another such pocket eastern CT, western RI and adjacent southern MA. Isolated greater than 10 inch totals are possible in parts of Essex County. Highs 18-25 except 23-30 Cape Cod / South Coast, but a rapid temperature drop develops from northwest to southeast during the afternoon hours. Wind E to NE 5-15 MPH, shifting NE to N later in the day.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy early with lingering snow flurries, followed by clearing. Lows 0-7. Wind N to NW increasing to 15-25 MPH with higher gusts. Wind chill -10 to -20.

SUNDAY: Sunny. Highs 11-18. Wind NW 15-25 MPH. Wind chill often below zero.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows -5 +2 except 0-7 Cape Cod and some urban centers. Wind NW diminishing to 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 17-24. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows -3 to + 5 except 5-12 Cape Cod and urban centers. Wind NW to W under 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Increasing clouds. Good chance of light snow late-day, favoring areas north of I-90. Highs 25-32. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. A snow flurry possible. Temperatures nearly steady. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of a snow shower in the morning. Highs 30-37. Wind SW shifting to NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 12-16)

Watching for some mid-period unsettled weather but currently no strong indications of a major event. Temperatures variable, averaging out near to slightly below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 17-21)

Up-and-down temperature pattern with one or two more unsettled weather potentials but no major storms expected.

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 6-10)

The complex evolution described in yesterday’s blog post is still expected to take place as noted then, but so you don’t have to go back and re-read it, here’s that section basically copied / pasted and tweaked a tad to be current. While high and mid level clouds increase from the west, lower clouds come in from the ocean on a northeasterly air flow today, and these lower clouds can produce a few coastal snow flurries. This is the start of a complex evolution of a weather system which brings our region snow on Saturday. Transfer from low pressure to our north to developing low pressure to our south and southeast takes place, the end result of which is a deepening ocean storm with an inverted trough swinging back through southeastern New England. While a general widespread light snowfall is expected, pockets of moderate accumulation can occur both in the hills of northwestern RI to central MA, more associated with the initial frontal boundary’s arrival and slowing, and more likely in the I-95 belt eastward with the ocean-effect / inverted trough combination. I put numbers to this in the detailed forecast below. At the conclusion of and following this event, in comes a shot of arctic air, along with wind, that will result in extremely cold wind chill readings but dry weather during Sunday. While the wind and cold ease slightly by Monday, it will remain fair and quite cold with arctic high pressure in control. By Tuesday look for a little more in the way of temperature moderation while high pressure continues to dominate with fair weather.

TODAY: Mostly cloudy. A few coastal snow flurries. Highs 23-30. Wind N to NE 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. A few snow flurries early, then periods of snow late evening and overnight. Lows 13-20. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Cloudy. Periods of snow. Heavier snow showers likely at times I-95 belt eastward. Highs 20-27. Wind NE to N 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy evening with lingering snow showers early, including heavier snow showers likely MA South Shore to Cape Cod. Total snowfall accumulation for the event expected to be 1 to 3 inches in much of the area, but 2 to 4 inches in a few higher elevations of North Central MA and 3 to 6 inches from Cape Ann to the MA South Shore and possibly Cape Cod with isolated greater than 6 inch amounts possible east of the I-95 belt. Clearing overnight. Lows 0-7. Wind N to NW increasing to 15-25 MPH creating blowing snow and wind chill readings below to well below zero.

SUNDAY: Sunny. Highs 10-17. Wind NW 15-25 MPH. Wind chill often below zero.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows -5 +2 except 0-7 Cape Cod and some urban centers. Wind NW diminishing to 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 17-24. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows -3 to + 5 except 5-12 Cape Cod and urban centers. Wind NW to W under 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Sunny. Highs 25-32. Wind W to SW up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 11-15)

A little faster timing indicated for next unsettled weather threat which is a chance of snow from low pressure passing by just to our south later February 11 into early February 12, however not indicated to be a major storm. Fair weather follows with temperatures near to below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 16-20)

Up-and-down temperature pattern with one or two more unsettled weather potentials but no major storms expected.

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 5-9)

High pressure brings dry and cold weather through Friday with abundant sunshine anticipated today, but more limited sun Friday due to both an increasing in high and mid level cloudiness from the west with the approach of a trough and cold front, and lower clouds from the ocean in the coastal plain with a low level northeasterly air flow developing. After this, a complex process of frontal passage and upper level energy transfer from low pressure to our north to developing low pressure to our south and southeast takes place, the end result of which is a deepening ocean storm with an inverted trough swinging back through southeastern New England. This entire process takes place during the calendar day hours of Saturday, resulting in periods of snow, the finale of which is expected to be an inverted trough induced batch of moderate to heavy snow for a couple hours moving north to south across far eastern areas late Saturday afternoon into early Saturday night. The complex evolution results in an uneven expectation for snowfall amounts, which will be reflected in the detailed accumulation forecast that appears on the Saturday night portion of the forecast below. Following this event, in comes a shot of arctic air, along with wind, that will result in extremely cold wind chill readings but dry weather during Sunday. While the wind and cold ease slightly by Monday, it will remain fair and quite cold with arctic high pressure in control.

TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 25-32. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 15-22. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 23-30. Wind N to NE 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of snow overnight. Lows 13-20. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Cloudy. Periods of snow. Heavier snow showers likely Cape Ann to MA South Shore late-day. Highs 20-27. Wind NE to N 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy evening with lingering snow showers early, including heavier snow showers likely MA South Shore to Cape Cod early. Total snowfall accumulation for the event expected to be 1 to 3 inches in much of the area, but 2 to 4 inches in a few higher elevations of North Central MA and 3 to 6 inches from Cape Ann to the MA South Shore and possibly Cape Cod. Clearing overnight. Lows 0-7. Wind N to NW increasing to 15-25 MPH creating blowing snow and wind chill readings below to well below zero.

SUNDAY: Sunny. Highs 10-17. Wind NW 15-25 MPH. Wind chill often below zero.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows -5 +2 except 0-7 Cape Cod and some urban centers. Wind NW diminishing to 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 17-24. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 10-14)

Fair with temperature moderation early period. Unsettled weather potential increases later period.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 15-19)

Up-and-down temperature pattern with one or two more unsettled weather potentials but no major storms expected.

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 4-8)

Some quick changes will take place during this 5-day period but without having to deal with any major storms. We will have to deal with a potent shot of arctic air before we finish the weekend, however. But back to today first, we have a disturbance passing south of our region and some low and mid level moisture associated with it passing through with a fair amount of clouds the first part of the day. A few snow flurries can occur under these clouds, but if you see any, then will have no impact on your travel or plans. A weak area of high pressure moves in later today through Thursday and into Friday with fair weather. Late Friday, a frontal boundary approaches from the west while a stronger ocean storm stays well offshore and scoots out to sea. With an upper trough in place, the initial low pressure, separate from the ocean storm, parenting the cold front will be moving by to our north and redeveloping a little closer-by, near NY State, slowing and bending the frontal boundary, and then redeveloping again during Saturday offshore to our southeast. This system is also destined to become a strong ocean storm, but will do so far enough away from our region so that we will only see some snowfall from the transfer of the first redeveloped low to the offshore storm-to-be. This means the snowfall, which occurs from late Friday night into Saturday, will be relatively minor. What the offshore storm will do is help pull in the aforementioned arctic air mass for Saturday night and Sunday, with well below normal temperatures and gusty winds making it feel even colder to finish off the weekend.

TODAY: Lots of clouds and a possible snow flurry until mid morning, then a mix of sunshine and clouds. Highs 26-33. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 10-17. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 23-30. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 15-22. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 23-30. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of snow overnight. Lows 13-20. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Periods of snow with expected accumulation of a coating to 2 inches. Highs 20-27. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: A possible snow squall early, otherwise clearing. Lows 0-7. Wind NW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill below zero.

SUNDAY: Sunny. Highs 10-17. Wind NW 15-25 MPH. Wind chill often below zero.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 9-13)

Fair weather and moderating temperatures February 9-11. Low pressure area from the west brings unsettled weather later in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 14-18)

Up-and-down temperature pattern – near to below normal for the period, with a couple unsettled periods but no major storms expected.

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 3-7)

Cold, generally dry weather continues through midweek, with just one disturbance going by late tonight and early tomorrow causing possible snow showers – basically a no-impact event, other than to reinforce the cold a little, but still not to the level of recent cold. However, another system passing by that can bring some light snow Friday night and early Saturday will deliver an arctic air mass, quite evident during the day Saturday when the temperatures don’t really go up, but the wind does. More next discussion.

TODAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 26-33. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Increasing clouds. A snow shower possible mostly south of I-90 overnight. Lows 12-19. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy. A snow shower possible mostly south of I-90 early. Highs 25-32. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 10-17. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 23-30. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 15-22. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 23-30. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Chance of snow. Lows 13-20. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Cloudy with a chance of snow early, then a sun/cloud mix. Highs 15-22 early, then falling. Wind NW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 8-12)

Dry, very cold February 8, then a moderation but still below normal with fair weather until late period when there is a chance of unsettled weather.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 13-17)

Up-and-down temperature pattern – near to below normal for the period, with a couple unsettled periods but no major storms expected.

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 2-6)

Just had a zoom coffee with Punxutawey Phil and now he’s going out to meet his public while I write today’s blog. We agreed that I’ll handle the next 15 days and he can handle the next 4 to 6 weeks. 😉 Let’s get to it! The story is cold this week, but not quite as cold as last week during this 5-day period as we are in a dry pattern through midweek. A disturbance passes by Tuesday night and early Wednesday and may produce snow showers south of I-90 but for the most part this system looks like a miss. We’ll look to the west for a more formidable clipper-style low pressure area heading our way by Friday, bringing a chance of snow or snow showers. A little more about this chance as we head through the next few days.

TODAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 25-32. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear to partly cloudy. Lows 3-10. Wind diminishes to calm.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 26-33. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. A snow shower possible south of I-90 overnight. Lows 12-19. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy. A snow shower possible south of I-90 early. Highs 25-32. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 10-17. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 23-30. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clouding up. Lows 15-22. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Cloudy with a chance of snow. Highs 23-30. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 7-11)

Watching the potential for a serious cold outbreak on the February 7-8 weekend, then a slight relaxing of the cold thereafter with dry weather followed by the potential for unsettled weather by the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 12-16)

Some up-and-down temperatures but generally below normal with a couple threats for snow showers from passing disturbances.

P.S. – I just got a message from Phil. Shadow seen – six more weeks of winter ahead! Enjoyyyyyyyy!

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 1-5)

A powerful ocean storm passes by well to our southeast today. On the northwestern periphery of its circulation we see some ocean-effect snow from the MA South Shore to South Coast, and some synoptic snow from the storm itself over Cape Cod for a few hours, all resulting in a general 1-3 inch snowfall, which drops off quickly to nothing at all as you head west of the Route 24 area south of Boston. The city of Boston and Cape Ann MA can see a few ocean-effect flurries, but with no more than a dusting to 1 inch (especially Cape Ann). Any snow that accumulates will be hard to measure as a gusty northeasterly wind will blow it around. The storm pulls away tonight and our pattern from here is chilly and generally dry heading through the middle of this coming week. While we’re not in as deep a cold air mass as previously, it does stay generally colder than normal through Thursday. A disturbance passing by may produce snow showers or a period of light snow sometime on Wednesday, but this does not look like a significant system to contend with.

TODAY: Mostly cloudy. Snow showers likely MA South Shore to MA South Coast including Cape Cod, with a period of steadier snow midday-afternoon Cape Cod, with general snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches. Occasional snow showers Cape Ann MA to Boston with under 1 inch. Highs 18-25. Wind N to NE 10-20 MPH inland and 15-30 MPH coast with higher gusts, especially Cape Cod. Minor to pockets of moderate coastal flooding around the time of high tide.

TONIGHT: Clearing. Lows 9-16. Wind N to NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts, especially coastal areas.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 25-32. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear to partly cloudy. Lows 11-18. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 26-33. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 12-19. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of snow showers, mostly southern areas and mostly morning. Highs 25-32. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 10-17. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 23-30. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 6-10)

Passing low pressure brings the chance of snow February 6-7, but not looking like a major storm system. Fair weather follows. Temperatures below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 11-15)

Some up-and-down temperatures but generally below normal with a couple threats for snow showers from passing disturbances.

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 31 – FEBRUARY 4)

You’ll recall yesterday the comparison to yesterday morning’s low temperatures and the expected low for this morning being different due to the difference between a gusty wind and nearly calm conditions. Well, winds are calm in many areas this morning, others seeing a light northwesterly breeze 10 MPH or under. Temperatures have responded accordingly, but there is quite a range also to be noted as the sun comes up. Norwood MA is our area cold spot, having been calm all night, and fallen to a low temp of -12, while at Provincetown MA on the tip of Cape Cod, a northwest breeze of 10 MPH coming across milder ocean water has their temp sitting at +13, along with a few ocean-effect snow flurries in the area. Boston’s Logan airport sits at +8 while most of its suburbs and outskirts sit between 0 and -10 as of sunrise. This is the type of early morning you can throw hot water to “make a cloud”, but if you do that, use caution! Today’s weather will be cold and fairly tranquil to wrap up the month of January, and the sun will start to fade behind increasing high cloudiness later as the much-talked-about storm organizes well to our south. This storm is going to intensify rapidly, i.e., undergo “bombogenesis”, and after bringing a significant snowfall to the Carolinas and Virginia, will spare the Mid Atlantic and most of the Northeast, only grazing far southeastern New England with the edge of its synoptic snow shield Sunday, while the circulation around it does help initiate some ocean-effect snow on the MA South Shore to Cape Cod late tonight into Sunday. This will account for most of the snowfall accumulation we see, with a little synoptic addition most notable on Outer Cape Cod and Nantucket. Once you get to about Boston and all points west, the most you see are a few flakes of snow with much of this region only being under the storm’s cloud canopy but seeing no snowfall at all. A few hundred miles further west and north with this storm track, and we’d be looking at a storm potentially the magnitude of last week’s except with much stronger wind, along with significant coastal flooding. As is, even with the far out to sea track, the circulation around the storm is enough to lead to some minor to borderline moderate coastal flooding near high tide times on Sunday in areas most prone to it. The monster storm goes by and heads for a Nova Scotia walloping Monday as we see dry, windy, and chilly weather for Groundhog Day, and continued fair and chilly weather into the middle of next week. This time it won’t be be quite as cold as we have seen recently, though it will still be running somewhat below normal for the early part of February.

TODAY: Sun and high clouds. Highs 17-24. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clouding up. Snow showers MA South Shore to Cape Cod. Lows 8-15. Wind N to NE 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Cloudy. Snow likely Cape Cod and MA South Shore to southeastern RI with most areas seeing 1-3 inches, but a couple areas of 3-6 inches possible MA South Shore and especially Outer Cape Cod and Nantucket. Occasional light snow with under 1 inch Boston to Providence. Snow threat ends by late-day. Highs 18-25. Wind N to NE 15-25 MPH except 25-35 MPH with higher gusts southeastern MA, especially Cape Cod / Islands.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 9-16. Wind N to NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts, especially coastal areas.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 25-32. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear to partly cloudy. Lows 11-18. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 26-33. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 12-19. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 25-32. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 5-9)

Watching the period late February 5 to early February 7 for a snow chance but too soon for details. Fair weather follows. Temperatures below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 10-14)

Some up-and-down temperatures but generally below normal with a couple threats for snow showers from passing disturbances.

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 30 – FEBRUARY 3)

Our cold pattern rolls on, and the the final 2 mornings of the first month of 2026 present an opportunity for a weather lesson – a comparison between today’s low temperatures and tomorrow’s low temperatures, noting the difference even though we’re in the same air mass. Why is that going to happen? The answer is simple. Wind today. Lack of wind tomorrow. This morning’s low temperatures are in the single digits to lower teens across the entire WHW forecast area, rather uniform due to a busy northwesterly wind mixing the air adequately enough so that we don’t see that difference between coast and inland, lower and higher elevation. Tomorrow morning, the air will be calm, so we will see those differences, when even though the air mass has not changed, there can be large differences in low temperature between an urban area or a town right at the water’s edge, and an inland valley location. Prepare for a pop quiz at some point! 😉 … During this time we’ll see dry weather, with lots of sun both today and Saturday, but some filtering of that sun Saturday due to increasing high clouds ahead of our next storm threat. This threat exists late Saturday night and Sunday, but looks rather different than our previous big hit, as we will be side-swiped by a large ocean storm. It does appear that it will pass close enough to bring some accumulating snow to southeastern MA and as far west as the I-95 belt as well, with a drop off to not much / nothing west of there. There are still possibilities of a slight track variation in that storm enough to shift it all further east and offshore, and a lesser but not zero chance of a westward shift expanding the snow area and potential amounts, though the latter is less likely than the former. Beyond that, we return to fair weather and not quite as cold weather for the beginning of next week.

TODAY: Sunny. Highs 15-22. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill below 10.

TONIGHT: Clear. Lows -5 to +2, colder pockets in valleys. Wind NW to N diminishing to under 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Sun and high clouds. Highs 17-24. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clouding up. Lows 7-14. Wind N to NE 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Cloudy. Snow likely coast / southeastern areas. Chance of snow elsewhere. Potential snow accumulation of 4+ inches Cape Cod / Islands, 2+ inches MA South Shore to southeastern RI, 1+ inch I-95 belt, and less than 1 inch west of the I-95 belt. Highs 18-25. Wind N to NE 15-25 MPH except 25-35 MPH with higher gusts southeastern MA, especially Cape Cod / Islands.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Snow ends, sky clears. Lows 10-17. Wind N to NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts especially coastal areas.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 25-32. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear to partly cloudy. Lows 11-18. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 26-33. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 4-8)

Watching for a winter weather threat around February 5 to early February 6, and another minor threat over the February 7-8 weekend. Temperatures near to below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 9-13)

Temperatures mostly below normal but with more variation and a couple chances of snow showers as cold air is reinforced, but overall a quieter pattern in terms of storm threats.

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 29 – FEBRUARY 2)

The big chill remains with us as we wrap up January over the next few days. The coldest of the final 3 days of the month will be Friday, and along with a gusty wind, it will feel even colder. Today we see a band of ocean-effect snow showers that can bring some minor accumulation to Outer Cape Cod while the rest of us can see a passing snow shower with a reinforcing arctic boundary passing by late in the day or early this evening. Dry conditions will persist Friday and Saturday, though like last Saturday, this one will also feature an increase in high cloudiness ahead of a storm system developing to our south. As far as the storm and its threat to us, the evolution and track of this one will be different from the previous one. Low pressure deepens and matures fairly rapidly in the ocean south of New England after giving significant snow to parts of the Southeast and southern Mid Atlantic. While it looks like this storm system’s low center is going to pass well southeast of our region, its large circulation is certainly going to have some impact in terms of wind and some snowfall. The strongest winds will most definitely occur over Cape Cod. The snowfall is still something I am in the process of figuring out and fine-tuning, and that will take a couple more days. As it stands now, the best chance of a significant snowfall on Sunday will be over southeastern MA including Cape Cod and the Islands, with chances dropping off fairly significant as you head northwest across the region. Behind this system comes dry weather for Monday, and this time the air mass will not be quite as cold as what we are enduring this week.

TODAY: Clouds and occasional snow showers Outer Cape Cod with up to 1 or 2 inches of accumulation. Sunny to partly cloudy elsewhere with a chance of snow showers west to east by late in the afternoon. Highs 16-23. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy with a chance of snow showers early, then clearing. Lows -1 to +6. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill below zero.

FRIDAY: Sunny. Highs 15-22. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill below 10.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows -5 to +2, colder pockets in valleys. Wind NW to N diminishing to under 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Sun and high clouds. Highs 17-24. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clouding up. Lows 7-14. Wind N to NE 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Cloudy. Snow likely coast / southeastern areas. Chance of snow elsewhere. Highs 18-25. Wind N to NE 15-25 MPH except 25-35 MPH with higher gusts southeastern MA, especially Cape Cod / Islands.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Snow ends, sky clears. Lows 10-17. Wind N to NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts especially coastal areas.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 25-32. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 3-7)

Temperatures remain below normal but not quite to the current level of cold. Watching for a winter weather threat about February 5 to early February 6, preceded by and followed by fair weather.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 8-12)

Temperatures below normal but with more variation and a couple chances of snow showers as cold air is reinforced, but overall a quieter pattern in terms of storm threats.