On this final day of August 2022 we will be transitioning from a humid air mass that tacked on another 90+ day to Boston’s total yesterday and into a drier one, but it will take a number of hours before we feel the drier air. The cold front that leads the new air mass in is just going through the region now, having produced a pretty solid band of light to moderate showers with embedded downpours in the pre-dawn to dawn time frame. As of 7:00 a.m. (the time I began writing this blog update), the shower band is just getting set to exit the NH Seacoast and MA East Coast but is just about to cross Outer Cape Cod before exiting there by 9:00 a.m. Areas to the west saw their showers earlier, and are already rain-free with clearing starting to move in. This drying / clearing trend will push eastward, and while we have a warm day (not as hot as yesterday) the dew point will be going down gradually from west to east as the drier air mass moves into our region. Another secondary front / trough will be passing by later Thursday with a bit of a reinforcement of dry and slightly cooler air to move in on Friday. So as we start September, the trend is drier/cooler as low pressure departs via eastern Canada and high pressure approaches via the Great Lakes area. This high will settle across our region Saturday providing a splendid start to the Labor Day weekend. Saturday could be one of those days with a very large diurnal temperature swing. After we get our cool air delivery on Friday, the high center comes right over our region Friday night and early Saturday morning, the clear sky and calm wind will allow for radiational cooling and with a low dew point, the temperature can fall well down into the 50s with maybe even some upper 40s in the deeper interior valleys. During the day on Saturday, the high center will slip off to the south and east and allow a more southerly air flow to take hold, warming us up nicely, especially inland, away from the ocean’s influence, where areas that were near 50 at sunrise can be around 80 by early afternoon. But despite the warm up the humidity will remain low on Saturday and it will be great for outdoor activities. A bit of a stronger southwesterly air flow will take hold on Sunday, pushing higher humidity into the region, with high pressure now to the south, and a cold front approaching from the northwest. This front looks like it may be somewhat moisture starved and not have a lot of support, but I cannot rule out a shower or thunderstorm for some areas later Sunday. Still have to tweak the more precise timing of this threat…
TODAY: Showers exit coastal areas before 8:00 a.m. except outer Cape Cod by 9:00 a.m. with clouds giving way to sun and passing clouds west to east. Highs 81-88. Dew point upper 60s to middle 70s early in the day, gradually but steadily falling to upper 50s to middle 60s by late in the day. Wind shifting to W and increasing to 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 57-64. Dew point falling through 50s. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 76-83. Dew point near 50. Wind W shifting to NW 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 53-60. Dew point near 50. Wind N up to 10 MPH.
FRIDAY: Sunny. Highs 73-80. Dew point upper 40s to lower 50s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear except ground fog patches forming interior lower elevations. Lows 48-55. Dew point upper 40s to 50. Wind calm.
SATURDAY: Sunny. Highs 76-83. Dew point rising through 50s. Wind S up to 10 MPH but coastal sea breezes possible.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 60-67. Dew point upper 50s. Wind S-SW up to 10 MPH.
SUNDAY: Partly sunny. An afternoon shower or thunderstorm possible. Highs 82-89. Dew point rising into 60s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (SEPTEMBER 5-9)
Labor Day September 5 should feature cooler weather and a sun/cloud mix with high pressure to the north sending a northeasterly air flow into the region. High pressure sinks to the south with fair weather and a warming trend September 6-8 before the next frontal boundary arrives with a shower threat and higher humidity at the end of the period.
DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 10-14)
As we reach the middle of September we’ll likely be governed by high pressure with mostly dry weather and near to above normal temperatures and we’ll continue to monitor for offshore tropical activity which may at least increase the surf along the coastline.