Friday July 8 2022 Forecast (7:53AM)

39 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JULY 8-12)

A quick shot of warmth and higher humidity, though not oppressive humidity, precedes the passage of a cold front later today. This front will have limited activity on it, with only a few showers and perhaps a thunderstorm in the area later in the day. That exits during tonight, and high pressure builds in for a beautiful weekend, coolest both days along the coast, warmest inland, but lots of sun and low humidity both days as well. High pressure will move offshore Monday and a southwesterly wind, the “return flow” as it’s known, will usher in warmer but only slightly more humid air. You’ll notice the humidity more so on Tuesday as well as the feel of summer as we make a rare (for this summer so far) run at 90. We’ll also have to watch for a late-day thunderstorm Tuesday as a frontal boundary will be getting closer to the area from the northwest.

TODAY: Variably cloudy. Isolated to scattered showers and a slight chance of a thunderstorm mainly mid to late afternoon. Highs 79-86. Dew point over 60. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers early, then clearing. Lows 57-64. Dew point falling to near 50. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 77-84. Dew point 50s. Wind NW 5-15 MPH shifting to NE.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 55-62. Dew point under 50. Wind NE under 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 77-84, coolest coast. Dew point near 50. Wind N shifting to E up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 56-63. Dew point near 50. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 80-87. Dew point near 55. Wind variable up to 10 MPH morning, SW 10-20 MPH afternoon.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 61-68. Dew point nearing 60. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. A late day shower or thunderstorm is possible. Highs 85-92. Dew point rising through 60s. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JULY 13-17)

A cold front moving through the area July 13 presents a shower and thunderstorm chance with warm air and high humidity in place. High pressure builds in with fair, slightly cooler, and drier weather July 14-16. Next chance of unsettled weather comes at the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (JULY 18-22)

Another area of high pressure builds in with cooler, drier weather to start the period, then warmer and increased humidity later in the period when the chance of showers and thunderstorms will return.

39 thoughts on “Friday July 8 2022 Forecast (7:53AM)”

  5. Thanks Tk . Congratulations to Cindy Fitzgibbons named new cheif met for ch 5 . Cindy will still do the morning & afternoon & Wankum was promoted to the Monday – Friday evening news . The weekend position has not been named yet . Congratulations to both of them

    1. Ok.
      I thought for sure they would name Wankum as the chief Met.
      Doesn’t really matter to me.
      With Harvey gone, Eric is KING without question.

      1. With or without Harvey I 100% feel that ch5 is the best around in everything weather , news & sports .

        1. We’ve been watching channel 5 for some time now.
          Prefer it over 4 and 10 is useless. 🙂

        2. Traditionally, the chief met usually is the evening person. Since I have no real love for Wankum anyway, congrats to Cindy!

          I wonder if perhaps Wankum didn’t want the position/title? Whatever works for the station.

          As for weekends, I would like AJ. That new guy seems boring to me.

            1. Nbc10 confuses me. Is that just one channel. I don’t watch Mets on TV but follow on twitter. I thought Pete was chief NBC10 but then I think he is chief of all of the US so I might be a tad biased

  7. I mentioned a few weeks ago that Cindy would have the position and all we had to do was wait for it to be official. Now it is. Congrats to both on their promotions!

  8. In many ways the chief title is ceremonial. Weather emphasis, graphics, time allotment, etc., is driven at the corporate level well outside the market, for sure above the local mets, and even the News Director and GM.

  9. Currently looking for the 1″ plus of rain that was supposed to fall today according to the 12z Tuesday run of the ECMWF. I saw a TV Met last night use a ECMWF futurecast from 12z Thursday for next Tuesday. Please stop it. The model is literally making it up as from run to run. The GFS has been a bit better locally in recent weeks, but nothing to use 5 days out in a public broadcast either.

    Your forecast from any source beyond day 3 needs to be consumed with a high degree of variability and flexibility.

    There may be some increased shower chances in the next 2/3 of July into August, but it is likely to be situation where Bedford goes extremely dry and Norwood gets 3″ of rain during the timeframe or vice versa. Heat and humidity could return, but by heat, I mean more 85-92 with increased dew points versus 78-85 and low dew points. Not 95-100 with 70 plus dew points. In other words, summer in SNE.

    1. Thanks JMA!
      I have been trying to avoid saying much about the media practices I witness, but I will say that sometime during the last few days I saw somebody on some station showing a futurecast from a model 3 days in advance and pinpointing heavier showers by counties and even cities (as they appeared on the model). Ugh. BIG, BIG NO-NO. This is exactly what gives the viewers the wrong impression about what we can and cannot forecast.

      Ironically, the same evening I saw somebody else make a point of telling their viewers not to pay attention to the exact location of downpours because it was simply a model forecast to be taken as scattered showers with possibly heavier downpours in a few locations. Much better…

      I’m not going to name names or stations because it doesn’t much matter. The point I’m making is that some of them are doing it the responsible way and others need to refine the practice.

      Anyway, thanks again for chiming in!

  10. I am laughing at the 12z GFS going for 114 degrees two weeks from today when I am down in Virginia. I will take the under.

    1. Yeah, I will take the under on 95 in SNE that day too…

      In the nearer term, ECMWF (way too fast) GFS (too fast) go slower with precipitation onset and front arrival for next Tuesday. It will likely trend towards late night or Wednesday. A

    2. While I agree with JMA’s point about the GFS outperforming the European model in general of late, the GFS (and ECMWF) temp forecasts have been absolutely horrendous beyond a few days for some time now.

      1. Of course TK is correct. It was more a point to say for the the ECMWF acolytes out there the GFS has been no worse, if not a bit better if you account for AME.

    1. Unfortunately a little blog like this won’t change anything and that’s sad. The regional media in the weather department needs to do the change. However I believe they never will. Ratings ratings ratings!!! I’ve noticed in the last 15-20 years that 90+ degrees in the news is like 3+ inches of snow that is about to accumulate. Schools close the day before, sometimes 2 days. When I grew up in the 50’s and 60’s this NEVER affected anything. It wasn’t even headline news.

      1. We recall a very different 50s and 60s. But weren’t you not living in New England. That may be the reason. AC was unheard of which made cross ventilation a true selling point for houses. In the summer, many rearranged bedrooms so beds caught the breeze few that cross ventilation.

        As far as national media, we are very lucky in New England to have some of the best Mets. But I follow a few other areas that also have equally good Mets.

      2. If you grew up in the 50’s and 60’s you’d know that the weather was indeed headline news back then too, when it needed to be. Obviously there have been changes in not only media priority (ratings) but the availability of media: Then – having to wait for the newspaper or maybe one newscast in the evening vs now – everything instantly available from multiple sources with lots of crap to week through to find anything of real substance and value. But since you definitely grew up after those decades, you had to try to guess, and you just happened to guess wrong. 😉

        I hope you liked my “little” blog that changes nothing. 😉

        1. Maybe I came across wrong. I do believe this blog is great for educating folks. And a accurate forecast. Thank you!!

  12. I feel much better about my temperature sensor now that I moved it into the shade. The radiation shield that came with the unit was essentially useless.

    I am currently reading 84 which appears to be in line with surrounding stations.

    1. Good work, JPD I know how you feel. It bothers me a ton if my sensor seems to be off. I finally moved it just under the deck and it has been fine.

  14. Hampton is two weeks from today & it usually seems to get hot right around the time when we go .

  15. I’ll go with 4 and 10 any day. I learned a bit about global views when I chatted with each network re Logan last year.

    Eric and Pete are my favorites. I sure that surprises everyone

      1. I have not. On which network and do you know his last name…I’m assuming Tevin is male and apologize if wrong. I’ll look for him. And will follow on twitter

        Thank you

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