DAYS 1-5 (SEPTEMBER 24-28)
We sit in the lull between part 1 and part 2 of our latest stretch of unsettled weather to open autumn. The advanced moisture plume associated with Ophelia – which made a NC landfall as a strong TS and has since weakened, become post-tropical, and drifting northward – put up a battle against dry air eventually getting most of the region into the rain area during Saturday. The next moisture plume, more directly associated with the remnant low, will overspread our region slowly as the day goes on today, peak tonight and early Monday, then get pushed out from northwest to southeast as Monday ages, finally exiting via the South Coast by the evening hours. Upper level low pressure swings across the region Tuesday, but fairly uneventfully other than some additional cloudiness, and then finally high pressure builds in with a stretch of dry weather beginning at midweek.
TODAY: Cloudy. Areas of drizzle and fog. Periods of showers and rain redeveloping from southwest to northeast during the afternoon hours. Highs 57-64, coolest eastern coastal areas. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Cloudy. Areas of drizzle and fog. Rain becoming most widespread. Lows 50-57. Wind NE-N 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Cloudy through mid afternoon with rain gradually diminishing northwest to southeast. Breaking clouds / partial clearing later in the day but may never reach the South Coast. Highs 60-67. Wind N 10-20 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 50-57. Wind N 5-15 MPH and gusty.
TUESDAY: Lots of clouds – intervals of sun. Highs 60-67. Wind N 10-20 MPH and gusty.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 46-53. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 60-67. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy ground fog interior low elevations. Lows 47-54. Wind N under 10 MPH.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 63-70. Wind N-NE up to 10 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (SEPTEMBER 29 – OCTOBER 3)
High pressure will provide fair weather for the final 2 days of September along with warming temperatures. The first couple days of October are vulnerable to low pressure getting close again from the south with potential unsettled weather, but should move out again by the end of the period. That part of the forecast remains low confidence.
DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 4-8)
Overall outlook is fairly dry with high pressure again in general control. Temperatures near to slightly above normal.