Wednesday April 10 2024 Forecast (7:41AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 10-14)

A few adjustments to be made to the shorter range outlook as we head from mid week into the long weekend, but nothing major to change except today’s high temps, which will be considerably warmer than I had originally due to the lack of easterly wind, which I thought might be established sooner. A warm front is going to take a couple of days to approach from the south then pass through our region, not fully making it until later in the day on Thursday. Before that, a disturbance from the west will return clouds to our region today at the same time the front to the south is sending its own batch our way. The initial disturbance brings the region some rain showers this evening, that then move on. The warm front brings us drizzle and periodic light rain as an ocean wind becomes established ahead of it. Once that front passes by later Thursday we see a regionwide shift to a southerly wind, which then picks up in the warm sector. The low pressure area parenting that front also has an attendant cold front which will approach the region on Friday with heavier showers. Timing on these looks like the first 2/3 of the day before we get a dry slot and some partial clearing, mild air, but lots of wind. One more batch of showers may swing through with the actual front Friday night, and a secondary trough still has to pass by Saturday as upper level low pressure crosses the region. This will keep plenty of clouds around along with a passing rain shower chance, and a gusty wind, but cooler weather. This lifts out by Sunday though and a weak, flat ridge of high pressure passing to our south will provide an interlude of fair, milder, but breezy weather. Quickly following this is another disturbance that brings back more clouds and a few rain showers, maybe even an isolated thunderstorm, on Sunday night, as that particular disturbance looks pretty potent.

TODAY: Clouds return. Late-day or evening rain showers arrive west to east. Highs 55-62 but dropping back to the upper 40s along the coast midday on. Wind variable to E up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT / THURSDAY: Cloudy. Drizzle and patchy fog. Periodic light rain. Temperatures fall into 40s. Wind E increasing to 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain showers likely. Temperature hold in 40s South Coast, rise to 50s elsewhere. Wind S 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Cloudy with rain showers, some heavy, ending from west to east midday-afternoon. Breaking clouds later. Highs 58-65, except cooler South Coast. Wind S 10-20 MPH except 20-30 MPH South Coast, higher gusts, shifting to SW later in the day.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. A few passing rain showers likely. Lows 40-47. Wind SW 15-25 MPH shifting to W.

SATURDAY: Lots of clouds / intervals of sun. An additional passing rain shower possible. Highs 50-57. Wind W 15-25 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind W 10-20 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Rain showers and a possible thunderstorm at night. Highs 57-64. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 15-19)

Monday April 15 is a big day around these parts, being Patriots Day, Marathon Monday (and not Tax Day yet because it’s a holiday here!), and don’t forgot the traditional home Red Sox game with the late morning first pitch. At this time the weather looks great. Sunday night’s disturbance will exit early in the morning taking the rain shower chance with it. Looking for a sun/cloud mix and a westerly breeze, mild air with highs 60+ most areas. Runners of the marathon may find that forecast a little too warm for liking. Earlier I thought high pressure may have moved in enough to allow a sea breeze to develop, as we see many times during that race, but not to be. Beyond: Another round of unsettled weather due for the middle of next week that should clear out by late week, but timing / details uncertain.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 20-24)

Spring is often the most uncertain season for medium range forecasting. Right now the best guidance and pattern prediction tools indicate to me that we will be in a cooler and somewhat unsettled pattern heading into late April. Will keep an eye on this trend and weed out specific weather systems and their impacts as we get closer to this time.

64 thoughts on “Wednesday April 10 2024 Forecast (7:41AM)”

  11. Tom I see your post around Lousiana and Mississipp on yesterdays blog. I just looked at the radar. Wow.

    It seems as if that is headed south of Augusta??

  14. Finally having a bit more of a severe weather season after many recent “below average” years.

      1. This is a tricky stat to keep track of over time which has to take into account population density, the vastly increased number of chasers in the field, and the vast improvement of radar detection ability.

        1. That all makes sense. While number is number, I can absolutely see how damage would surely plays into it

  15. up to 59 here.

    Only 50 at the airport. the ALL_TIME SPRING REFRIGERATOR!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!_)@*#()*#*!@#*

  23. Do you think there will be flood or wind cautions over the next few days. Looks like bulk of the rain falls early Friday? Thanks.

  28. One more close-call with frozen precipitation potential in the April 20-22 window.

    And nobody needs to say “it won’t” or “it can’t”.
    1) I didn’t say “it will”. I said “potential”.
    2) It can. And it has. #facts

    So that should take care of any snow/sleet vs. no snow/sleet debates before they ever start. 🙂

    Just keeping an eye on this to see if the indication hangs around or 3 models are false prophets. 😉

      1. That’s correct. Right around that time we put L south and H north. And there’s kind of cold air around too. Granted, late April, not winter. But you know how it goes. It’s easier to snow in springtime than it is in late autumn. Since the general idea is on 3 pieces of somewhat reliable guidance and the general pattern supports it, I can’t ignore it. As stated, I’ll see if it stays there as we get closer. 🙂

        1. 850 temps well below freezing. Could be a boundary layer vs. intensity situation. Thanks for the alert. I’ll be watching this with all of the models.

          Not for nothing, but as depicted on the GFS, despite precip type on the display, is a perfect SPRING set up for SNOW. 🙂

          1. Obviously, I agree it has “Potential” and NOTHING is etched in stone. 🙂
            Could be interesting is all. 🙂

    1. The STINK HOLE airport is still only 55. PATHETIC.

      YEAH, I know why. Doesn’t mean I have to like it! AND it HAPPENS EVERY STINKEN SPRING!!!
      SPRING SUCKS around these parts. Thankfully I have a few miles between my location and the OCEAN. 🙂

  30. I get what you’re saying. Logan’s temperature reflects the refrigeration effect from the harbor and Massachusetts Bay water.

    Yet, the “stink hole” airport is uniquely situated extraordinarily close to the center of Boston. I don’t know of any airport in the world that is as close to the city center. In fact, most airports are far, sometimes very far (eg, Denver) from the city.

    By the way, on January 1, 1936, Boston’s airport’s weather station became the official point for Boston’s weather observations and records by the National Weather Service.

    Logan used to be called Jeffrey Field.

    It was renamed in the 1950s after General Edward Logan, a highly accomplished military man but also lawyer and politician.

  32. I guess moral scruples are passé.

    Last week I noticed that other people – folks I don’t know and have never heard of – have stolen several of my articles and posted them, in fact the exact same piece with their name as author. That’s plagiarism on steroids. It’s also theft.

    Then, tonight I discovered that a person on LinkedIn with quite a few followers just posted a recent article of mine and congratulated her colleague and co-founder of her company for writing it: “Great article in Forbes by my colleague and co-founder Lena C.” I’m just using the person she cites first name and her surname initial. Her full name with a link to her LinkedIn profile is in the sentence I quoted above. Not only that, the LinkedIn post is fairly long and never mentions my name, though it quotes extensively from my piece. The only connection her colleague has is that in the 1,000 word piece she appears once in a short paragraph because I interviewed her.

    Lots of responses to the LinkedIn post. Notably absent was anything from Lena C (I know Lena, by the way, she’s a decent person and is probably embarrassed that her colleague did such a thing). One guy did say: “Hannah – Perceptive article. Thanks for sharing and nice work Joshua Cohen.”

    The really odd thing is that I responded to the post, as did this other person and Hannah hasn’t replied. Nothing. That’s just baffling to me.

    1. Wow. So someone knows you wrote the article but that does not help. This is just awful. What recourse do you have

      1. Nothing. I mean of course I could hire a lawyer and pursue each individual case. But that may be a fool’s errand. I think that the persons doing this are overseas (India, I believe, from the names listed).

        The other situation is less openly devious (a charitable explanation would be that Hannah just forgot). But she’s clearly read the article and posts a link to it, quotes from it and very explicitly tags her colleague and co-founder and tells her that she wrote a great article. This becomes more problematic when she doesn’t respond to my very diplomatic comment or another person’s comment. Hannah is on LinkedIn all the time. She’s seen the comments, believe me.

        1. Thank you for explaining. That all makes perfect sense. And I am surprised she isn’t responding to you. I really am so sorry this is happening

    2. By the way, d’ya think I’m disillusioned with society and humankind? Yeah, you got that right. But that isn’t a recent phenomenon. More like a realization in my late 20s – boy was I naive before then – that dishonesty, deceit and cowardice are kind of the norm, unfortunately.

      1. With stuff going on in the two towns I love dearly right now I am equally disillusioned. No one just talks to anyone any more. I just wish people would sit face to face and talk out differences.

  33. Sox bullpen, in 2 innings, turned a 5-0 lead into a 7-5 deficit.

    If this team is to overachieve, this cannot happen.

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