All In The Timing

1:59AM

With one front through the region and the sorta-kinda remains of Isaac now gone, we look to the passage of a couple more fronts and watch the track of Hurricane Leslie through the coming weekend.

The front that went through on Wednesday shifted the wind to north and east and brought slightly cooler and slightly drier air in (though not bone dry). This will be noticeable during the day today as the dewpoints will have come down from the tropical levels they were at on Wednesday. The front itself will basically wash out and we’ll see a southerly air flow return by tonight through early Friday, but another weak front will pass through by midday on Friday. The timing of this front will limit the shower threat to just a slight chance late Friday morning or midday. The cycle will repeat again going into the start of the weekend, but this time a stronger cold front will approach later on Saturday. If all goes well, the timing of this front will be overnight Saturday night to early Sunday morning, with most wet weather occurring during the late night and early morning hours. This would allow most of Saturday to be rain-free but rather warm and becoming humid. Provided the front moves along, Sunday would show a drying trend once any showers/storms moved out.

Leslie’s track is still expected to take it close to Bermuda, with the center most likely passing just to the east. This would be a better scenario than if the center passed over or just west of the island. Whatever the exact track, the closest pass to Bermuda will take place Saturday night and early Sunday morning. After this acceleration will take place, and a landfall is possible by Monday night or Tuesday in Newfoundland, Canada, which could see damaging wind and flooding rain.

Also of note in the tropics is Hurricane Michael, which has encountered conditions favorable for strengthening, has become stronger and more organized, and will be a major hurricane out over the open waters of the Atlantic, no threat to land.

Back here at home, looking ahead to early next week, it looks very nice.

Updated forecast for eastern MA, RI, and southern NH…

TODAY: Partly sunny. Highs from the lower 70s coastal areas to around 80 inland. Wind variable to S up to 10 MPH but sea breezes at most coastal locations.

TONIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 60-65. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny with a slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm through early afternoon, then mostly sunny. High 77-82. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms moving in west to east late at night. Low 61. High 82.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Showers and thunderstorms ending west to east in the morning. Low 64. High 77.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 54. High 73.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 49. High 71.

WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 54. High 80.

16 thoughts on “All In The Timing”

  1. Thanks TK for the update. Hopefully with Leslie passing to the east of Bermuda there will be less opportunity for major damage to the island.

  2. Thanks TK.
    Don’t see any severe storms in the forecast although storm prediction has us in the 5% chance for severe storms for Saturday.
    I like what I see early next week with lows in the 50s and some spots could be in the upper 40s. With the low temps that low that is the indication of a dry airmass.

  3. Hi Philip… I hope those could those temps could last all next week. My gut tells me were not done with seeing the some heat and humidity before fall officially starts later this month.

  4. Strange feeling day…..Its not warm, but I almost feel uncomfortable and it feels like its getting more humid again.

    Some strong looking storms entering western Vermont…..

    Looking forward to that cool shot and particularly, the cool mornings early next week.

    1. Same here Tom. We ended up turning ACs on to get humidity out but now the air feels nicer so windows are open

      1. Have you ever camped at Harts Location in NH. Son and friends are heading there this weekend for a yearly trip. Last year this time the area was shut off to the south because of the horrible flooding from Irene

          1. It’s what I think of as my area of NH Matt. I grew up skiing north Conway and spent summer weekends fishing in the Ellis river. it’s nice for me to know my son has learned to love the area. He and his friends make this trip every year

            How’s school?? I can imagine your family misses you but it’s a nice kind of miss once you adjust

        1. No, we haven’t camped at Harts Location in NH. Like Matt, I hadnt heard of it either, but the google map made it look like it was close to N. Conway, so I’m guessing we’ve been near it before. By the google map, two places we’ve been to that look relatively close are Fransted campground and White Lakes State Park. I’m sure it will be a good time…maybe with quite a bit of showers later Saturday.

          1. Matt and Tom. It’s in Crawford notch. Between bretton woods and Glenn after Irene it was literally shut off from Glenn and north Conway because of bridges and roads destroyed by flooding. We never heard much about it here

            1. Ok, havent been thru Crawford notch as often, maybe a few times…..and, yes, as I recall, Vermont got a lot of coverage for Irene flooding, but I dont remember as much centering on NH.

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