Saturday Forecast

52 Comments

11:24AM

DAYS 1-5 (JULY 1-5)
July has arrived and so has the long holiday weekend. For myself, this “weekend” lasts 9 days, but there will be no vacations from the blog. Look for daily updates to continue! So let’s get to it. The feel of summer is here, and it should be, since it’s summer! But besides stating the blatantly obvious, let’s just go into what’s coming up. Humid southwesterly air flow ahead of a cold front continues today, and there may be a few isolated pop up showers/downpours. There were a few earlier in parts of CT and southern MA. But these will be very limited during the day. Most of the activity is up over the mountains to lakes region in northern and central New England during today. This, along with other storms that develop to the west, will try to get into the region tonight but will probably encounter less favorable conditions and weaken. Nevertheless, with many fireworks displays scheduled in various towns and cities tonight, it will be important to monitor current conditions and short term expectations. The cold front responsible for the storms, or lack-thereof, will push through the region Sunday morning and set up fabulous weather for the remainder of the Sunday, as well as Monday through Wednesday, and this of course includes the Independence Day holiday itself on Tuesday. The only little interruption could come in a few locations in the form of isolated afternoon showers on Monday as some chilly air passes through at high levels and makes the atmosphere slightly unstable for a few hours.
TODAY: Partly sunny and hazy. Some fog/low clouds South Coast. Isolated showers and brief downpours possible. Humid. Highs 77-85 South Coast, 86-91 elsewhere. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.
TONIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms, favoring areas north and west of Boston and mainly late. Humid. Lows 64-72. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny morning with isolated to scattered showers. Mostly sunny afternoon. Lowering humidity. Highs 78-86 South Coast, 87-93 elsewhere. Wind W 10-20 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 58-65. Wind WNW 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of isolated afternoon showers. Highs 78-86. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 60-67. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY – INDEPENDENCE DAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. Low humidity. Highs 77-85, coolest coast. Wind variable 5-15 MPH with sea breezes.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Evening temps in 70s. Overnight lows in 60s.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 75-85.

DAYS 6-10 (JULY 6-10)
High pressure builds offshore and humidity increases along with the risk of a few showers and thunderstorms at times July 6-7. A weak trough follows this and may bring slightly cooler/drier air in by the weekend of July 8-9 before warm air attempts a come-back.

DAYS 11-15 (JULY 11-15)
Will watch for a high pressure ridge building in from the west which if it does so may set up a stretch of hot weather before the end of this period.

52 thoughts on “Saturday Forecast”

    1. Next Tuesday and Wednesday …. Light seabreezes, mostly sunny ….. Betting we’ll see that shallow layer of water moderate nicely and some harbor buoy temps of 65 to 70 late afternoon on both days.

  3. Thanks, TK!
    Happy Canada Day! Canada’s 150th birthday!

    I hope you all have a great, long holiday weekend!

  5. Cumulusbuildous

    Loads of cumulus building, some with a bit a growth to them.
    Perhaps a pop-up shower or storm is possible. 😀

    1. Hence the mention of isolated showers. The atmosphere is not explosively unstable though. That’s north. Tornado threat exists from just north of the Lakes Region northward if we can get any isolated super cells going there.

    2. Was quite surprised to see the surface CAPE just west of Boston is at a value of 2500 right now! MLCAPE only at 1000 though. The problem is there’s no disturbance or front in the area right now. There is one trough near Albany ahead of the main line of storms which fired some downpours further south.

    1. I cannot recall the last time I heard that song. I always loved it but it had been forgotten. Thank you. Wonderful version. And my those days and nights sure did go flying by.

  8. I was thinking that was from yesterday initially but when I did not see Tolland and Windham counties in CT included I realized it was for today.
    5% chance for tornado for parts of Northern New England today which you don’t see often. Yesterday parts of western CT those storms packed a punch with wind damage so will see what happens today.

      1. Oh boy. I seem to recall it is not a highly populated area but wonder about camping and getting the word out

              1. Northern New England was an area storm prediction center was highlighting for possible tornadic thunderstorms.

  11. AccuWeather Trivia Quizzes.

    1) The world’s longest reported horizontal distance for a single lightning is …
    A) 0.2 Miles
    B) 2 Miles
    C) 20 Miles
    D) 200 Miles

    2) The NWS calculates the odds of being struck by lightning in your lifetime as 1 in …
    A) 6,000
    B) 12,000
    C) 24,000
    D) 48,000

    Answers later today.

    1. I’ll say D and D. One a complete guess. One I sort of think I know. And we know how that usually works out for me

  12. Lots of rotating storms to our west and north today. Vicki, you are correct; the storm earlier which had a funnel cloud sighted with it was just northeast of where I go to school in Plymouth, NH.

    Might be something TK can comment on, but more so than other years, the tendency for storm activity to be confined to our north and west this year has been interesting. Maybe it’s just my perception, but eastern New England seems to have been a real storm graveyard this year. I guess it’s mostly the combination of a May and early June pattern which did not favor thunderstorms in general anywhere in the Northeast, and a more active pattern since then which just hasn’t translated into big storms in eastern areas. The ocean has surely been a factor as well, near to below normal SSTs, compared to many recent years when it’s been warmer. We’ll see what happens the next few weeks.

  13. The second tornado warned storm, in southwest Maine, did get a confirmed touchdown, with pictures taken of it. It will technically be recorded as a waterspout, however, having formed over Sebago Lake.

  15. I was thinking the one on Sebago Lake was a god thing since it wasn’t over land but I would thinkmthr lake is very busy today.

    2. Wrong in that I didn’t give enough info. Mt wash shared nws photo from Gray Maine.

      This is a photo taken by Jackson Witherill from Long Beach on Sebago Lake at 2:30 this afternoon. Great picture of what appears to be a waterspout.

      1. You can call it a waterspout that but that sucker is
        a TORNADO over water. Period. End of discussion.

  18. More t storm warnings in about same area of NH. Storms are just training over that area

  20. I spent a huge portion of my younger years in the Jackson NH ….Fryburg, ME. I still have friends with a home on Lovell pond. TK just said on FB reports of supercell in Fryburg area. There are so many up there today. Scary is an understatement

  22. Answers to AccuWeather Trivia Quizzes.

    1) The world’s longest reported horizontal distance for a single lightning is …
    A) 0.2 Miles
    B) 2 Miles
    C) 20 Miles
    D) 200 Miles

    The correct answer is D. As I understand it, this occurred in 2007 in Oklahoma.

    2) The NWS calculates the odds of being struck by lightning in your lifetime as 1 in …
    A) 6,000
    B) 12,000
    C) 24,000
    D) 48,000

    The correct answer is B.

      1. You did better than I did. The one I thought I knew was wrong. The one I guessed at was correct. The law of Vicki 😉

  24. Parts of northern New England are a mess with either flash flooding damage or thunderstorm wind damage.

    1. I saw some pictures of the White River Junction VT area on FB. Awful
      But the storms just went through one after another and water levels were high already

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