38 thoughts on “Friday PM Update”

1. In case anyone missed it in the previous blog thunderstorm index now at a 2 which is MODERATE since there is severe storms but nothing widespread.
   This blog is lightning up like a Christmas tree with all the comments on the thunderstorms and tropical activity.

2. It has been thundering in Sudbury for the last 15 mins. or so and the wind is picking up a little. Radar is blossoming with storms – looks at this time like the Boston area will be getting a lot of rain . . .

   Vicki – hope your husband has a great birthday. When you go out later, hope these storms are gone!

   Correction with wind here in Sudbury – really picking up right now.

3. 12z EURO basically shows the system slowly migrating over Florida in about a 4 day period…Basically means a whole lot of rain if that were to verify, some places would see over a foot of rain. I don’t think this will verify.

4. Had the cell move through but Framingham was on the west edge of it so not much more than wind and some thunder and lightning. Very minimal. It’s still pouring but the sun is out – very pretty and lots of thunder in the distance.

5. Pretty vicious storm rolled through Boston. Hail, Wind, vicious lightening and downpours. Took down our phones and internet for a period of time. Back up now.

   12Z Euro not showing too much with that tropical system. Still early, but hopefully it is a GOOD sign.

6. With now “Tropical Storm” Harvey in place, those next two storms in the Atlantic will be “Irene” and “Jose”.

   1. I think Harvey Leonard really wanted one of the Atlantic systems to get the name “Harvey”. He stopped short of saying it, but you could hear it in his tone. LOL!

      1. Harvey Leonard would have never heard the end of it from his co-workers to the point of him probably walking out the door and putting in for “immediate” retirement, lol. 🙂

         Not to mention the “hundereds” of e-mails from the viewing public, lol.

7. The storms inside the 128 belt have had their right flank stay strong while the left flank is gusting out and raining itself out. Just light rain here in Woburn with distant rumbles to the S-SE.

8. Today’s CPC is definitely showing signs of “tropical” activity for the next 14 days. It shows well above normal rainfall from Florida right up the east coast into SNE.

9. Constant thunder but not much else in Sudbury – at least in Sudbury Ctre. area. North Sudbury might have gotten clipped by a storm. This storm has been basically sitting over Maynard for perhaps 20 mins. or so.

   Things appear to be moving along in the tropics – I wonder what the odds are that one of them will affect New England.

10. They just issued a Tstorm warning for Framingham until 4:30 but I have no idea what they are seeing. Sun is out here. As rainshine said constant thunder in the distance from here and I was getting a pretty good lightning show looking north out of my office window

11. Today is the 20th Anniversary of hurricane Bob…hard to believe it’s been that long. I remember THAT storm well. It came on a Monday and then on Tuesday there was quite a bit of leftover rains for much of the day.

12. Bob produced copious rain in the Boston area. After the storm, we took a drive down to Falmouth. I couldn’t believe the damage down there. It was brutal.

    Winds topped out at 64 mph at Logan, but were over 100 at Falmouth.

    That was an incredible storm to say the least.

13. I hope the tv mets mention Bob on their 6:00 and 11:00 pm newscasts. I don’t believe any mentioned it this morning…certainly Melissa didn’t but understandable since she is not from around here originally.

14. One of the claps of thunder that came out of that beast was the loudest I ever heard.

15. The 18Z NAM is coming out. The NAM develops this tropical system faster and moves it along faster than the other models. Seems to want to take it towards the SE coast of US and not into the gulf like the others. As long as some of these models continue to develop this system, I remain guarded.

16. I can’t believe it’s been 20 years. Gloria was worse in Framingham than Bob. But bob was bad enough.

17. In Boston, Gloria produced far less rain than Bob. In my area, I think the winds
    were higher than in Bob.

    1. Old salty that’s what I remember too. We lost power for days with Gloria but had flooding with Bob. I rate everything by power loss. I love it

18. Ok,

    Here is the 18Z NAM:

    http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?prevPage=Model&MainPage=index&image=&page=Param&cycle=08%2F19%2F2011+18UTC&rname=SFC-LAYER+PARMS&pname=850_temp_mslp_precip&pdesc=&model=NAM&area=NAMER&cat=MODEL+GUIDANCE&fcast=Loop+All&areaDesc=North+America+-+US+Canada+and+northern+Mexico&prevArea=NAMER&currKey=model&returnToModel=&imageSize=M

    1. Quite the trof it drops over the northeast, That 552 line gets close.
       http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/18/images/nam_slp_084l.gif

19. Ok, it was the whole loop, which is cool anyway.

    But it wants to barrel this thing along right towards South Florida.

    Somewhere along the line after Hispanola, will be critical. If it stays over
    water it will be stronger. Will it turn more Westerly and end up it the gulf?
    Turn more Easterly and head up the East Coast?

    Clearly something to watch.

20. That Geo-potential height business really is complex stuff, many here familiar with this? (besides TK 🙂 )

    1. Scott, what exactly is the “552” line?

       1. I’ll take a shot at this, but the range is from 500-600…I think….
          It’s basically the atmospheric pressure, but it also factors into the conditions at the surface…I think…
          But the lower the number the colder aloft it is. I assume your familiar with the 540 line? Which is basically the rain/snow line in the winter.
          Very complex stuff that I will eventually learn through college.

          1. Yes, I am already familiar with the infamous 540 line. I think I understand your explanation now…thanks. Good luck in your met studies this fall! 🙂

             1. I’m actually going into my senior year of high school this fall, so it would be next fall.

21. It will be interesting if Barry or Joe come Sunday morning uses the word “Watching” on their 7-day underneath next Saturday’s date.

    It will also be interesting if come tomorrow or Sunday the NWS mentions the possibility of “major tropical activity” or whatever form for next weekend in their Discussions. Many times during the currrent weekend they like to give sneak peaks at what could be in store for the following weekend.

    Am I correct that next Saturday is the day to really watch for SNE?

22. Mike Wankum mentioned Bob on his 6:00 pm newscast. Barry did not but perhaps he mentioned it during the 5:00 pm hour. I don’t know if Ch. 7 did since I missed their weather segment.

    Anyway, at least hurricane Bob was mentioned by one of the tv mets. 🙂

    1. Hi Philip.

       I missed all of the weathercasts…my kids have control of the TV and they have on Phineas and Ferb. I get the Red Sox later. 🙂

       Did Barry spend some time on the tropics and offer any speculation on the topic ?

       1. Barry said nothing regarding the tropics. It will be interesting if he mentions it in his blog later this evening.

23. As of 8:00 pm the tropical disturbance we have been watching has now a 60% (high) chance of developing into a tropical storm. Conditions are now quite favorable. The other disturbance near Cape Verde is encountering dry air and not showing as much development.

    We could very well be talking about “Irene” in the next couple days.

    1. Now 70%.

24. I remember last year, in pondering the path of Hurricane Earl, some of our discussion was on the strength and position of a very strong ridge of high pressure up in Alaska that was going to have an effect on the trofs and ridges in the Continental US that were going to impact Earl’s track…..Well, while last year there was a big ridge, I find it interesting that this year, at least currently, there is a big trof over the southern part of the state with a big, wound up storm affecting the area.

25. Good Morning everyone! Its hard to believe this is the second to last weekend in August.
    Thunderstorm Index at 1 today since I am not expecting severe weather. Now tomorrow storm prediction center has us in the slight risk area for severe weather and as I was saying the other day this front will be one to watch for the possibility of strong to severe storms tomorrow. Right now thunderstorm index is at a 2 since the threat is there for some severe weather. If it looks like more of a widespread severe weather event will happen there will be an upgrade.
    Tropics active with tropical storm Harvey going into Central America and that wave in the Atlantic which seems we have been talking about for a while.

    1. Hi JJ.

       It is crazy how fast the summer goes by. From the perspective of being a weather fan, I am looking forward to tracking Sunday’s thunderstorms. Seems like almost a long lasting (in terms of distance traveled) squall line from NY State all the way to our coastline. It will be really interesting if there turns out to be a lot of sun tomorrow.

26. It seems to me that summer goes by quickly every year. I am also interested and will be tracking what thunderstorm activity develops here in SNE tomorrow. I just read the discussion from the NWS office out of NY which covers the Hudson Valley, NYC, Long Island, Northern NJ, and Fairfield and New Haven Counties in CT and there talking about the probablilty of a significant severe weather event increasing with all threats in regard to severe weather in play. So will see if that should will happen. Of course sunshine and the amount of destablization will be the key but it just goes to show at least in the areas mentioned the ingredients are there. Could be an interesting day of weather somewhere in the Northeast tomorrow should everything come together.

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