Thursday Forecast

32 Comments

7:32AM

DAYS 1-5 (MAY 17-21)
Clouds will be the dominant feature in the weather through the weekend though the daily weather and temperature will still be variable. Today’s one of the warmer days before cooler air returns Friday, but these days will be generally dry. It’s Saturday that still looks like the wettest as some tropical moisture from the south pushes northward, initially riding up and over the cooler air at the surface. It warms again by Sunday but this day will also have its chance of some wet weather, though very likely will be the better of the 2 weekend days. High pressure overtakes the weather by Monday with better conditions. Detailed forecast…
TODAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 63-70 South Coast, 70-77 elsewhere. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 52-58. Wind light N to NE.
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 57-64. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Lows 50-56. Wind NE to E up to 10 MPH.
SATURDAY: Cloudy. Periods of rain. Highs 55-63, coolest coast. Wind E to SE up to 15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. Scattered showers/thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 60s coast, 70s interior.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 70s.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 22-26)
More weather changes, with a fair/warmer start to the period, a disturb ance bringing a chance of showers or rain followed by cooler weather during the middle of the period, and the start of a warm up with fair weather by the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 27-31)
High pressure may take over the weather bringing mainly dry weather and above normal temperatures through the middle of the period but an increase in showers/thunderstorms possible toward the last couple days of the month.

32 thoughts on “Thursday Forecast”

  4. For the weekend…
    SAT: Leaning toward steadiest rain 7AM to 1PM then not much.
    SUN: Scattered showers AM and may turn quite nice much of PM.

  5. Thanks TK !

    I’m looking forward to the 12z op run of the EURO to see if it follows up on its 00z run with a tropical feature in the vicinity of the Gulf of Mexico.

  8. Dr. Judah Cohen’s summer outlook is for above normal temps and precip. As also noted a persistent southerly flow aloft for much of the summer will allow for tropical activity to visit us as well so we could be quite vulnerable.

    1. Don’t seem to have those in Sutton although they were out of control in Framingham.

      We are already seeing a lot of gypsy moth tents in trees here as well as the baby caterpillars on surfaces. They were horrific last year. I’m hoping they are correct that the wetter periods will help with the fungus to kill them.

      1. I haven’t seen a single gypsy moth caterpillar (yet anyways). By now they would have devoured my crab apple tree but it looks healthier than ever and the flowers that bloomed were the most prolific since we moved in 5 years ago

        1. Wish I could say the same….however, it seems early to have devoured a tree. Although last year was the worst since 1981 so I am not surprised. I have to get stuff on my trees this weekend.

  10. An confirmed tornado in CT on Tuesday. The latest in Winsted EF 1 Tornado maximum wind speed of 95 mph with a path length of 0.7 miles. The others EF 1 Tornado with maximum wind speeds of 100 mph with a path of 4.5 miles between Southbury and Oxford and an EF1 Tornado with maximum wind speed of 110 mph with a path length of 9.5 miles from Beacon Falls to Hamden.
    First tornado to hit Hamden since the F4 tornado on July 10, 1989 which was part a big severe weather outbreak that day in the Northeast with multiple tornadoes. One of those tornadoes impacted my neighborhood when I was 5 years old.

    1. Thank you JJ. Based on the Storm relative radial velocity displays we
      were seeing yesterday, it surely looked like tornadoes were on the ground, most
      especially the debris ball signature. Nice to see the technology working.

  11. My cousin and his wife live in Southbury where one of those tornadoes hit and tree into the house. They are living at his parents for now. A couple people who live in the town I live in that I spoke feel fortunate since it was close to us since people who were here on July 10 1989 remember living through that tornado and the damage it caused.

  12. Two of those three EF1 Tornadoes that hit CT Tuesday on the ground longer than the normal time tornadoes are on the ground here in New England.
    Update on the macroburst from NWS out of Upton 100-110 mph winds 3 miles wide 9.5 miles long for New Fairfield and Brookfield.

    1. Except for some drier air in north central MA northward, the dew points are in and around 60 now so you can feel it in the air.

    1. I hope TK doesn’t agree with Dr. Cohen, because that outlook sounds soupy to me (warmer than average, prevailing southerly flow, above average precipitation – of the tropical kind). As a child I could handle humidity. Even 15 years ago, I was okay with it. Now, it does a number on me. I’m in a daze on hot and humid days. Ill, almost.

      1. I believe I could handle HHH as a child as well but pretty much once I became an adult, I quickly hated it. Dr. Cohen and Harvey showed a projected U.S. temp map and not one location had a below normal or even normal outlook.

        YUCK!!!

    2. Partially.

      I agree with a lot of warmth but I think when we finish the summer the overall temperatures will be between 0.5 and 2.0F above normal.

      I am not so sure I’m in agreement on the above normal rainfall at this point. But I’m leaning a little more in that direction at the moment.

  17. Regarding with the weather for the Royal Wedding, so far I haven’t heard about any possibility of rain via the tv newscasts. The only issue has been that Meghan’s father will be unable to attend due to health. Quite understandable IMO.

    TK – Does this mean all clear, or at least dry conditions?

  18. TK curious your thoughts. A meteorologist here in the private sector John Bagioni commented in an article in my local paper saying in the next 6-10 weeks we may have a couple more opportunities for strong thunderstorms but not the magnitude of Tuesday which saw multiple tornadoes in CT. Do you agree with that and are we in a favorable pattern in the next 6-10 weeks for another severe weather outbreak?
    Many Thanks.

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