12 thoughts on “C-19 Chat Post – July 2 2020”

  1. According to our fearless leader, the virus will “just disappear”. No doubt at this point that we are a total laughingstock to the entire world.

    And it is now painfully clear that the current leadership is totally out of touch with reality. Very sad indeed. 🙁

    If we ever get out of this sooner rather than later, it will be “in spite” of this current administration as opposed to “because” of it.

  2. Florida reported 10,109 new cases today. Only three countries, including the US, report more than FL.

  3. Couple of observations today. Situation in Houston is dire, even for the younger folks who’ve been hospitalized or in ICU. Many will make it. But, their organs are being damaged for life.

    Closer to home, New York state’s test positivity is rising again; mostly NYC and suburbs. Not alarming yet, but not a good sign. The state continues to have nearly 1,000 cases every day.

    Herman Cain likely contracted the virus at the Tulsa rally. He’s been hospitalized. Hopefully, he’ll be okay. But clearly he’s quite sick.

    https://talkingpointsmemo.com/news/herman-cain-tests-positive-coronavirus-hospitalized

    This raises several questions: Why was the rally allowed to happen? Why did the Tulsa mayor relent? Remember, I called a local museum and it was closed due to a citywide ordinance. Yet, the BOK Center was opened for just one event; the rally. It’s closed again until 2021.

    And, why was the mega-church service and choir in Dallas last weekend allowed to happen (Pence attended – about 100 choir people, middle aged, some obese, were singing without masks, indoors)?

    These are questions people around the world are asking. Somehow Americans are not really asking the important questions. Friends here shrug it off and say, “Trump being Trump.” Friends of mine in Holland, Germany, and the UK have asked why our leaders insist on indoor events of the kind mentioned, and why local leaders do nothing to stop the events from happening, even when ordinances are in place. It’s idiocy, folks.

    1. People are lulled by an economy that seems to be on the right track, a death rate that seems to be slowing, and after all summer vacation time is here. All of this is wrapped inside an uncaring White House which wishes that it will all disappear.

      The numbers though are grim and IMHO, a Day of Reckoning could arrive. Part of me believes that Day will be here when more nations post a Do Not Enter sign for Americans or when people here can’t get into hospitals for diagnosis or treatment of “traditional conditions” because the hospitals are too full. I would like to be wrong … very wrong, but it’s an uneasy feeling.

      1. Which you just said is a scary situation. If we had better leadership at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue we would be in a much better place.

  4. There’s a very peculiar argument being bandied about that says the following: The dramatic rise in new cases is not an issue, because the death rate is falling.

    Well, of course the death rate is falling. EVERYONE expected that to happen. Nobody expected the death rate to remain at 6%. Estimates indicate that the coronavirus is between 8 and 15 times as lethal as a bad flu strain. So, you’re looking at a death rate of ultimately between 1 and 2% when all is said and done. we’re at 4.6% now, and that will decrease over time as more testing is done among younger folks and those with milder or asymptomatic cases.

    The important figures to focus on are: 1. Exponential growth in cases, which means that even if a very small percentage of these younger folks get critically ill and die, do the math, the greater the number of cases, especially when you’re dealing with tens of thousands every day, the more deaths among younger folks; 2. Hospitalizations and ICU usage in the badly affected areas. It’s bad in Phoenix, Houston, Austin, Dallas, Mobile, and parts of Florida. Many of the people hospitalized are in their 20s, 30s, and 40s. The vast majority will survive. But thousands across the country are critically ill and will have organ damage for life. And some will die. Coronavirus takes its time killing. Many who’ve died in Massachusetts, especially among the younger cohort, were on ventilators for 6-8 weeks or longer; 3. Average daily deaths in the U.S. have more or less plateaued at ~610 for several weeks. That’s not good. No other industrialized region with a similar sized population has had such a lengthy series of plateaus. We plateaued at 2,000 deaths /day for about 1 month; at 1,000 deaths/day for about 1 month; at 700 deaths/day for 2 weeks; at 610 deaths/day for 3 weeks. It’s the biggest, fattest deaths tail by a very, very wide margin. Of course, the cases curve is so utterly grotesque in the U.S. as to be almost comical: Exponential growth, followed by a long plateau, followed by a gradual and long decline, followed by exponential growth. Look around, people, no other nation on earth has that. I guess we are unique and exceptional, we Americans.

    1. Thank you Joshua for your daily words of logic and wisdom. They are painful but far too many are hiding their head in the sand or as is the case of some politicians in their nether region. And they are literally convoluting any piece of information they find to support their views

      We are a ship of fools

      1. Thankfully there are still some on the ship that are not fools. Otherwise we’d have already sunk. 😉

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