Temperature Swings, No Big Storms

125am

As I write this entry late at night, a low, bowl-shaped moon hangs just above the western horizon, yellowish white, in a clear winter sky. It reminds me of the final page of a book that had alot of turmoil in it, but a peaceful ending, sort of ending one story and ready to start another. This is about where we are in the weather right now.

We are now officially out of the stormy pattern. However, that doesn’t  mean days and days of fair, warm weather. After all, it’s still February! But that doesn’t mean we won’t see some mild temperatures in the near-future. There will be a bit of a roller coaster ride with temperatures during the next week as a series of weak disturbances pass through the region. None of these appear to have much chance of producing significant precipitation.

Breaking things down, expect a bright & very cold start to the day on Friday with early morning temperatures ranging from the single numbers to lower teens, least cold along the coast and in the city of Boston. Later in the day, some clouds will move in, but they will not produce any snow. Highest temperatures will probably fall just shy of freezing, topping out around 30 in the Boston area.

Friday night will feature varying amounts of clouds, and temperatures not quite as cold as the previous night, bottoming out in the upper teens over inland areas to the middle 20s in downtown Boston.

A series of disturbances will pass through the region Saturday through Monday, the first being a cold front on Saturday which will bring a fair amount of clouds and a few scattered snow showers – greatest chance in the afternoon. A couple ripples of low pressure moving through during Sunday & early Monday will produce periods of light snow over northern New England, with up to a few inches possible in the mountains, and just some scattered rain and snow showers in southern New England.

Late Monday & Tuesday, expect a return to dry but breezy & chilly weather. After daytime highs in the 30s to around 40 Saturday-Sunday and possibly in the lower 40s Monday, it will chill back to the teens Monday night and climb back to only the lower 30s Tuesday.

A midweek warmup appears likely, along with dry weather but some varying clouds. High temperatures in the lower to middle 40s can be expected Wednesday. Temperatures in the 40s will be common Thursday, though some areas may make a run at 50. Milder temperatures, and the lack of storminess during these days will promote slow snow-melt, relieving stress on roofs and removing some of the snowpack that could potentially add to flooding problems as Spring arrives.

Mild weather is expected to be replaced by a chill once again as the long gets underway.

There are signs that the southern jet stream may activate toward the end of this month. And this is only speculation right now, but it means we could see a return to a stormy pattern late this month.