Tweek To The Week

88 Comments

9:42PM

The discussion from the previous entry pretty much remains true. The only tweak is to speed up the timing of the cold front slightly for Tuesday. Most shower and thunderstorm activity will occur in the morning, with an additional shower or storm possible later in the day as a trough comes along just behind the front.

August will end hotter. Going to bump Friday’s temperatures up slightly and knock the weekend temperatures down just a touch for now.

Otherwise, no major changes, and that leads us to the updated forecast for eastern MA, southern NH, and RI…

TONIGHT: Clouds move in. Showers and thunderstorms arriving mostly after 4AM.  Muggy. Lows in the 60s. Wind S-SW 10-20 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Episodes of showers and thunderstorms, mostly in the morning, but one more possible during mid or late afternoon. Humid. Highs middle 70s south-facing coasts, 78-83 elsewhere. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to W.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Cooler and drier. Lows 53-58. Wind W-NW 10-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sunny. Highs 74-79. Wind NW 10-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Sunny. Low 58. High 83.

FRIDAY: Sunny. Low 62. High 92.

SATURDAY: Sunny. Low 66. High 88.

SUNDAY: Sunny. Low 62. High 83.

MONDAY – LABOR DAY: Increasing clouds. Low 61. High 78.

88 thoughts on “Tweek To The Week”

  1. TK, from your comments, I am not seeing a “remnants of Isaac” in your forecast unless it’s a possible post Labor Day rain event. (I know that’s a week out.)

  2. Thanks for the update as always, TK. I hope those “increasing” clouds for Labor Day are not the forerunner of Isaac remnants.

  3. I opted to just leave my Monday forecast as is, because of the typical uncertainty of tropical remnants and the varying model solutions regarding Isaac’s remains. I’d rather shift trends gradually than change a forecast back and forth as the day gets closer. Labor Day could end up sunny, mild and dry if northern jet stream energy is stronger and pushes everything south. There have already been some medium range indications of this.

    1. That’s what I’m praying for! Lots of snow and cold to kill of the excess mosquitos for next year…but also just because there’s nothing better than snow 😀

  7. one of my freinds that are going to college in Mississippi says that they are having all the students evacuated from their dorms. today. and they were all sent to some shelter. he is majoring in met and he and some ofthe meterology majors and some of the teachers are actually riding out the storm at the dorm in there labs. and he says he will be posting pics. on his facebook . I will try and get some of them. 😀

  8. Media hype is out of control for what will be a category 1 hurricane coming ashore on the Gulf Coast. Nothing to sneeze at for sure, but this will not be another Katrina. Many outlets are making it sound like it will be.

  9. TK, I remember a few weeks back you mentioned that summer was not over and we can expect more 90 degrees days. Have we had one yet and does it look possible that we will experience one before fall starts?

    2. Many areas will hit 90 on Friday. Saturday it may still be possible in a few locations depending on the timing of a fast-moving, mainly dry front that is expected to drop down from the north northwest.

  10. Very tropical out ! The hallways of the school are miserably warm and stuffy.

    Pressure down to 977mb on Isaac. 12 to 24 more hours to landfall, hopefully no rapid intensification today.

  11. Hurricane Isaac: I was getting nervous about New Orleans, so I went to the Tulane website–as you may remember, Tulane was closed for a semester after Katrina. They’re letting students shelter at the school, which they did not do for Katrina, so I’m guessing they’re thinking it’s going to be okay.

    1. I hope they are OK Deb. officials in new Orleans used anything but good judgement with Katrina and I am never convinced we always learn from our mistakes. Isaac is nothing like Katrina but It seems different areas have different approaches. Charlestons always made more sense to me pre and post Hugo

      1. I should have specified and said they didn’t use good judgement PRE Katrina with evacuations which IMHO led to the mess afterward in good part

    1. This time of year is usually quite good for summer vacationing. If you don’t mind the sun going down a bit earlier than the long days of June/July, the weather is usually at its best and ocean/lake water warmest if you are into swimming there.

      1. Woburn doesn’t start school until September 6.

        I never understood going back before September 1 at the earliest.

        1. Does Woburn have the Jewish holidays off. Lots of towns still do not because there is not a large Jewish population. Framingham wisely incorporated the holidays years ago because we have a large Jewish pop. I’d rather have the holidays celebrated than start after labor day even though it seems to end the summer prematurely

  16. Issac looking the best it has been and it looks like an eye wall is trying to develop. Issac to me is going to be remembered for the heavy rain and flooding not only at the coast but areas further inland.

  19. Clearing from the northwest – sun is coming out. Very pretty sky.

    We now have a new member to our family – we got a cat from a shelter in the Metrowest area last week. Her name is Cara and she is about 6 yrs. old. She has silver-gray fur and she is beautiful and loving. Cara and me are looking out the window now and watching a flock of sparrows in the tree in our yard.

    1. Rainshine I am so very happy for you. Wonderful news. I love the name cara and that she has found a special family as well as you funding her 😀

      1. Thanks, Vicki. She has made herself at home – literally. She now owns our home – we are just her “loyal subjects”. Cara is a spoiled kitty! But, then, all of our cats have been spoiled! And we love it! 🙂

    1. thanks rainshine! Looks pretty impressive. The northeastern side of the storm that was dry and bare last night has filled in as the center is beginning to tightening up

      1. Yes, thanks AceMaster. Storm does look impressive. Seems to be getting bigger. I know tropical systems can wobble, but looks to me like storm is heading a little more westerly.

  22. A beautiful night tonight, alot of mid 50’s with a nice fall crisp Wed morning, I love this time of year 🙂

      2. It won’t hit 90, and if it does it will be the last, have you looked out 10 days? Alot of 70’s for highs and 50’s for lows starting this weekend, also I’d take a 90 degree day anyday in late Aug over mid June, the sun angle makes all the difference, sun angle is the same as late March early April, I love fall 🙂 yes ace master it is fun

      3. I also think that some of the suburbs of Boston Thu morning could get down to around 50, maybe even a 48 or 49 degree reading, hope all is well 🙂

  23. Has anybody noticed that during the last decade it does not get as hazy as it used to? I remember especially hazy weather in the 1970s and 1980s, into the 1990s, followed by a decrease in the amount of haze, gradually at first, then more quickly in recent years.

    I suspect more strict emission regulations are at least part of the reason.

    1. Actually, I have noticed some lack of haze in the past several years. I do remember a lot of hazy days during the summer back in the 50’s and 60’s, when I was a child.

  25. Recon plane had a max flight wind of 94 knots in the eastern quadrant. Wonder if sustained winds will be brought up to 80 mph on next advisory……..

  26. There sure are some threatening clouds that have developed just to our north…but nothing on the radar. Still quite humid.

  27. well i am going to the cape and i am going biking for the first time since my injury lets see what happens 😀

  28. If any of you out there have the interests in the long distance radio hobby like I do (LW, AM,FM, TV and Shortwave) and have a shortwave radio you can tune to 14325 khz in the uppersideband and listen to the Hurricane Watch Net. If not you can go to the following website and click on the live feed.

    http://www.hwn.org/

    Basically it’s Ham Radio community in conjunction (iirc) with the National Hurricane Center taking reports of weather, damage, emergencies, etc once a hurricane is within a couple of hundred miles of the U.S. coast.

    Some of its very interesting and at other kind of boring but still a pretty cool thing to listen to if you have a moment.

    1. I forgot to mention that the 14325 frequency is best during the daylight hours. There is a secondary frequency mostly used at night on 3950 khz lower sideband. Right everything is pretty quiet with the feed but that may pick up later.

    2. Hi, Keith-Hingham, the only radio we currently have is a Kenwood TS520 and the finals were toasted. So, that’s the only HF radio we have right now. My husband is attempting to fix it. My husband and me are both amateur radio operators but my husband is the more active ham. I did go on to your link and heard the net from NY. Cool! and thanks! 🙂

  29. Its a good thing Isaac is running out of water because it sure looks like its gotten itself organized.

    1. Excellent point Tom. With that said Issac is going to leave its mark but thankfully this will not be a Katrina.

  30. Weird little cell coming through north attleboro. Sky got really dark all of a sudden, big downpour and gusty winds. No thunder or lightning but it’s a potent little thing

      1. Yes……I’m thinking that Irene was sort of similar. As I recall, from the North Carolina area to landfall at NYC….the pressure was in the mid 950s to low 960s…but the sustained winds were about 80 to 85 mph. Common theme to both storms, extremely big.

  32. Some awesome lightening well offshore in the clouds to our south. Am sitting on the deck watching. We watched a very brief rainshower roll in off the river but it was short lived. Tons of fun

        1. Very good ! Lots of orientation, etc and just trying to help them learn the lockers, the building and the schedule.

    1. Any word on how the oil rigs out there are. I’m very removed from any news in any form but have heard little about the rigs so hope that is good

      Significant storm surge with this from what I see – for an area where it can be below or just at sea level

      1. Havent heard about the oil rigs. I did see a story a few days ago though that the Gulf now produces about 20% or even a bit less of the US Domestic production. This is not because it produces less, but because new technologies are producing more oil. I think the term of the new technologies is fracking and I think North Dakota has a 3% unemployment rate because of this new technology. Again, I read the story about a week ago, so hopefully, most of this is an accurate recollection.

        1. Have done some reading on fracking. Husband works in oil analysis so it tends to be an interest of mine. It may well be a new way for us to destroy our environment. By the time we figure it out it may be too late.

    1. Think it will get cooler and less humid as the night goes on. Those showers tonight were associated with the frontal boundary. This morning was with the pre frontal trough.

    2. 🙂 coastal SE Mass is always last to get the dry air. Even the South River isnt much of a help on a day like today. Hang in there another few hours for the drier air.

      1. We had a great breeze earlier and had to wear sweatshirts but it disappeared. Has really been a great day here after about 11:00

  35. I think TWC is doing a good job of pointing out that, even though the hurricane made landfall over that tip of land in SE Louisiana, the majority, if not all of the center is still over water. On this 9pm advisory, with the additional pressure fall and the flight level winds the recon plane is getting, that the winds may be bumped up a bit more to 85 mph.

  36. If I understood Kevin Lemanowicz at 10:00 pm correctly, Isaac is for now just spinning in place and dumping very heavy rain over the same locations. It “may” pass over New Orleans city itself around 1:00 am Wednesday morning.

    Technically, it may not be “Katrina” but I am having a bad feeling about this storm. Isaac may not be a piece of cake by any means. We will see. Let us hope for the best.

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