More Changes, Including The Month

102 Comments

7:42AM

Typical Spring weather, changing often, stubborn at other times. And this pattern will continue as we flip the calendar from May to June this coming weekend.

High pressure centered to the north controls the weather today, which will be nice – warmer than yesterday but still cooler than average. Cold front approaches Friday, warmer day except cooler South Coast, and a shower/thunderstorm threat sometime in the afternoon or at night. Front is sluggish to depart and upper level low pressure crosses the region keeping it slightly unsettled Saturday – the last day of May. But high pressure builds in for a nicer Sunday – the first day of June.

Early next week continues to look iffy, but leaning optimistic for Monday and not so much so for Tuesday and Wednesday. More on this in the next post.

Updated southeastern New England forecast…

TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs in the 60s, some upper 50s immediate shore. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy valley fog. Lows 45-50. Wind light S.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of afternoon and evening showers/thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s, some lower 70s inland. Wind S to SW 10-20 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of showers. Low 55. High 65.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 55. High 73, cooler coast.

MONDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 56. High 78, cooler South Coast.

TUESDAY & WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 50s. Highs 60s.

102 thoughts on “More Changes, Including The Month”

  2. I copied and pasted for coastal : Apply grub preventative, not control/killer in 2-3 weeks or end of June, you shouldn’t be getting many weeds, I probably would just spot treat all the weeds, but a granular weed control will work, but be careful applying it lbs etc etc, I heard mixed results on the home Scott’s 4 step, most important is to continue on your normal watering schedule for the next 8 weeks

    THANKS TK 🙂

  3. I heard channel 5 news this morning say that average highs yesterday were almost 30 degrees below normal, it got down to 39 degrees last night, yes 39 degrees!! And today will be -15 -20 degrees below average highs today, I’ll take today’s weather I guess, I don’t even want 80’s all the time, I’m just looking for sunny and 70 everyday lol 🙂

      1. You ain’t kidding, you guys laugh, but as os has showed, and many times this year have seen, many pools have been open for sometime now, the weather hasn’t cooperated like many years 🙂

  4. There’s a funny bright orb in the sky. Does anyone know what that is?
    AND the Sky is blue. Not sure I’ve ever seen that before. Very strange.
    I hope the World isn’t coming to an abrupt end????

  7. My pool won’t open till this crap weather moves out. So by this time of year my pool is usually in balancing mode and all that and requires filter to be on 24-7. Imagine that thing running this morning with the tempature at 37 that’s just crazy.

          1. Well I think you should join Tom’s intervention, OS. Even if you do not drink alcohol, I bet he has non-alcoholic beverages to fill that glass 😉

  8. 10AM, 57 at Logan and 58 at Norwood.
    Light Easterly breeze. Should be warming up faster than that.

    BTW, low temperature at Norwood was 32 Degrees. How lovely for May 29th!!!!!
    Low at Logan was 43.

    With two (2) straight days of nasty Disgusting East to NorthEast strong winds, the Ocean temperatures are BACK DOWN again, not by a lot, but DOWN none-the-less!


    BOSTON 16 NM East of Boston, MA
    Water Temperature: 52.3 °F (11.3 °C)

    Buoy A0102 – Mass. Bay/Stellwagen
    Water Temperature: 50.4 °F (10.2 °C)

    NOW, we have to start ALL OVER AGAIN!!!!

  9. At some point last year we had tons of mosquitoes and then we had at least one frost that was severe enough to kill them. They didn’t reappear until later in the season. Does anyone remember when that frost was? I do also know that I have yet to have to put sheets over my garden this spring and even with the warmer weather throughout this century, I have had to do that nearly every year.

  10. Last night got down to 38 degrees
    today. sunny slight breeze
    temperature 61
    I have put solar cover on pool … pool temperature still cold in the 55 degree
    great biking weather though

  11. ANOTHER friggin day in the 50s!!!!!

    Boston, Logan International Airport, MA
    (KBOS) 42.38N 71.03W

    Last Updated: May 29 2014, 12:54 pm EDT
    Thu, 29 May 2014 12:54:00 -0400
    Weather: Partly Cloudy
    Temperature: 57.0 °F (13.9 °C)
    Dewpoint: 46.0 °F (7.8 °C)
    Relative Humidity: 67 %
    Wind: East at 10.4 MPH (9 KT)
    Wind Chill: 55 F (13 C)
    Visibility: 10.00 miles
    MSL Pressure: 1023.7 mb
    Altimeter: 30.23 in Hg

    1. It’s ONLY 62 inland at Norwood.

      I think it’s not only the COLD ocean, but this air mass is still pretty damn
      COLD as well!!!! The temperature SHOULD be responding much more to
      this bright sunshine with a HIGH sun angle!! Just NOT happening!

      1. For sure !

        It is 41.8F atop Mt. Washington. So, usually thats good for 80F with a west wind.

        Perhaps with the high close by, the “relatively” mild air above at 850mb is just not mixing towards the surface …… and combine that with the surface chill off of the ocean, then forget it.

        I am happier though that the sun is out ! 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 Its a start.

  12. 48.6 degree north latitude …….. International Falls, MN (the ice-box of America) is currently a mere 81F.

    1. ROTFLMAO!!!!!!! 👿 😆

      Had to run it in, didn’t you?

      I will agree on something. It is MUCH easier to tolerate this MISERABLE
      COLD with the SUN SHINING!!!!

  13. 64 – sun, sun, sun………I may break into song. Light breeze and just a hint of clouds moving in

  14. I think it’s a really nice day today. A little on the cool side, but that was expected. 🙂

  15. If you don’t like the recent nasty weather, another nasty dose of it is on its way next week which could be prolonged!

    1. I thought it was funny, 2 local met’s contrast on their forecast for next Wed’s high temp. 59 vs 72. 🙂

      1. One 59, one 60, one 70. What’s your early we will not hold you or anyone to guess 🙂

        1. Well I just have 60s above, but I figure if things shake out the way I expect, the coast may be in the upper 50s with 60s confined to the inland areas. That would be assuming the middle of next week looks the way I expect it to.

  16. Good day, all 🙂
    I was planning on painting my front porch with deck-over this weekend, but saw the mention of showers for Saturday. Any advice on the best time between Saturday morning through late Sunday afternoon that I will be in the clear to paint? Thanks!

      1. Thank, Matt! That should work. The product label states that after 24 hours, light foot traffic (the mailman) is OK.

    1. I think I saw it was below 32F at Martha’s Vineyard around 5am and 34F at Taunton ??? Chilliest part of New England this morning was extreme SE Mass.

  19. I haven’t had a chance to look at the instability parameters for today ……

    Just looking at some of the clouds already at this early hour of the morning … and I think I see some cumulus clouds and it just looks like there is rising air with the appearance of these clouds.

    I wonder if it could be an interesting thunderstorm type of day ???????

    1. From the SPC this morning:

      …ERN NY AND SRN NEW ENGLAND…
      COLD MID-LEVEL CONDITIONS ACCOMPANYING BROADLY CYCLONIC FLOW — E.G. H5 TEMPERATURES AROUND -20C — WILL FOSTER MARGINAL BUOYANCY DURING PEAK HEATING. LIMITED CAPPING AND DIURNALLY ENHANCED OROGRAPHIC
      CIRCULATIONS WILL BREED AN INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORMS AROUND THE ADIRONDACK AND GREEN MOUNTAINS…WITH THIS ACTIVITY ADVANCING TOWARD THE ATLANTIC COAST INTO THE EVENING. DESPITE THE LIMITED INSTABILITY…STRAIGHT-LINE HODOGRAPHS BOLSTERED BY 25-40-KT MID-LEVEL NWLYS MAY YIELD A FEW ORGANIZED STORMS WITH MARGINALLY SVR
      HAIL — AIDED BY RELATIVELY LOW FREEZING-LEVEL HEIGHTS.

        2. Here is the EURO Total Totals Index.

          http://i.imgur.com/QyNoz64.png?1

          What does it mean?

          The TT is a combination of the Vertical Totals (VT) and Cross Totals (CT). The VT is the temperature difference between 850 and 500 mb while the CT is 850 mb dewpoint minus the 500 mb temperature.

          TOTAL TOTALS
          56 Scattered severe storms

          2. TOTAL TOTALS
            56 Scattered severe storms

            Most of Massachusetts is in the 52-56 range!!

            1. Sorry, scale copied but would not post.
              I’ll provide by hand:

              56 Scattered Severe

              1. What the I()WSHDFUI(HF*WDFH*(#$*(^&***@&#*$@&#$^(@#&*$^&*@#^$&

                I hand typed it in and it would not POST!!! Word Press Blows!!!!

                1. I give up!!!

                  52-56 is WIDELY SCATTERED SEVERE.

                  We shall see.

                  Of course other factors have to be considered.
                  The TT is just another tool.

  20. Good morning all!

    Will update this afternoon. No major changes at this time anyway.

  21. Cape is very marginal at 500-750
    Lifted index no big deal at -1 or -2.

    We shall see what develops. 😀

    1. From NWS:

      MAIN CONCERN FOR THE AFTERNOON IS POTENTIAL
      FOR A FEW STRONG TSTMS. INSTABILITY IS MARGINAL WITH FORECAST CAPES AROUND 500 J/KG…BUT MID LEVEL TEMPS AROUND -20C WITH INCREASING MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND 0-6KM SHEAR APPROACHING 30 KT SUGGEST A FEW STORMS COULD PRODUCE NEAR SEVERE HAIL. HEAVY DOWNPOURS ALSO A THREAT AS PWATS INCREASE TO 1″.

  22. There seems to be some inconsistencies with where the potential for strong storms may fire this afternoon and evening. Some say southeastern areas have the best shot and some outlets are saying inland better chance.

    1. I’d go with the INLAND areas.

      That Bleepity bleep bleep EAST WIND always KILLS thunderstorm
      development. On the other hand, the wind causes lift when it gets inland.

      Although Euro had TTs right to the coast in the Boston area.
      NWS clearly leaning towards inland.

  24. Judging by info storms will fire in Albany and I favor southwest and west of Boston for strong storms, I believe any severe storms will be limited to just a few localized areas IMO, good day all 😉

  25. Latest from NWS just a few minutes ago:

    SECOND IMPULSE /OUR WEATHER-MAKER FOR TODAY/ PUSHING INTO N NEW ENGLAND COLLOCATED WITH A SURFACE COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT WILL SWEEP S ACROSS OUR REGION TOWARDS THE LATER-HALF OF TODAY INTO THIS EVENING THROUGH AN ENVIRONMENT WHICH COULD BE CONVECTIVELY FAVORABLE FOR WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS…A FEW OF WHICH MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE

    1. Question:

      How do we get a sea breeze with an Approaching Cold Front from
      the North and West? Seems that would promote a decent SW wind?

      Oh well, the weather in New England is always messed up and upside down! 😀

      1. At 10AM Logan has a SouthEast Wind at 160 Degrees.

        Winds at nearby inland areas are Light and Variable.

        It sure looks like the SEA BREEZE prevails today. So what else
        is new?

        I’d say a very low chance of showers near the coast, let alone
        a T-storm. It can’t be totally ruled out, but I think chances
        are quite low.

        It shall be interesting to see how things play out.

        I suspect it will be similar to the other day when we
        had INLAND storms with HAIL and ZIPPO in coastal and near
        coastal locations. 😀

  26. Still bright and Sunny here in Bean Town.

    IF we didn’t have a Sea Breeze, it would be most interesting, BUT we
    have it. So that’s that.

    Watch out inland.

    1. Dew points across the area still in the upper 40s. NOT conducive to storms.
      Those are, however, expect to rise some at least to the mid 50s.

      11AM wind at Logan SE at 130 Degrees. up to 62

      Inland still light and variable. Norwood up to 67 and Bedford up to 65.

      Setting the stage.

  27. Showers erupting along Maine and Canadian border. NE to SW running down to VT/NH Border. Is this the start?

    2. It does look impressive up there !!

      Getting lots of sunshine, I think much more than was expected.

  29. Just came back from Lunch. Barely noticeable sea breeze at home. More noticeable
    here at the office, but still beautiful out. Very comfortable especially after the CrapFest!

    Looking NW, W and SW tons of cumulus clouds. Looking NE, E and SE Not a cloud
    in the sky. The sea breeze is suppressing cumulus development and I strongly
    suspect it will prevent T-storms near the coast. Given that, unless the sea breeze
    intensifies, the T-storms may approach closer to the coast than the event several days ago.

    Fun to watch regardless. 😀

  30. From SPC not long ago:

    …ERN NY INTO NEW ENGLAND…
    A STRONG MID/UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK IS PROGRESSING SSEWD ACROSS
    CENTRAL NY ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE COLD UPPER TROUGH MOVING SLOWLY EWD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND. CONVECTION HAS BEEN DEVELOPING FROM THE ST LAWRENCE VALLEY INTO NERN NY AND NEW ENGLAND WITHIN THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF THE JET STREAK. ALTHOUGH MOISTURE IS MARGINAL WITH SURFACE DEW POINTS ONLY NEAR 50…COOLING ALOFT WILL RESULT IN SBCAPE REACHING NEAR 500 J/KG THIS AFTERNOON WITH AN INCREASE IN LOW-TOPPED CONVECTION/THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED. STRONGER CELLS MAY BE
    CAPABLE OF PRODUCING MAINLY SMALL HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

  31. Those fluffy white clouds are getting darker to the north. 70.8 with light breeze from NE

        1. The force be with you. The Force field shall be disabled and re-deployed along the 128 perimeter. 😀

          1. From Matt Noyes:

            Matt Noyes @MattNoyesNECN · 2h
            Hailstones (balls of ice) and frequent lightning are both possible in New England/NY storms this afternoon.

            Matt Noyes @MattNoyesNECN · 2h
            Showers & thunderstorms will develop across New England & NY State this afternoon/eve. Keep an eye to the northwest sky.

    1. Wow – very cool, OS. Saxonville is not where I watch it because there is a control there and it doesn’t fluctuate as much. However, it runs very close to my house. That being said, this looks quite correct. I knew it had dropped but then it went back up with recent rain. However, about a few feet below average looks quite accurate.

  33. OS – or anyone who would like to offer advice. I am supposed to head to Newton Wellesley Hospital around 5:00. Does that look to be right in the thick of the storms? I would probably be there a couple of hours so would return around 8:00.

    1. Vicki,

      Just my educated OR uneducated guess.

      YES! Prime activity “should” be “about” 4-8PM.

      IMHO, Rt 128 or approximately where NW Hosp it located may
      be “about” the Eastern extent of the storms. We shall see.

      Best of luck.

      1. In looking at the latest radar loop, any convection seems
        to be waning as it heads SE towards, dare I say it ACE,
        Rt. 495, the current FORCE FIELD.

        http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/northeast_loop.php

        Main action appears to be WAY North and West yet.

        Hmmmm

        Makes one wonder.

        Vicki you “may” be fine at 5PM given that it is now 3PM

        1. The force is strong 8)

          With that said, just stood up at my desk to stretch my legs and its all of a sudden dark out. Dark clouds rolling from the north.

          1. WOW! I am impressed! It looks as though anything that is marching SouthEastward
            approaches the force field (495) and dissipates.
            I thought the field would re-deploy to 128, but looks like that is OFF the table now. The Eastern TS Defense Team has decided to keep it deployed at 495. Perhaps there will be a change in tactics later, but does not currently look that way.

            SEA BREEZE is NOT causing the expected lift.
            Instead it is stabilizing the atmosphere and
            causing convection to go POOF!

            Very interesting.

            1. I dont know if the stability can hold on though, theres a lot of convection firing up to our north. Time will tell.

        2. Thank you OS – I really appreciate your input. I am not fond of being on the road in bad storms. Once there we can always wait it out and we will keep an eye before leaving also.

          1. Did you run into one? I was in a meeting.
            Looks like something rolled right through
            that area? hope all is well.

  34. I wonder which model is correct ? The GFS or the EURO ? If I’m interpreting them correctly, next week looks milder on the GFS than the EURO. The EURO looks rather dreadful.

    Seeing on ch 5 an updated 7 day forecast full of 70s next week. Perhaps to escape another raw, cloudy, blah NE wind episode ?

  35. Hmmm

    Something has made it inside 128. Looking out my window, I don’t
    see ANYTHING heading this way. Almost as if the radar is a LYING SACK OF S**T.

    We shall see. Nothing looks impressive, that’s for sure.

  39. Weather today has behaved generally as expected.
    Most of the storms far inland, less so and just showers nearer Boston.

    I have updated the blog!

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