Monday Forecast

44 Comments

7:20AM

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 25-29)
A cold front is moving through the region without any fanfare, just cloudiness, early this morning and will set up a dry but chilly first few days of the week, followed by a warming trend later in the week as high pressure, which arrives from Canada early in the week, finds its way southeast of the region by late in the week. By late Friday though, we’ll have a cold front approaching from the northwest… Forecast details…
TODAY: Limited sun with lots of clouds morning. Increasing sun north to south midday on. Highs 45-52. Wind NW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 25-32. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY: Sunny. Highs 38-45. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 25-32. Wind light N.
WEDNESDAY: Sunny. Highs 45-50 coast, 50-55 interior. Wind light E.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 27-34. Wind light SE.
THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 48-55 except 55-62 interior valleys. Wind light S.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 40-47. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 48-55 South Coast, 56-63 elsewhere. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 30-APRIL 3)
The March 30-31 weekend temperatures will depend on the position of a front nearby. For now I’m leaning toward the region being on the warmer side of it and staying with the ongoing forecast but it likely won’t be a totally sunny weekend, and a slight shift east and south of the position of that boundary will result in a vastly different temperature profile in the region. Much cooler air should be here to start April and there may be a period of rain which may end as snow April 1 with a slow clearing trend after.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 4-8)
We’ll be near a boundary, so neither the weather nor the temperature forecast can be made with high confidence at this point. Leaning toward the cooler side of normal for temperatures but limited precipitation.

44 thoughts on “Monday Forecast”

    2. Thank you. Yes, a very nice read.
      I was under the impression that the warmth for the weekend was a lock.
      I guess not. 🙂

  4. SAK mentioned the water temperatures. Here’s a Massachusetts Bay reading today at buoy 44029:
    Air Temperature (ATMP): 39.2
    Water Temperature (WTMP): 38.3 °F

    Yep, cold out there.

  6. Good morning and thank you TK.

    Despite the passage of a cold front and considerable cloudiness, to me it is
    yet another beautiful morning. As I went out to my car, the birds were chirping
    all over the place and the local squirrels were active. A very pleasant feeling….

    btw, the DJs on the radio were funny asking WHY the temperature was dropping. Obviously they had no clue as to the passage or expected passage of the Canadian
    cold front. Geez, people are simply NOT tuned in at all.

    Cold front or no, still a very nice day in my book.

    1. Radio stations other than WBZ are totally useless for weather forecasts. They no longer employ qualified mets like back in the day. The DJ’s just read off an old forecast every hour or so, if that.

        1. We’ll find out, won’t we. I want it to be Spring so badly now, that it is SURE to SNOW()!&@#()!@&#&!*#&@

  13. Here is a classic rolling stones tune (Sympathy for the devil) recorded live
    at Madison Square Garden in NYC in 1969.

    There are 2 guitar solo tracks on this, the 1st one by Keith Richards and the 2nd
    one by Mick Taylor. They are both good, But I’d give the edge to Mick as his is
    a bit more fluid and dynamic. Just my opinion.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8b7naf3xwM8

    What a BEAUTIFUL DAY!!!! I was just out. GORGEOUS out there. Nice and comfortable and that sun is WARM!!!!

      1. Interesting where there are higher dewpoints to the south at 3pm. Providence to Boston is quite the difference.

          1. The dew points are higher there because they are in a different air mass than the one that’s in Boston. The dry air came from Canada and it’s extremely dry, modified arctic air.

  15. 12z GFS still advertising the potential for 70+ on Saturday:

    https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=neus&pkg=T2m&runtime=2019032512&fh=126

    Thereafter, much cooler weather returns. The 6z GFS actually brought a storm up from the Gulf next Tuesday with accumulating snow changing to rain and highs contained in the 30’s. 12z GFS still has the storm but is depicting it as more of an inside runner.

    12z Euro develops a low pressure system along the passing cold front Sunday and rides it up over us with coastal rain and snow well inland.

    I think early next week needs to be watched, probably not for anything major but perhaps some frozen precip is not out of the question.

    1. I would not be surprised one single bit if we see snow at least 2 times in the first 10 days of April. And that would not be unusual either. 🙂

          1. Agree totally. I have seen way too many late Aprin snows along with an occasional early May as well. 🙂

  16. 51 / -5 at Boston now. DP -7 at Manchester NH. I’d question those readings if not for the similar readings above and below zero all across NNE as well.

    1. There goes Logan again. My equipment has been quite accurate with the
      dew point and mine is showing a DP = 12 right now. 17 degrees over 5 or 6 miles???

      I don’t trust ANY observation from that shit hole.

  17. 51 to 41 at Logan just like that. A great example of text book weather. Weak pressure gradient. Light wind. Heated land (relatively) warms well above the water’s temperature, rises, and the ocean-cooled air moves in to take its place. The atmosphere keeping itself happy. 🙂

  20. At some point in the overnight, we had a light graupel shower, as it was on the tops of the cars this morning.

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