6 thoughts on “C-19 Chat Post – March 18 2021”

    1. I’ve been seeing this trend, too, you may recall. However, it’s a muted increase. The muting is due to vaccinations. Are we out of the woods? No. The wildcard remains the variants, possibility of reinfections, and numbers of unvaccinated folks in certain regions.

      It’s also important to keep in mind that we’re still losing well over 1,000 people each day nationwide. Across the E.U. the number has increased to over 2,000 per day. Brazil around 3,000. Globally the number is around 10,000.

  1. Isolated pockets of Great Britain are seeing pandemic highs in terms of hospitalizations, including the Isle of Man. This is a concern. Even though the country as a whole is doing very well, the entire nation needs to be doing well in order for it to fully reopen. Note, the UK is still very much in strict lockdown, with all non-essential businesses shut down (some do offer limited curbside service), and little or no travel possible beyond a 10-15 mile radius from your home. Fines are very steep if caught, so few venture out beyond the radius.

  2. Parts of France are back into strict lockdown. Greater Paris, for example. All non-essential businesses will be closed for up to 1 month. An odd exception was made for bookstores. I guess they want people to read more. No travel is permitted outside a 10km radius from your home.

    The numbers in parts of France are really bad. They’re having to move patients from the Paris region sometimes hundreds of kilometers away. There just isn’t any room in the hospitals.

    Could this all get better by summer? Yes. Is it likely? I’m leaning more and more towards no.

    Don’t want to get ahead of myself, but I could envision a scenario in which the U.S. will be flush with supplies, say, in May or June, and will ship excess to Europe at cost (no profit) to save lives and to put the pandemic behind us. Ultimately, we the world all must be in this together. Otherwise, we’ll all suffer the effects of the pandemic for a prolonged period of time.

    The E.U. botched the rollout badly. They played hardball at the negotiating table on price. I completely understand this under normal circumstances, and I wish the U.S. government would do the same (it NEVER does, unfortunately – just look at the cost of public projects!). But this is a pandemic. You can’t penny-pinch or act cheap, and you certainly don’t want to underestimate the needed supplies. Better to have a surplus than a shortage.

  3. India is now a problem. 3 weeks ago had gotten its cases down to 10,000 per day, now it’s close to 40,000 per day. India does very little testing; only those with bad symptoms get tested. Hospitalizations are rising. India has a comparatively young population. That should keep deaths down.

    The data around the globe look bleak. The lockdowns being imposed add to the bleakness.

    The employment figures released this week in the U.S. and Europe aren’t encouraging.

    I am hoping and praying we in the U.S. can avoid another surge.

    1,700 deaths have been recorded in the U.S. today.

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