DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 1-5)
The first several days of November will present a cooling trend into a near to below normal temperature regime. It will be a largely dry week, but there are rain shower chances from an approaching cold front Tuesday, and a wave of low pressure passing southeast of the region Thursday may bring a touch of light rainfall to the South Coast region.
TODAY: Sunny. Highs 55-62. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts possible.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 35-42. WInd WNW 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. A few rain showers possible. Highs 52-59. Wind WSW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts possible.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 33-40. Wind WNW 5-15 MPH, diminishing.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 47-54. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 35-42. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. A period or two of light rain possible south of Boston, favoring the South Coast. Highs 46-53. Wind N up to 10 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 35-42. Wind N up to 10 MPH.
FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 45-52. Wind N up to 10 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 6-10)
Much better guidance agreement today and along the lines of my outlook of mainly dry weather with storminess staying to the south over the weekend into early next week, temperatures below to near normal to start, then a moderating trend underway by the end of the period.
DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 11-15)
A milder pattern for mid November seems in the cards with a couple of minor incidences of unsettled weather possible during this time period.
https://stormhq.blog/2021/11/01/weekly-outlook-november-1-7-2021/?fbclid=IwAR3jKAto1N1mh4bNMlDUMAKfRYFkn-kCtJjRjdOOVia5daMCd_L1QHrMBL4
Good morning and thank you TK.
I don’t see any exciting weather on the horizon. Ho-hum weather.
Will I see 32 this wee?
When will we see our first flakes?
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Thanks TK.
We did NOT participate in Halloween last night.
But I have to say, I have NEVER seen so many trick or treaters out on Halloween ever before. My son gave out candy and when he ran out (every person on our street ran out) he cruised the neighborhood and took this photo.
https://ibb.co/MC7X4v9
WOW. Maybe I’m nuts but iI don’t get it. We put buckets in the steps. A couple others in our neighborhood had contactless tables with candy out. They bagged some. I wish I’d thought of that as it meant kids didn’t have to touch what everyone else rifled through. I saw a surprising numbered tables at the end of driveways when I drove home from my oldests early on. Her kids went out with masks and gloves but she said there were no groups.
Same. Our neighborhood was extremely crowded. Tons of families.
Thank you, TK.
What a lovely morning for the first of November. I recall a really nice string of warmer (for November) weather in 2015 also.
Thanks TK !
Thank you, TK.
In my experience, the first week or so of November is often quite nice and tranquil.
Thanks TK.
Assuming we get that widespread frost/freeze this week, that mid-November period begs “Indian Summer”.
Average first frost at Logan = Nov. 7-9
Not going to happen at Logan. Perhaps back from the coast.
Not even sure I see a frost here in JP. Could happen. Not sure yet.
Yeah, especially not with all that hot air from Southwest Airline pilots.
he he he
Not sure I get the joke. 🙂
Well, check this out.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-10-09/southwest-air-pilots-seek-to-block-covid-vaccination-mandate
This should clarify it a bit for you.
Thanks JPD. I hadn’t heard about that. So many employees of various companies fighting the vaccine, it’s hard to keep track. Haha. 🙂
Thanks TK.
Saw somewhere that as of today, the NWS will no longer be issuing frost/freeze advisories until spring 2022 due to being 2 weeks past the average frost. Seems to me it shouldn’t be based on a hard date but more the circumstances of each fall? Most places haven’t even had a frost yet. Anyone know if this is their policy every year?
Sure doesn’t make sense to me. I am with you.
I looked quickly. This may not be what you are referring to
https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2021/03/04/national-weather-service-advisories/?outputType=amp
This may be more in line with your comment. ??
https://www.weather.gov/iwx/fallfrostinfo
This…
https://mobile.twitter.com/NWSBoston/status/1455223469520556033
Thanks, Ace. The second link I posted said frost/freeze warnings are issued by NWS from May 1 to October 20. I never knew that, but then I don’t ever recall a warning in winter. It looks as if the NWS May have extended the time a bit this year since frost is so late.
Eric’s response to the tweet you shared. I’m not sure how I feel. My oldest is still getting tomatoes but it seems folks are smart enough to know their gardens are short lived. But then why not post a warning.
https://twitter.com/ericfisher/status/1455347809868292096?s=21
The 12Z Euro wants to give a glancing blow for another Nor’Easter on the 8th.
https://maps2.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf_full/2021110112/174/prateptype_cat_ecmwf.conus.png
This could be something to watch as it becomes very intense
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2021110112/ecmwf_mslpa_atl_9.png
Nov 9 again. Hmmm
No changes on thoughts today after reviewing 12z guidance.
The Eurocrappy model is the outlier and the least consistent and remains basically useless. Latest run it’s back to its over-amp habits. The Euro is as bad now as the Canadian used to be. Even NWS has noted that the operational Euro run doesn’t have support from its own ensembles, as well as GFS & Canadian.
GFS & Canadian are your better models at this time and the GFS solution from the 12z run is generally good, IMO, at showing the overall pattern doing into mid November.
Down to 36