Tuesday October 11 2022 Forecast (7:19AM)

Late-day showers especially north and west of Boston provided enough ground moisture for areas of fog overnight and early this morning, but that will dissipate soon with the sun rising into the sky. High pressure builds into the region today then shifts to the south and east Wednesday. This provides fair weather, cool mornings, and milder afternoons both days. A fairly amplified trough of low pressure will be approaching from the west during this time and then will move across our region later Thursday through Friday. An associated surface frontal boundary will bring a swath of showers to the region later Thursday into Friday, maybe coming in a couple waves. Fair weather returns later Friday as a developing low pressure area on the boundary pulls the front more quickly to the east at that time. This sets up a nice start to the weekend as high pressure builds in from the west.

TODAY: Early fog patches especially in Boston’s northern and western suburbs, otherwise mostly sunny. Highs 59-66. Wind calm early, then SW up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 44-51. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs Highs 61-68. Wind SSW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 48-55. Wind SSW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Shower chances increase from west to east. Highs 60-67. Wind S 10-20 MPH, higher gusts especially by late in the day.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Widespread showers, some possibly heavy. Chance of thunderstorms. Lows 53-60. Wind S 5-15 MPH, higher gusts, above 20 MPH.

FRIDAY: Cloudy with showers ending from west to east in the morning. Clearing in the afternoon. Highs 62-69. Wind S 5-15 MPH, higher gusts, shifting to W.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 38-45. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 60-67. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 16-20)

October 16 should see dry weather to round out the weekend but we may end up with more clouds at least in advance of another trough heading this way. This trough brings a shower chance early next week followed by fair but cooler weather by the middle of next week.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 21-25)

Large scale pattern keeps the general trough position in the Great Lakes and Northeast, not amplified enough for much rainfall, but allowing for additional deliveries of cool autumn air with 1 or 2 brief precipitation threats.

23 thoughts on “Tuesday October 11 2022 Forecast (7:19AM)”

  1. Might be interesting to see what the recon plane finds in the Bay of Campeche.

    Something is circulating, but its hard to tell if its a surface or mid level circulation.

    To this point, an impressive area of thunderstorms.

  2. I think there might be a special 3pm statement from the NHC naming a tropical storm in the Bay of Campeche.

  3. TS Karl is born in the Bay of Campeche.
    It will drift northwest, then southwest, probably never become a hurricane, then make landfall in Mainland Mexico in a few days, probably south of Monte Gordo early Friday, based on current projections. Flooding will be the main concern with this one.

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