Thursday October 13 2022 Forecast (7:34AM)

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A low pressure trough traversing the region from west to east through Friday will bring us a period of unsettled weather. If you step outside this morning you’ll already notice there has been a spike in humidity as a warm front passed the region during the early morning hours, boosting dew points. We’ll have a healthy southerly air flow in this warm air mass today and as the upper pattern pushes a surface cold front slowly into and across the region later today through the first half to two thirds of Friday, we’ll have an increase in rain shower activity, becoming most widespread tonight and early Friday when there can be downpours and even some thunder. A little low pressure area forming on the frontal boundary may delay its departure for a few hours during the day on Friday, but it looks like all of the rainfall should be offshore by mid afternoon, exiting Cape Cod lastly. In will flow drier air behind that for the upcoming weekend, but it will be a mild weekend as we maintain a southwesterly air flow both at the surface and aloft. Look for the sunniest day of the two weekend days Saturday. Sunday may feature more cloud cover at times as a disturbance approaches. For now, I am keeping that day’s forecast rain-free, although some guidance has hinted at the chance for some shower activity before the day is over, especially to the west, so this will be something to keep an eye on. Unsettled weather more certainly returns early next week as another trough and frontal system approach and move in from the west…

TODAY: Mostly cloudy with intervals of sun during this morning. Generally overcast with an increased chance for showers southwest to northeast this afternoon. Highs 65-72. Dew point 60+. Wind S 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Widespread showers, some likely heavy. Chance of thunderstorms. Lows 55-62. Wind S 5-15 MPH, higher gusts, above 20 MPH.

FRIDAY: Cloudy with rain showers including some downpours ending from west to east in the morning except lingering near the MA East Coast and NH Seacoast into early afternoon and Cape Cod until about mid afternoon. Clouds break for sun west to east midday and afternoon. Highs 65-72. Wind S 5-15 MPH, higher gusts, shifting to SW.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 44-51. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 63-70. Wind WSW up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 43-50. Wind SW under 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 63-70. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clouding over. Lows 51-58. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Cloudy. Rain showers likely, especially during the afternoon. Highs 60-67. Wind S 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 18-22)

Low pressure trough overhead brings cooler air but still a rain shower chance October 18 then departs with dry/cool weather following that, until a moderating trend in temperature later in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 23-27)

Progressive pattern but with the mean trough position Great Lakes to Northeast on the larger scale. This does mean a couple precipitation threats exist, but no long-lasting unsettled weather. Temperatures near to below normal.

37 thoughts on “Thursday October 13 2022 Forecast (7:34AM)”

  3. Thanks TK.

    Pleasant surprise seeing so much sun first thing this morning! I was expecting to wake up to nothing but gloomy sky. Nice. 🙂

    1. Thanks JpDave !

      Is it me or did I see slight for most of central/western areas of New England a day or so ago? Unless that is falling into day 2 outlook ……

      1. Sorry, I didn’t see that.

        I have been so busy with work that I have not paid too much attention to things.

        I have never been this busy at this job before.

        It sure makes time FLY! 🙂

    1. The showers were in the forecast for Boston for any time mid afternoon on. Right on time. 🙂

    1. Thanks Jimmy. I would be curious if that 1895 was a late season “tropical” system. I recognize those 1950’s dates as definite hurricanes.

        1. Actually, it wasn’t. There were no tropical systems anywhere remotely close around that time frame. There was a tropical storm that made landfall just east of Houston on October 7, but it dissipated quickly. That storm that brought all the rain was a typical northern stream system that redeveloped into a strong Nor’easter off the Mid-Atlantic coastline and moved across the Cape and into Atlantic Canada.

          https://library.oarcloud.noaa.gov/docs.lib/htdocs/rescue/dwm/1895/18951013.pdf

          1. I’m so out of research mode right now.. haha.
            I can still smell those big weather map books in the wx lab in my memory.

  13. Sharing notice. That fake snow cover above foliage photo being called Mount Washington (which isn’t Mount Washington) is making its annual circulation around the net again. This hoax is at least a few years old. 😉

  15. Thanks TK!

    Looks like some gusty winds possible over southeast New England late tonight into tomorrow morning. Gusts 40-50, locally 60+ looks like a good bet. Probably a few power outages. A mass de-leafing awaits for Maine 😉

        1. Except the part about having to reset all of my mom’s outdated clocks and appliances. 😉

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