Tuesday June 20 2023 Forecast (7:35AM)

70 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 20-24)

The final full day of spring will feel like mid spring with below normal temperatures, lots of clouds, and a shower chance from a passing upper level disturbance. An onshore flow will prevail, setting us up for a low clouds and patchy fog tonight after any showers have dissipated. As a transient Rex block sends high pressure this way and pushes low pressure to the south at midweek, we’ll have fair weather, for a short time, and a warming trend of sorts – not to summer heat levels for sure even as we welcome summer with the solstice at 10:57 a.m. Wednesday. A light wind field allows a sea breeze to get going Wednesday, and while Thursday will be a warmer day overall, a more southeast to south wind will still have an ocean component for most coastal areas, keeping them cooler. Wildcard for Thursday is that recent trends in guidance have been to advance clouds and a shower threat more quickly. For now I haven’t jumped on this trend, but know that it may not end up as sunny as my forecast currently indicates, and that in a worst-case scenario, if that guidance is correct, we may end up seeing showers arrive for at least southern areas before the day has ended. Later this week, we’re back in a low pressure trough with a warm front pushing through Friday including the chance of showers and an increase in humidity into Saturday, which will carry the chance of showers and thunderstorms, but at least it’ll have a bit more of the feel of summer with higher humidity. 😉

TODAY: Mostly cloudy. Isolated to scattered showers. Highs 66-73, coolest coast. Wind E up to 10 MPH

TONIGHT: Low clouds, patchy fog. Lows 52-59. Wind E under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Low clouds and patchy fog give way to sun. Highs 70-77, coolest coast. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes developing.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 54-61. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Sunshine, some clouds later. Highs 76-83, coolest coastal areas. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Showers possible in southern areas especially South Coast. Lows 60-67. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Highs 75-82. Dew point nearing 60. Wind SE-S 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers evening. Lows 62-69. Dew point near 60. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs 77-84. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 25-29)

A series of troughs / upper lows will be around, centered mostly to the west, with a humid and unsettled pattern with daily chances for showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures near to slightly below normal. This is not a “rainy every day” pattern, as there will be dry times too, but too early to work out a more detailed forecast.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 30 – JULY 4)

A more relaxed version of the 6-10 day pattern is expected for the 11-15 day period, still seeing opportunities for showers and thunderstorms at times with no significant heat.

70 thoughts on “Tuesday June 20 2023 Forecast (7:35AM)”

  3. Thanks TK. :mrgreen:

    TK – How do humans know the exact time a new season begins? Summer begins Wednesday at 10:57 a.m.

  6. Thanks, TK.

    Last night was certainly relatively cool for the time of year. At least that’s my perception.

        1. I actually had to turn the heat up last night…yet again.

          Of course what would one expect for late spring/early summer. 😉

    1. I evidently hit the wrong number went I went with 27 (90F) days at Logan. Make that 27 (80F) days 🙂 🙂 🙂

      Of course, had I chosen some location just southwest of Hudson Bay, I might have verified, which should have folks worried for the planet.

      1. It could be one of those very muggy summers but not a lot of sustained heat. Certainly from the tweet I posted from Eweather that is not a sustained heat pattern shown by those forecast models going into July.

  11. Vicki I believe that day recorded the largest size hail for the state of CT. The biggest hail I have seen here in CT is quarter size hail from a storm back in July 2013.

      1. Only through July.
        August and September were wonderful.
        But sadly, even though 53 out of 61 days those 2 months are summer days, the trend in society, driven by retail, is that August and September are now autumn months, so people fail to recognize the fact some of our best weather is occurring while they lament 7 p.m. sunsets while in line for pumpkin spice coffee on the way to buy Halloween decorations. 😉

        1. We used to have a house in York, Maine, and I remember how stinky (family friendly word) June and July were that year. And for us, the family spent July at the Maine House. So it was magnified.

  13. I know some here don’t want to hear complaints about the weather, but this month has been basically miserable.

    1. I don’t think anyone minds hearing them. I know I don’t. I just look at it differently. Most of all, I’m happy to be here. But the variations to me are what make weather fascinating.

  16. While as cloudy, it felt like June 2009 was cooler.

    A lot more NE wind flow in Marshfield, at least. And I think there was more light rain and drizzle.

    For that reason, this one doesn’t feel quite as tough for me.

    1. I can also say June 1982 felt cooler and drizzlier. But we were at Hum then and I’m inland now.

  20. IMHO, this ain’t no stinken sea breeze today.
    It’s almost a NE Gale. The wind is really blowing, NOT a typical sea breeze. You can call that if you want, but it is clearly MORE than than. Down to 64 after to slipping to 63 here as it was nearly 70 at 69 earlier.

    🙂

  21. Personally, I’m liking this weather. Not the rainy days, of course, but the other days this month in which it either has only sprinkled a bit or been dry and partly cloudy. I haven’t felt this alive in June in a while. No dizziness, less fatigue and nausea from heat and humidity, or headaches from the summer sun beating down on me. But I know many are not too pleased with the weather.

    1. Wife is LOVING it as well!!

      My beach days are long gone, So I’d love it IF it NEVER got to 80 all Summer. 🙂

      1. I’m never going to give up the beach, even if they have to wheel me there when I’m 106. 🙂

          1. Well, 100 anyway. 🙂

            One of my favorite singers, Thomas Dolby, said “live to be a hundred” in 2 of his songs, so I took it as a direct order and said, ‘k, Thomas, I will! 😉

              2. We played my father that song on his 64th birthday. 🙂

                On August 4 2023, it will be the 100th anniversary of his birth, and that is the day that an album written & recorded by “A Finesse” aka “F&S” will be coming out. YouTube & Spotify!

                “A Finesse” is Nate & myself.

  22. Daughter had her destructive deck visitor at the bird feeders last night. Her “coaxing” the critter to leave the hummingbirds some nectar and maybe shut off the bird bath fountain (“unplug that thing while you are there”) had me laughing out loud. It is fair to say she loves animals of all kind.

    https://imgur.com/a/aDS3cA1

  23. Friend of mine – former professor – turns 102 on June 22nd.

    She’s still lucid. Short term memory is shot, but so is mine! Her stories are incredibly detailed. Still reads the NY Times and Wall Street Journal and is quite aware of what’s going on.

    1. Amazing! We have a 101 year old resident at my place, former US Marine. She’s amazing, and quite alert & “with it” for her age. 🙂

  24. I promise I won’t be posting on Covid on this blog. But I did find the latest sub-variant’s name – FU.1 – amusing. I’m not a profane person and so I won’t spell it out for you. It’s rapidly expanding in parts of Asia, by the way.

    1. Post on Covid via this blog ANYTIME if there are important updates that the media may not pass along or incorrectly. Sadly this virus isn’t going away anytime soon. ANOTHER VARIANT?!? XBB already is expected this fall.

      Also, please share any of your articles as well. Thanks Joshua. 🙂

      2. Additional variants shouldn’t surprise you. Rhinovirus has over 200. This is just normal in the development / evolution of them.

        They become more contagious but less deadly with time. It’s how they survive. That’s exactly what we’ve seen. It’s not always a steady curve, but it’s a trend, until they just “exist” with variation in behavior depending on numerous factors.

  26. Since Covid is being discussed, my wife had it last week.

    It floored her.

    The doctor gave her paxlovid ??, the one on the commercial I see a lot.

    Anyhow, for my wife, it kicked COVID’s behind.

    She felt better after starting that fairly quickly, after 2-3 days with high fever and absolute exhaustion.

    I had and have no symptoms and have tested negative for days and days and days. Our daughters too.

  27. Tom, glad to hear about your wife getting better with Paxlovid.

    TK, your are correct about the evolution of these kinds of viruses. Their only parasitic purpose is to survive. In order to do so, they mutate over time to become more infectious and to avoid immunity walls. In doing so, they usually become LESS virulent. Omicron is a good example of this. However, the Delta variant was an exception. But, the good news I’m not expecting another variant like it.

  28. Nice snowstorm atop Mt. Hotham in Australia the other day: 43cm, which is about 17g inches. And after the storm passed it turned sunny and brisk (low 30s), which is perfect for skiing. Happy for them that they’ve had a nice start to the season.

    1. That should read 17 inches, not 17g inches. Don’t know where the g came from. It’s not a giga inch, in case you were wondering.

      1. Boston didn’t receive that much all last winter. A measly 12.4 inches. Not to mention NYC at 2.2 inches. Absolutely nothing Philly and DC.

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