Wednesday February 7 2024 Forecast (7:36AM)

129 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 7-11)

A northeast flow between a distant storm at sea and high pressure to the north propels clouds into southeastern MA for several more hours today before a clearing trend begins there. Elsewhere, sunshine will be more abundant without the impact of the flow off the ocean, and a gradual backing of the wind to the north will start clearing out southeastern areas later as well. High pressure moves over the region tonight and Thursday with fair weather – a cold night tonight and a modest warm up Thursday. Some high level clouds will stream across the sky at times through Thursday but start to increase Thursday night and especially Friday ahead of a warm front. This front should take any light precipitation it generates to the north of our region, but result in a very mild day here on Saturday with a sun/cloud mix. A rain shower may accompany a cold front crossing the region later Saturday, setting up a fair and slightly colder day Sunday, post front, with a northwest wind.

TODAY: Lots of clouds MA South Shore to southeastern RI eastward, with a few snow showers Cape Cod, followed by a clearing trend later today. Elsewhere, mostly sunny. Highs 32-39. Wind NE 5-15 MPH, strongest coast, shifting to N and diminishing later.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 15-22. Wind N-NW under 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 39-46. Wind variable under 10 MPH becoming SW up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 32-39. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. Highs 42-49, coolest northwest of Boston in higher elevations. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 35-42. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. A passing rain shower possible late in the day. Highs 50-57. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 30-37. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 40-47. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 12-16)

Watching a passing low pressure area, most likely to our south, to be possibly close enough to bring a period of mix to snow later February 12 into February 13, followed by fair and colder weather mid to late next week.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 17-21)

Overall pattern looks on the drier side with below normal temperatures as the idea is stronger blocking suppressing a storm track mostly to our south.

129 thoughts on “Wednesday February 7 2024 Forecast (7:36AM)”

  3. Good morning and thank TK.

    6z gfs gives us a major snow stirm 2/12,13
    Euo, cmc and icon deliver a moderate snow storm.

    So is this the suporession battle with on again off again snow?

    What’s it goi g be? Snow or suppression???? Hey models make up your minds!!!!

  4. Thanks TK
    We have seen everything for that potential storm system on Tuesday lakes cutter suppressed and direct hit

    1. Hi JJ. Well, thaf ks a new twist. Usually the outcome is very clear. 🙄

      Talk about a winter that is a meteorological nightmare

  6. Thank you TK!

    Might be a good time to break out that snow dance JPD. Although it seems we can’t even buy a snow storm these days.

      1. HAHAHAHAHA! Good choice!

        My mom used to sing “Wake up little Susie” to me when I was young and had to get up for school. I bet you can imagine how much I loathe that song now. 🙂

    1. Hmmm, I thought previously that I didn’t like it.
      Upon closer examination, I find I do rather like it. 🙂

      Thanks for posting

  9. I’ll take the model that gives us the most snow for $200 please. Would love to squeeze in a snow day before the break and I’m subjected to 4 days at my in-laws in Florida….

  12. Snow dance for me will be no storms the week of 2/19 / please . Wife is having major surgery on 2/20 .

    1. Perhaps you will need to do a rain dance. 🙂

      In all seriousness though I wish the very best for your wife and will be praying for her and your family.

      1. Yes rain dance & I appreciate the kind words , thank you . But in the two weeks I’ll be home with her after the surgery I am hoping for a really big snowstorm.

  14. I would like to ask for prayers again. We found out last night that my six week old grand niece is in the hospital with bacterial meningitis. The doctors are telling my nephew and his wife that they believe they caught it early enough. An MRI yesterday also showed good signs. Thank you ❤️

    1. Fortunately, my nephew and his wife are still in maternity leave. His wife is a teacher in Marlboro so has several months. He has 9 weeks from his job

      1. I’m not sure. I didn’t want to ask a lot of questions last night. She has an 18 month old sister so they are going in a million directions. She was born at Milford and Milford has a Children’s pediatric team so I’m thinking they are there. I’ll ask my niece (his sister) once she is out of work.

  16. Thank you all. She will be in the hospital until at least the 19th for IV antibiotics. The medical team sure seems to be doing a wonderful job.

  18. Icon looks pretty powerful, nice comma head backlash, I believe.

    Looks like there’s more phasing on the early 12z info, thus far.

    1. TOM very Strange, when I go to Pivotal Weather, I get 12 inches or so for Boston, yet your link shows 19 inches????

      What’ up with that. THEY BOTH show 12Z run???????

    1. Hoping for a solution like this. Sorry! Wife got in her first car accident yesterday (she’s ok.) So we are now without a car! So any massive snow will just make life worst at the moment lol

  27. So now, we just need 4 days of consistency on this phasing and we’ll be all set.

    Oh by the way, the tides are monstrous this time frame.

    If this happens, the coast is in big, big, big trouble. Like 12ft daytime tide in Boston. That’s without the surge. Put 3-4 ft on that and we’ll see water in places we are not used to seeing.

  28. Biggest issue I see is little cold air to work with, need a perfect track. This storm will certainly change the pattern moving forward.

    1. Definitely agree. This winter, so far, has been the same story. Moisture, no cold air. Cold air, no moisture.

    2. It’s not that this system will change the pattern, but more that this system is part of a changing pattern.

  29. Vicki, I’m sorry to hear about your grand niece’s bacterial meningitis. She’s in good hands. There are excellent antibiotics to treat this (thanks in part to the incredibly discoveries of Dr. Alexander Fleming, who may be my number one hero next to Edward Jennings – no exaggeration to say these two are responsible for saving hundreds of millions of lives if not more). However, it’s still a concerning situation.

  30. SSK, I’m sorry to hear about your wife’s surgery. I hope that things go well.

    My gut feeling, as you know, is that there won’t be much snow or cold, moving forward. So, I don’t think snow will impede your travel to and from the hospital. However, greater minds than mine, like TK, are a much safer bet to rely on.

    2. Well Joshua, you & I do think a like , but would like a big one in that timeframe . I’m in Boston now with my wife for appointment & that sun is strong very strong .

  34. Very heavy rain moving into Southern England tonight with temps in the 50s tomorrow. However, a boundary sets up north of Manchester (200 miles north of London) towards Scotland where some modestly colder air is in place. My guess is that accumulating snow will be confined to higher elevations of (far) Northern England and the Highlands of Scotland. I don’t think that the major cities like Glasgow and Edinburgh will get any snow, just cold rain. It’s a familiar theme this winter, both here and there. The colder air to the north isn’t especially cold with a few exceptions, such as the Scottish Hebrides, Shetland and a few other places that have had snow and will get more. We’re sort of dealing with this, too, as the cold to our north all winter has been rather marginal at best.

    The Dutch KNMI still projects only marginal cold in the long range forecast for the Netherlands and no snow to speak of. In the mid-range it’s quite possible record high temps will be in store there this weekend.

    For the Alps, desperate for snow, perhaps a slightly better forecast as that cold I mentioned from Siberia looks poised to make a run at parts of Central Europe in mitigated fashion. Should help with either snowmaking or natural snow in the higher elevations.

      1. Yeah the southern stream is slower so you can clearly see it being pulled further north. I am sure this one ends up as a full fledged rainstorm here.

  37. Appreciate all the well wishes , very supportive blog & it’s appreciated. Lots of us here have had things going on & I hope it improves for all of us !!Tk I hope mom is feeling better .

    1. I GIVE UP!!! I don’t think we are destined for a snow storm, just another disappointment in a disappointing Winter!

      1. I wouldn’t bother getting too bent out of shape about 1 operational model run 6 days in advance. 🙂

        1. Nah, just ranting and reacting. BUT that being said, it would NOT surprise me to see a rain event in SNE. Hope not, but would NOT be a surprise.

  39. Here is a shot of Lee Canyon ski area in Nevada.
    I believe where I have the red arrow, you can see the remains
    of the avalanche from the other day. You can clearly see, it was on one of the ski trails or at least I think so.

    https://ibb.co/bP1qQxC

    1. I just don’t remember seeing that the other day. Hey, perhaps I am wrong, but sure looks like it to me.

  40. SSK. Little Shayla is at newton wellesley. MGH has a pediatric section there. MGH has an exceptional pediatrics division. Her mom told her sister In law (my niece) that the baby is not getting worse but is also not improving so they are not out of the woods yet.

    1. Our neighbor is a pediatrician at Mass General in Boston. He’s great! I like Mass General. IN GOOD HANDS with Mass General Pediatricians. 🙂

      1. When our kids first pediatrician whom we adored retired, his associate, Dr Peter Greenspan, took his place. I believe he was head of pediatrics at MGH and May now hold a different title. Our youngest was hospitalized at MGH at 10 days old with what turned out not to be the suspected meningitis. I agree, the care even then was exceptional.

    2. The baby will get exceptionally good care there by experienced professionals, I’m sure the medicine takes some time to kick in , not getting any worse I think would be a good sign . I’ll be praying that improvement comes along real soon .

  42. Shayla is a great name! Wishing little Shayla well.

    Antibiotics do take a little time to work. Not sure when she was first administered antibiotics. But if it’s less than 24 hours ago, the fact that she hasn’t exhibited improvement yet isn’t a surprise. Obviously very important to monitor.

    1. This would be day four at least for antibiotics. She was af MGH Boston for two hours yesterday for picc line placement.

      As an aside, if I don’t respond in 24 hours, I know they have the wrong antibiotic. Doctors used to think I was nuts until they had to change three days later when I still wasn’t responding. I do know it is typically 24 but as we all know I’m an odd duck

    1. Thank you. I found a few. This particular bacterial meningitis is specific to children under six months. I’ll check to see if this article discusses this type.

    2. Ahhh this is one I found before I was reminded newborn meningitis is somewhat different. Mayo, Cleveland clinic, Ncbi.nml, and childrens in Boston, Cincinnati and Texas

      Although infant BM is different I agree if is extremely serious

    1. AS such, it has backed off a great deal on the snow.
      From about a foot in Boston to somewhere around 7 inches or so.

    2. Big hit. Thought those snow totals might be a bit higher seeing all those bright pinks over CT but I’d lock that in!

    1. I fully endorse that! That would set us up for our trip in March. I’m thinking that is a “touch” overdone though…

      1. hope pallasades taho gets a big hunk ofcthat snow. flying into Reno or Sacramento?
        Suppose it would depend on the air fare differences if any.

    1. Thanks mark , surgery is 2/20 & will be in Hospital for 3-5 days then sent home with nursing setup . Now mark find me a blizzard after sat the 26th please .

      1. I will do my best, I am constantly looking…

        I am pretty optimistic we are going to continue to have chances around that time period and into early March.

  54. TK. Apologies if I missed an update. How is your mom? Will she be able to come home before the weekend?

    1. She’s doing OK. Doc stresses the recovery is very slow and she’ll probably be there a few more days, then sent to rehab.

      Good news: All the other tests have been good. It’s really just the pneumonia she has – a strep variety, which can take time to beat back and also a long time to recover from, especially for someone her age.

      But it’s generally good news – just a patience game.

  55. Not excited at all about the Monday/Tuesday system. If we take a realistic look at the antecedent temperature profile with the colder air arriving `too late’ it looks similar to the event we had several weeks ago except with much less qpf. A touch of snow towards the end, yes, probably, but before that it looks like a predominantly rain event at or near the coast. I’m definitely not thrilled about a possible inch or 2 of snow after a quarter to a half inch of rain.

    After that … well, seasonable but dry. Still, I’ll take whatever sun and wintry feel we can get this season so I do look forward to that.

    1. That’s only one potential scenario.

      The real issue is we’re still too far away from the event to really be able to pin down any details because the range of low intensity and range of track potential is still far too wide at 5-6 days away.

    2. The storms is still over the pacifist hard to say either way. The track is still unknown so not sure how anyone can be so confident of anything yet. Models are jumping all over the place.

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