The Week Ahead

74 Comments

10:24PM

Cold air arrived on Sunday and the overnight hours will see dissipating clouds and slackening wind, allowing temperatures to drop to near to even below freezing in areas just away from the coast. A freeze warning is up for these locations, with a frost advisory closer to the coast.

A sliver of high pressure will be enough to provide a bright and wonderful Autumn Day to start out the new week Monday, then low pressure moving southeastward from the Great Lakes to just south of New England will sit and spin Tuesday through Thursday before starting to lift slowly away at the end of the week. This will bring 4 days of wet, chilly, breezy weather. Improving weather follows for next weekend but some instability may still cause a few rain showers Saturday and rain/snow showers Sunday as colder air again flows back into the region.

SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND FORECAST…
OVERNIGHT: Clearing. Lows upper 20s inland valleys, lower to middle 30s elsewhere. Wind light NW.
MONDAY: Sunny. Highs in the 50s. Wind light W.
MONDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows upper 30s inland valleys, lower to middle 40s elsewhere. Wind light SW.
TUESDAY: Cloudy. Rain developing. Highs in the 50s. Wind E 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY & THURSDAY: Cloudy with periods of rain/wind. Lows around 45. Highs around 55.
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy with lingering rain showers. Low 45. High 58.
SATURDAY: Sun/clouds, isolated rain showers. Low 42. High 61.
SUNDAY: Sun/clouds, windy. Isolated rain sprinkle/snow flurry. Low 32. High 47.

74 thoughts on “The Week Ahead”

  2. About Rex Ryan, he’s actualy a great defensive coach. The Jets have not invested any money since ownership got new stadiun. I actualy like Rex bc he speaks his mind. I think Pats fans dislike him bc he coaches the Jets and he’s polar opposite to BB. He would a perfect fit in NE to coach the defense but BB would never give up that responsibility. His ego wouldn’t allow him to give up the play calling on defense. Pats would be a super bowl contender if the defense was coached better, tons of talent but poor coaching the last couple of years.

  4. Rex Ryan: Actually Rex has changed somewhat over the years in NY. He used to mouth off a lot in front of the media. Classic comments … “I didn’t come here to kiss Bill Belichick’s rings” “I came here to win Super Bowls.” Years of under-performance have changed his attitude. Rex would probably do well elsewhere where he could get a fresh start. He needs an owner and a GM who will spend $$ for players. The acquisition of Percy Harvin this week should help.

    1. i agree with rex being a good defensive coach but he is a jet.. jets are like the Yankees are to the red sox. and i think both rex and Bill’s ego will keep that from happening hadi, not just bill.

        1. Ah yes, BUT did he ever coach a game? I think not as
          Bob Kraft essentially made a trade with the Jets to get
          him in here. 😀

  5. I tend to agree with you Matt but I disagree about Rex R. I think he would come here if the opportunity presented its self. But knows!

    1. I think Rex would love to be here coaching Revis again, but i just dont think Rex and Belichick can co-exist. Two totally different ideas about defense. Rex would basically need to leave his you know whats at the door and bow down to billy boy

  6. Well, it was cool this morning, 37 at my house, but NOTHING unusual for
    this time of year. No big deal at all. It is yet another beautiful day so far.

    Now let’s see what this big bad N’oreaster brings us. 😀

  7. Re: Rex
    I’d take him in a heart beat. He is a tremendous motivator and a brilliant
    defensive coach. He motivates in a totally different manner than King Bill.

    One thing for sure, I can’t imagine a scenario where the 2 of them could work together.

  8. 32 on the button at my house this morning. Not sure when on average we see the first freeze but you’re right OS, nothing out of the ordinary. I don’t think it rains heavily at any point during this multi-day nor’easter (IMO it shouldn’t be called a nor’easter unless it SNOWS) but just a slow release of around 1″ of rain in eastern MA.

  9. 35 here in Quincy this morning. Getting ready to turn on the heat… Sad.

    Is much wind expected with the storm this week? An inch of rain over a couple of days sounds ideal… considering how dry things have been.

    Time to go out an rake a few leaves before they get wet.

  11. NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center
    According to the September 2014 Global Climate Report (http://1.usa.gov/1wdnaSb), the globally averaged temperature over land and ocean surfaces for September 2014 was the highest for the month since record keeping began in 1880. This map depicts some of the significant climate events that took place across the globe during the month. #StateOfClimate

    https://www.facebook.com/NOAANationalClimaticDataCenter/photos/a.481689958529302.115632.348738721824427/833005690064392/?type=1&theater

  12. From Pete’s blog…is this still the case for rain amounts?

    “Weather models have been quite literally all over the map with the placement of the storm, but as of last night seem to be shifting the serious flooding rains over Northern New England for this event. Appears now that we will also see the storm center drift over us by the middle and latter half of the week. This confirms the idea of heavier rain to the north and also has the effect of bumping our temperatures up. So the bottom line is less rain and milder air. “

      1. Well this was last night…he said the models could change which is why I was asking if this is still true.

              1. I’d say that was a fair assumption. I don’t have access to the Euro precipitation, but judging by the maps, the Euro “may” also support that.

                FWIW, the JMA supports the CMC.

          1. Yup. 😆

            Right know, I don’t give a crap, except the sooner
            the cloudy miserable weather stops the better. 😀

  13. I’m totally ok with warmer temps and less rain. If that’s the case, would we get more in winds?

    1. That and about a dollar or so will get you a cup of coffee at Dunkin Donuts.
      I DON’T BELIEVE any of it.

      We shall see what we shall see. 😀 😆 😆 😈

  15. Not a classic nor’easter in many respects. Usually by late October, a nor’easter would produce some snow in the mountains. Certainly at elevations over 4000 feet. This one will not do that. Just cold rain. There is little if any really cold air working its way into this storm, even at the higher elevations.

    1. Well it’s cold enough NOW way up North in HIGHER elevations.
      Current Obs from mt. Washington is 21 Degrees. However, it appears
      that warmer air WILL come streaming in aloft.

  18. Here are Pete’s latest thoughts:

    *2-3″ rain for SNE with little wind, warm 60s SE MA/Cape
    *5-6″+ rain for NNE with lots of wind, chilly 50s including Merrimack Valley
    *Low parks itself for days near Narragansett /Buzzard’s Bay

    My thoughts: I am wondering now if the winds around here (Boston south) are going to be more out of the ESE than a typical nor’easter (NE or NNE)???

    1. It depends upon where it parks. Not sure I agree with that assessment.
      18Z NAM appears to dump on SNE. Hopefully we’ll have a better idea tomorrow. Yes, I KNOW, after the event already starts! 😆

  19. If everything verifies and NNE does indeed get the heaviest rain, then my basement will be most grateful. 😀

  21. Harvey said Maine to take the brunt . Thinking 1-3 here from tomorrow to Friday . Friday is the transition day. Despite clouds tomorrow he thinks boston hits 60. I’m going with that cause he’s the man.

  24. NWS holding a contest on Facebook or Twitter if anyone is interested.

    @NWSBoston: It’s Time For “You Make the Call” – The Rainfall Edition! Enter by 10 pm tonight (Mon) using #BOXYMTC. Details below. http://t.co/5Ia2JXtgVL

  25. So far it appears that all the TV mets agree on rain amounts (up to 3″) and timing of heaviest (Wed/Thurs)…will TK join in as well? 🙂

  28. Temp is currently 49.8 degrees, I don’t think temps will get much lower, a matter of fact temps should rise into the low 50’s by morning.

    1. Yep cloud cover will inhibit temps from dropping much.

      It’s hard to put a number on these storms bc some places will come in with the 1-2 but you will have some localized areas that will hit higher numbers especially with drawn out systems.

  30. Working on a new blog…

    Kind of funny to me in a way that many media were talking about rain amounts for the 4-day wet stretch TOO FAR IN ADVANCE. It’s the SAME THING as trying to forecast snow amounts too soon. They never learn.

    So, taking into account the fact that people already have expectations that are too high, the amounts from the stormy stretch will disappoint many. And the heaviest may very well take place in Maine and other parts of northern New England.

    Not particularly looking forward to Winter when the media is posting model forecasts of snowfall a week in advance. Completely the wrong direction from where this should be going.

    This is the chilly week. Next week much milder with a short-lived cool shot. Still plenty of solid evidence of mild weather pattern for end of October into November, may be very telling for the Winter ahead, as well be more into the comparison period.

  31. To Amy…
    Your comment from earlier today is approved. My apologies for the delay. Was not able to check the blog until tonight. Thank you 🙂

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