Monday Forecast

33 Comments

5:41PM

DAYS 1-5 (SEPTEMBER 25-29)
High pressure remains in control through Tuesday. A cold front moves through Wednesday and Maria takes a right turn out to sea during midweek. A cooler northwesterly flow of air arrives to end to end the week behind all of that.
THROUGH EVENING: Clear. Temperatures 70s coast, 80s interior. Wind light variable.
OVERNIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy fog. Lows 56-64, coolest interior valleys. Wind light variable.
TUESDAY: Sunny. Highs 70-77 coast, 78-84 interior. Wind light variable with sea breezes.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 60s. Highs in the 70s.
THURSDAY: Partly cloudy and breezy. Lows in the 60s. Highs in the 70s.
FRIDAY: Partly cloudy and breezy. Lows from the upper 40s to lower 50s. Highs in the 60s.

DAYS 6-10 (SEPTEMBER 30-OCTOBER 4)
A slight change from yesterday’s thinking. A disturbance may bring a few shower otherwise fair and mild September 30, then mainly dry weather for the balance of the period with temperatures above normal.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 5-8)
Starting dry/warm then a mid period episode of wet weather may lead cooler air in by the end of the period.

33 thoughts on “Monday Forecast”

  2. Thanks TK.
    To answer your question on the previous blog I was talking about The Farmers Almanac call for a cold and snowy winter for us. They were also red flagging Jan 20th -23rd Feb. 4th – 7th Feb 16-19 March 1-3 March 20-23 as potential for heavy precipitation events.
    Does there forecast have any chance of verifying this winter? I trust your crystal ball more than the Almanac’s.

    1. Their call for cold/snowy, taking into account when the forecast was made, has about as much chance of verifying as a random guess.

  3. Thanks TK.

    Still 89 with a DP of 69 and heat index of 94 in Hartford as we approach 6PM on Sept. 25…..pretty crazy.

    Hartford hit 92 yesterday and 90 today. Second hottest it has ever been this late in the season (in recorded history).

    1. The 06z GFS had that system northwest of the Yucatan.

      Almost time to see where the 18z has it, if it has it at all. 😉

            1. Probably not, but it shows that the GFS is horrendous with tropical systems that have not formed yet.

  9. Thanks TK. This weather gets a “no” from me. Bring on the fropa!

    Very dry pattern. Maria is going to try to link up with that front for some enhanced rain to her north in a sort of PRE like event, but that looks to hold off until the front is offshore. The front itself could kick off some powerful thunderstorms over southern Canada and possibly northwestern New England on Wednesday, but the timing doesn’t look right for SNE to get much of anything. And it doesn’t look like the early October rainstorm is going to happen. And behind that trough swinging through near the turn of the month, another warm, dry ridge builds in. What a summer we would’ve had if this pattern had built in a couple months earlier…

  10. Thanks TK !

    Car tops and grass blades already quite wet with dew. Good old post autumnal equinox 12 hr nights combined with a hot, humid air mass.

  11. In terms of the Patriots.
    1.We now know that the patriots can win the close ones.
    2. Brady and Cooks have found chemistry.
    3. Amondola is still clutch
    4 Running game sucks
    5 D-line needs to be faster and be able to freaking tackle
    6. Butler showed some of his self from last year. Gilmore still stinks in my opinion.

    2. 7. This is the worst defense of the Brady era. Unless vastly improved, this year will only prove to be a stat builder for #12.

      1. I am not sure I can count the number of people who had Brady finished several years ago. He is an amazing talent

  12. Funny, I mention the dry pattern and a tiny little isolated instability shower pops up right over my head in Plymouth, NH this evening. Very summery. The cumulus had been looking decent all day, guess a couple of them finally got up high enough.

        1. I have no idea what I think quite yet. But that reminds me, I never really posted my autumn outlook… We’re several days in, gotta do it.

            1. Not really. There is a bit of a correlation to a wet October/November leading to a winter with above normal snow. That works slightly more than 50% of the time, at least in the time we’ve observed it.

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