DAYS 1-5 (SEPTEMBER 30 – OCTOBER 4)
A cold front is moving across the region this morning. Ahead of it are numerous showers, some of them heavy, and rather gusty southerly winds. The wind is a bigger story than the rain for many, as some scattered power outages have been occurring. But this is a short-lived event, and while the wind is certainly impressive, the rainfall amounts will be rather modest, and not putting much of a scratch in the still-worsening drought, especially since, despite 2 more rain chances that I can see in the days ahead, the long-term pattern remains dry. What about the next rain chance? Hold on, don’t you want to know about the clearing this afternoon and the nice day tomorrow? There, now you know. Another wave of low pressure brings a rain chance on Friday, but it doesn’t look overly impressive to me. Nevertheless, I think most areas will get wet for a while before high pressure moves in for a dry and seasonable first weekend of October.
TODAY: Cloudy start with numerous showers, some heavy, and a slight risk of thunder, then breaking clouds but still a chance of passing showers into late morning, followed by mostly sunny with just passing clouds midday and afternoon. Highs 70-77. Dew point starting in 60s then falling to 50s. Wind S 15-25 MPH, but with gusts 35-50 MPH and even higher than that in some open coastal areas and higher elevations early, shifting to W and diminishing slightly to 10-20 MPH with gusts 25-40 MPH by late morning then gradually decreasing further during the afternoon.
TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 53-60. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 70-77. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 50-57. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain or showers, favoring the afternoon. Highs 62-69. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain evening. Clearing but patchy fog overnight. Lows 53-60. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
SATURDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 59-66. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 40-47. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 58-65. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 5-9)
A wave of low pressure brings a risk of some rain October 5 and a cold front may bring a shower risk about October 7, otherwise it’s mostly dry weather with a more zonal flow pattern. Temperatures variable, with the sharpest contrast possibly coming in the form of a warm spike October 7 then chill-down at the end of the period.
DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 10-14)
Minor shower risk early in the period otherwise mostly dry weather with a west-to-east (zonal) flow overall. Temperatures near to above normal.