Thursday October 27 2022 Forecast (7:23AM)

31 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 27-31)

High pressure builds in and controls our weather for the next several days, through the weekend in fact. We start rather mild today with a drying westerly breeze, but as the center of the high bridges to our north tonight and Friday, a wind shift to northeast will bring cooler air into the region. Weekend temperatures will be generally seasonable with nice weather for outdoor activities. By Monday, Halloween, we’ll be on the look-out for some unsettled weather as the high gives way to an approaching trough of low pressure and some increased moisture from the south and southwest. It’s uncertain at this point how much, if any, rainfall will make it into our region before the end of the day or sometime in the evening, but this will be tweaked and fine-tuned over the next few days, as it has an impact on Halloween evening trick-or-treat for cities and towns that do it on that day.

TODAY: Sunny. Highs 65-72. Wind W to NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 33-40. Wind NW to N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 52-59. Wind N to NE 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 28-35. Wind NE up to 10 MPH, then calm.

SATURDAY: Sunny. Highs 53-60. Wind calm, then E up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 30-37. Wind E to SE under 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Sunny. Highs 54-61. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 43-50. Wind SE-S up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers by late-day. Highs 57-64. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 1-5)

November starts unsettled with a rain chance, then it dries out rather quickly thereafter and high pressure takes over with fair weather, initially seasonable temperatures then a moderating trend to above normal.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 6-10)

This outlook is updated to indicate a stronger high pressure ridge dominating the East Coast with fair weather and above normal temperatures for our region at least for the early to middle portion of the period before we may get a push of cooler air from Canada as the flow flattens out with a little stronger jet stream in the Northeast.

31 thoughts on “Thursday October 27 2022 Forecast (7:23AM)”

  1. Thanks TK !

    Nice to have some clear skies and especially nice not to be driving in dense fog. I don’t know about away from the coast, but this was one of the longer duration foggy episodes I can recall down this way.

    1. It sure is nice to see clear sky this morning. It was crazy foggy here all week also. I drove through an area on Monday and Tuesday around one of our golf courses and could barely see the flags on the greens along the road. I suspect it was even worse in your coastal areas.

  2. I wonder if were getting signs to at least the EARLY part of winter ????????

    Alaska seems below normal temps, the northern Pacific Jet seems to be strengthening into western Canada and the northwest US …….

    Could we be starting early climatological winter with a cold Alaska, western US and a mild central/eastern US ? Big precip out west, perhaps some severe weather in the central US and passing cold fronts in the east that occasionally “cool” things off, but the overall average temps are well above avg as the warm days overwhelm the few cool days here and there.

  3. Getting nervous about Halloween forecast as it’s a very big night in my house & neighborhood. Thanks for todays outlook Tk .

    1. Really I heard driving in it was going to be around thanksgiving probably. That’s great news as the team is playing really well . I must say I’m surprised to hear this but I’m not complaining

  12. Thanks, TK!

    A year ago:
    , 635 AM Dangerous situation early this morning near and southeast of the I-95 corridor. Winds gusting over Hurricane Force across southeast MA. Numerous downed trees and over 400K power outages in MA alone. TRAVEL IS NOT RECOMMENDED early this morning in southeast MA.

    From NWS/BOX Twitter

    94 mph wind gust on the Vineyard. No power. No school for two days!

    18 years ago tonight:

    Red Sox sweep the Cards to win their first World Series championship in 86 years.

  14. From a colleague of mine, a collection of odd hurricane tracks for the Atlantic Ocean over the years, and one bonus “track” for a western Pacific system. 🙂

    Hurricane #8 Oct 1906
    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/0/05/1906_Atlantic_hurricane_8_track.png

    Hurricane #5 Oct 1913 (started as an ET low off New England)
    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/c/c9/1913_Atlantic_hurricane_5_track.png

    “Yankee Hurricane” Oct-Nov 1935 (track started E of Bermuda)
    https://noaahrd.files.wordpress.com/2015/11/yankeetrack.jpg

    Able May 1951
    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/3/32/Able_1951_track.png

    Florence Sep 1960
    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/f/ff/Florence_1960_track.png

    Esther Sep 1961
    https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/rain/esther1961filledrainblk.gif

    Ginny Oct 1963
    https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/rain/ginny1963filledrainblk.gif

    Besty Aug-Sep 1965
    https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/rain/betsy1965trk.gif

    Doria Sep 1967
    https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/rain/doria1967filledrainblk.gif

    Abby June 1968
    https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/rain/abby1968filledrainblk.gif

    TD #11 Aug-Sep 1968
    https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/rain/td11aof1968filledrainblk.gif

    Fern Sep 1971
    https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/rain/fern1971filledrainblk.gif

    Ginger Sep-Oct 1971
    https://noaahrd.files.wordpress.com/2016/09/ginger1971track.gif

    Dawn Sep 1972
    https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/rain/dawn1972filledrainblk.gif

    Dottie Aug 1976
    https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/rain/dottie1976filledrainblk.gif

    Diana Sep 1984
    https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/rain/diana1984filledrainblk.gif

    Elena Aug-Sep 1985
    https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/rain/elena1985filledrainblk.gif

    Juan Oct 1985
    https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/rain/juan1985filledrainblk.gif

    Allison Jun-Jul 1989
    https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/rain/allison1989filledrainblk.gif

    Gordon Nov 1994
    https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/rain/gordon1994filledrainblk.gif

    Dennis Aug-Sep 1999
    https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/rain/dennis1999filledrainblk.gif

    Allison Jun 2001
    https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/rain/allison2001rainfilledwhite.gif

    Kyle Oct 2002
    https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/rain/kyle2002rainfilledblk.gif

    Ivan Sep 2004
    https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/rain/ivan2004filledrainblk.gif

    Fay Aug 2008
    https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/rain/fay2008filledrainblk.gif

    Joaquin Sep-Oct 2015
    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/8/8b/Joaquin_2015_track.png

    But Typhoon Wayne in the WPAC in Sep 1986 takes that cake!
    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/d/d2/Wayne_1986_track.png

    1. Very much improved. But we still have a little way to go.
      Guidance likes dry weather for November, but we’ve seen that recently and it ended up wetter, so we’ll see. May wipe that clean before winter. It won’t get any worse now unless we have an extended dry spell from late autumn into winter. It would put us in a more vulnerable place to return to more drought next season, but at this point it’s so far out there and not highly likely that it’s not even much of a worry. 🙂

      1. The entire thing is funny to me, but it’s the end that really gets me. It looks like the thing just gives in to its fate and floats away…buhbye! … HAHAHA! That’s ok, I’ll laugh for you too. I got extras.

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