The Week Ahead

31 Comments

10:10PM

Low pressure pulls away to start the next week, and last 2 days of July will be dominated by a very small high pressure area, bringing mostly dry weather with mild to warm temperatures and mostly moderate humidity Monday & Tuesday.

The first 5 days of August, Wednesday through Sunday, will feature generally warm but humid weather with a daily risk of isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms as weak high pressure sits off the East Coast and a weak trough of low pressure dominates the Northeast, with minor disturbances moving through it.

Forecast for eastern MA, RI, and southern NH…

OVERNIGHT: Variably cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows upper 50s to middle 60s. Wind N under 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. Highs middle 70s coast to lower 80s inland. Wind variable to SE around 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows 62-67. Wind S under 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. Highs upper 70s coast to lower 80s inland. Wind S around 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY: Daily risk of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Lows 60-65. Highs 75-85, coolest coastal areas.

SATURDAY AND SUNDAY: Isolated showers and thunderstorms mainly afternoon hours. Lows upper 60s. Highs in the 80s.

31 thoughts on “The Week Ahead”

  1. Thanks TK. Keep up the good work. I can’t believe the weekend is over already. I am glad we didn’t have a repeat of yesterday’s heavy rain today. Interesting to see the clouds break tonight and the dewpoint is now around 60, which is comfortable to me.

  3. Thanks TK !

    NHC identifying a disturbance about halfway between the Lesser Antilles and Africa, as having some chance for development. Taking a look at a Goes East Satellite Loop, the feature has the hint of some spin to it, maybe more at the mid levels versus the surface. Interesting with a general Bermuda High feature about to trend a little closer to the US East Coast then its been most of the summer.

    With yesterday, today and tomorrow likely coming in at below normal temps at Logan, it’s above normal July temp anomoly is going to end up being a lot lower (maybe +1.5 to 2F range ?) then I would have thought 10 days ago when it was sitting around +4F for the month. Cool last third of July.

    1. Thanks Tom – I was wondering when we’d see a disturbance Has been quiet for a while.

      And good to see you back here this morning although I suspect you have mixed feelings about being home. Sure sounds as if you had a wonderful family vacation!

      1. After 20 days on the road, I’m kind of content to be back home. It’s been a great 6 weeks from mid June thru July and now I’m ready to start reviewing the middle school math curriculum (especially this year with the changes from Mass standards to common core), spending time on my favorite hobby of the weather and enjoying time with friends and family.

  4. well wonderful weather we are having right now. nice and sunny and for the first time in a while not a cloud in the sky

    1. sadly I am not able to enjoy it much 🙁 injured my ankle yesterday and they said i had a bad sprain. Its all bandaged up and everything and i can not go in water or bike. 🙁

  5. Nothing major after our trip. Gets things done that I normally can’t do when working. The baby and I are alone in a week when goes back to work.

  6. Hi Tom…good to have you back! I was somewhat surprised that there was no cell service at your campground. It is interesting that you can make a call hundreds of feet underground in the T subway, but there are still locations on the surface of the earth where one cannot. Thankfully there was no kind of emergency. Cell service doesn’t concern me personally all that much since I don’t use my phone compared to most these days. I mostly still rely on landline at home.

    Enjoy the rest of your summer…one more month to go, lol. 🙂

    1. Hi Philip.

      It was interesting. The towns, a bit more out in the open, seemed to allow the connectivity to come in….however, once out of the towns and back into where the road was immediately surrounded by forest, the signals quickly disappeared.

      1. We love the finger lakes area and have thought of heading there (specifically Canandaigua) for summer vacation but cant seem to tear ourselves from Humarock. Yes, we are in a rut 🙂

    1. I posted the above comment over an hour ago re the cells in VT and just checked. The cells appear to be in the same place. Either my radar is messed up or they are fairly stationary.

      1. There were redevelopment of showers in the same area of southeast VT…..I think at one point, one heavier shower dipped southward into Mass. There may be some town or two out there that received a couple of inches of rain.

  9. I would say the low (Invest area 99L) off Africa has some chance for further development from what I am reading. It’s that time of the year.

    The winds were at 23 mph and pressure at 29.83 inches around 2 pm — making this sort of a rainstorm over the ocean — incredibly (if not impossibly) I have already seen “semi-spaghetti” charts for this one.

  10. http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/satellite/hrpt_wel_nir_100.jpg

    The right third of this visible satellite, covered in a white film, is in error.

    To the left is the northwest territories, and the big lake is Great Bear Lake. Towards the top left is the open waters of the southern edge of the arctic ocean. This particular area of the ocean had its ice melt out very early, going back to late May. The area of open ice has been since expanding northward slowly.

    Temps on the land in the northwest territories today were in the low 80s with south and southeast winds, meaning all that warmth was being advected out towards the ocean. In addition, very little cloud cover allowed the sun to add more warmth to the open ocean.

    The sea surface temp anomalies in this area of the arctic ocean are staggering, up to 6 to 8 degrees Celcius. It’s a small region, but nonetheless an area of the arctic ocean that has some high heat content relative to normal.

    Currently, the ice cover in the arctic is right about on pace with 2007, the summer with the lowest recorded ice minimum since records have been kept. It will be interesting to see, come September, if this year’s ice minimum beats 2007.

    1. Thank you Tom It is worrisome in my opinion

      Matt had posted a link to the Greenland ice melt in just 6 days earlier this month. It was so extreme the experts thought the photo was an error. It was not

      1. Yes, I had a chance to read that link today. 97% of the ice sheet experienced some type of melt for a few days in mid July. Fascinating……With good fortune, I’d like to make it up there, realistically probably either Alaska or far northwestern Canada and see the arctic ocean and the arctic in the summer.

        It will be interesting to see if the Northwest Passage fully opens up in August.

  11. These kinds of ice melts, though not too common, are not super rare either. The amount of time we’ve been able to look so closely at many of these remote areas is minimal compared to how long these phenomena have been going on.

    I’m not very concerned about the Greenland situation. Just a bit of an anomaly this season.

    1. True, they say it can happen maybe once in about 150 years and by itself it may not be alarming. I just don’t believe it’s by itself.

      1. Isn’t that amazing though ? Even in the hemisphere’s warmest part of the year, the majority of the time, there’s areas of that ice sheet where there is no melt at all and that’s the norm. Must have been a good surge of warmth during mid July to accomplish this rare occurrence.

    1. Pretty sure that’s overdone and the bulk of that stays east of Boston. CC & Islands may get a slug of good rain. Worth watching in case, since it has semi-tropical origin and the steering currents are weak.

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