The Week Ahead

4:45PM

I am an exception to the rule. I know this. I like the weather pattern I am about to report to you. But since most of you will not share my opinion, I will keep it short and you can just swallow it fast, like icky medicine. So here goes…

The next 7 days will be ruled by persistent upper level low pressure, and therefore will be largely unsettled. Temperatures will run below normal. Wet weather, though not constant, will be frequent. It isn’t impossible that we can sneak in a few periods of sunshine somewhere…maybe…possibly, but we’ll see about that. So with that in mind, I’ll just go right to the forecast details for the Boston area. If you live somewhere outside of this area but are still in southern New England, it will probably be similar. If you are not sure where you live, ask me and we’ll try to help you figure it out…. Joke, sorry. 🙂

TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY: Cloudy. Areas of fog. Episodes of showers. Heaviest showers are most likely parts of tonight to very early Monday, late Monday night and early Tuesday, and late Tuesday night to early Wednesday, when thunderstorms are also possible, though rain or drizzle can be falling at any time. Least likely time to see any rain falling will be Monday and Tuesday afternoons. Overnight lows 50 to 55. Daytime highs 55 to 60, some lower 60s away from the coast. Wind NE to SE 5 to 15 mph but often very light.

THURSDAY: Cloudy. Periods of rain. Low 52. High 60.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Numerous showers. Low 53. High 64.

SATURDAY: Variably cloudy. Isolated showers. Low 49. High 61.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Low 51. High 65.

47 thoughts on “The Week Ahead”

  1. I live in a constant state of AWESOME. Can you tell me what my weather is going to be like? I’m guessing it’s mostly rainy.

  2. 2.1 quake somewhere off coast from Woods Hole – too small to feel – wondering if anyone on south shore felt a rattle. It was at 8:40 pm I believe.

    1. Hi, Vicki – just wondering where you heard that information. My husband and me are licensed amateur radio operators and last night my husband, who belongs to the Radio Amateur Civil Emergency Service got a computer message on his cell phone about the quake somewhere in MA but we didn’t know where. Right now we don’t have any working radios set up so we didn’t get any other info. ‘Though I am an amateur radio operator, my husband is the active one.

      1. Hi Rainshine – sorry I didn’t get back here sooner – work is busy today (a good thing:). I heard it on the news last night – would have been WHDH at 10:00 pm. I believe it was also on the news this morning but I was half away so am not certain of that.

        I tried to think back as to whether our dog showed any sort of reaction at that time but can’t remember. Years ago when my daughter was boarding her pony in Ashland, there was an equally small quake in the western part of the state and the horses all reacted to that. Amazing what animals can feel that we cannot

    2. I talked to a friend that lives a few miles from wood hole, he and she said they didn’t notice anything or feel anything 🙂

  3. TK, just curious, why do you like this weather pattern? Is it because it is less boring forecasting wise? I am with you in the winter, but I have to admit I start to like the sunny boring weather right about now. Although, I do like it being interupted with some big boomers…

    1. Haterain – I was going to ask the same question and although the drizzle is good for our newly seeded lawn areas and everything is VERY green I also like the boring sun interrupted by some good ole’ boomers.

    2. Well, the quick answer is: I like all weather. I’m a true weather nut and I appreciate everything from the “boring” to the “booming”. I guess I like the contrast between the gloomy pattern we are in now, knowing that glorious bright days may be just a very short time away. Almost like the anticipation of hiding under a blanket ready to spring out and surprise someone. It’s an odd view, I know, but I’ve always had it.

  4. Haven’t gotten much rain here so far in Wrentham, since yesterday about .17 of an inch so far, radar looks like the rain is missing us here 🙂

  5. Today, with the cool northeast wind is making me realize how mild and muggy Sunday was with temps in the 60s and dewpoints near 60F. Conversely, it is struggling to get to 50F today.

  6. I think rogue waves can occur any time – but is it possible that the wave that hit that whale-watching tour could have been a result of that small quake last night?

    I don’t mind a few days with this type of weather – but I really hope that by the end of the week we see a little sunshine and warmer temperatures.

    Vicki – you’re right. This weather has made everything very Green! Maybe something like it would be in England. 🙂

  7. Warmer weather may be in the near future as both 00z and 12z runs of the EURO hint at a Bermuda High setting up next week.

    1. FWIW…today’s CPC is calling for above normal temps and normal precip from this coming Sunday through the Memorial Day period. Keeping my fingers crossed this trend continues and hopefully “below” normal precip eventually. 🙂

      1. That NAO needs to pop it’s head out of the whole, so we can see a real summer time pattern set up.

  8. As lousy as the summer 2009 was, I don’t recall having to wear a winter coat and knit hat during May 2009. It is almost close to “glove” wearing as well but I didn’t quite go there today. Even if this summer ends up as fantastic, could 2011 end up being “the year w/o a spring”?…lol. 🙂

  9. Hi everyone- Someone please tell me they see a longrange summer forcast that is sunny and dry. Tk sid briefly a dry june and july and wet august. I may need to move out of state with troll boy.

    1. Hi John. This has to make work hard for you. Please no wet August. We head to Humarock for the last two weeks. Last year we watched fir nearly a week as a no show hurricane threatened.

      1. Vicki, I don’t want a wet August either but fwiw of the 3 summer months, August is typically the “wetter” one. Right now I don’t have much confidence in any long range forecasting.

        1. In the past four years we’ve gone to the beach in August. We’ve typically had one good week and one with storms. Shhhhh, don’t tell my family (although I suspect they know), I love storms at the beach so either way I’m not disappointed. Having the grandkids cooped up in the house more than they would normally be drives their parents nuts though 🙂

      2. I would love it if we had a carbon copy of last summer. I was going to take the cover off my pool this Saturday, but thank’s to this rain that will not happen. I have an old tarp covering the pool so I need to pump the water off the tarp. I am sick of this gray raw rainy weather. Vicki whatever the weather will do in Scituate you will still have fun, but that fun would be better on the beach.

  10. According to the long range Euro model Brett Anderson’s showed it has the Northeast with above normal temperatures for next week and the CPC in their outlook seems to be singing the same tune. Its too early to say because we have not had a spring that were not going to have a summer.

  11. 8pm current temps

    Logan: 49F
    Mt Washington (Summit) : 46F with a southerly wind
    Churchill, Canada (halfway up on the western shore of Hudson Bay) : 66F !!!!!!

    While it will be cool and damp here, further north in most of Canada, the weather is actually warming up nicely (see Churchill, Canada’s temp). Once things start to move again, I really believe it will transition quickly to warmth.

  12. I think there is going to be improvement this time next week if not sometime during the weekend. We just got to get through this unsettled stretch of wet weather.

  13. Good evening all! Haven’t gotten a chance to get on here til now. I’m going to read thru all comments and reply, so if you asked me something go back and check in a while. Also, a forecast update will be coming before night’s end, not that much is changing. 🙂

  14. I would like to hear people’s definitions of “not having a spring”, because I feel we are having a spring. This pattern, though this particular one may be very persistent, is quite typical in this regime for Spring. Remember, last year, we got “stuck” in the good weather. Bottle-ups happen nearly every spring. Sometimes we end up on the good side. Maybe more often than not we end up on the “unfair” side because of the chilly ocean alongside us. But to me, this IS Spring in New England. It seems that for some reason people expect Spring to feature long-lasting warm/dry weather, when in fact, last year was an anomaly.

  15. I like spring in NE temps around 70 with scatteredshowers withsome days with sun, not to wet here in Wrentham the last 2 days, only around .19 since sun, way under what I was thinking

  16. Its kind of neat to watch the radar today as the showers are beginning to travel back more towards the northwest, as opposed to the north. Also, as I heard many talking about last night, there is a heavy band of rain down in southwest CT and NYC area……….TK, I think you are correct. Maybe it was last year’s unusual spring weather thats making this seem worse. For me, as I get a bit older, I just have a bit less tolerance to New England’s average spring weather. I can deal with it (cool, raw, cloudy) in April, but getting into mid May starts to get frustrating.

  17. I have been thinking about your typical spring comment. I’m not sure we’ve had a typical spring in many years. Rain is a given but the temps can be all over the place from unusually hot to quite cold. From the time my kids were little we traveled to Charleston SC by car every March vacation to see my husband’s parents. You could set your watch by the changes in growth. When we left there would not be any buds or sign of them here. By New Jersey we were seeing the start of the dogwoods and the weeping willows. By VA and then into NC things would begin to be in full bloom and in Charleston the azaleas were just losing their flowers. When we returned here our daffodils would be just about ready to open and there was the start of buds on the forsythia.

    This year was more like that than it has been for a very long time except for the temperatures which seem slightly below normal.

    Sorry that is probably a bit more than you wanted to know 🙂

    1. oh no – I thought it was going to warm up and settle next week……. I keep saying it could be worse but I can only convince everyone so long !!

    2. I also noticed that on the last few images of the 12z EURO…
      I’m really sick of the consistent cloudy days with highs in the mid 40s, and I know I’m not the only one. This should be mid may, not mid march.

      1. I gotta tell ya, my area has dodged the rain for the past few days, even this batch of rain moving in now is going northeast of my area, the other day it went just west of us, this is so funny, everyone asking me where’s all this rain? Unjust telling them somehow so far we’ve dodged all the batches of rain so far 🙂

  18. TK, you may be correct about more unsettled weather ahead but the CPC does have temps well above normal through the Memorial Day period.

  19. Yeah it may be cloudy/cool/wet. But so far we have avoided widespread flooding and this is a far cry from the severe weather recently in the South and the flooding ongoing in the Midwest & Mississippi Valley. Plus I have a birthday this week. Just glad to be here, regardless of the weather. 🙂

  20. To me it looks like a front slowly pushes our way early next week with showers and thunderstorms possible.

    1. Well I think it gets in, but has a hell of a time getting out, because of uphill flow (a.k.a. southwest flow aloft) parallel to the front. The prime target zone for showery weather is Tuesday-Thursday May 24-26.

      Sorry about my lack of update last night.

      Doing one now…

      Go Bruins!

  21. I think this is a must win for the Bruins tonight because they don’t want to go down to Tampa down 2 games to none but this Tampa team is on an incredible run winning 8 straight playoff games.

    1. The odds are in the Bruins favor. Tampa Bay is overdue to lose. The Bruins are making a habit of 500 playoff hockey at home. The Bruins will go down to Tampa and win 1 close game and 1 easier game on the road and come back up 3-1, lose game 5 at home, and wrap up the series in game 6 on the road.

      Bruins / Canucks in the finals.

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