11:03AM
DAYS 1-5 (MAY 21-25)…
Good (late) morning all. Sorry for the later-than-usual post. Lots to pull together not-related to the blog, and then sitting here looking things over in preparation for this discussion when I realized that there isn’t really any change to the thinking, so after I get the chance to sit down and write what I thought might be an involved discussion about the upcoming weather, I realized only a quick summary is needed and then we can go right to a forecast update. So the summary is basically that we do have the progressive low coming along, spreading its clouds across the region today which thicken up by tonight but it appears, as was suspected, that the bulk of the rain will occur in far southeastern portions of New England. The rain from that low will probably never reach northern MA and NH, though these areas may see some pop up instability showers and possibly a thunderstorm during Sunday afternoon (as previously discussed). The first low will try to be captured by an upper low cutting off just south of New England but will essentially dissipate as a second surface low with the upper cut off comes into the region later Monday into Tuesday with more wet weather (also no big changes in previous thinking here). When we get to Wednesday, it all gets out of here and the door to the feel of summer will be quickly opened as a large scale southwesterly flow takes over at that time.
TODAY: Sun becomes limited and eventually absent as clouds win out. Highs in the 60s immediate coast, lower to middle 70s interior. Wind light S to SE.
TONIGHT: Cloudy. Rain likely southeastern CT, RI, and southeastern MA. Slight chance of rain elsewhere. Lows in the 50s. Wind light SE to E.
SUNDAY: Mainly cloudy. Chance of rain in the morning mainly RI and eastern MA. Isolated to scattered showers possible north central MA into southern NH in the afternoon. Highs in the 60s but may stay in upper 50s coast. Wind NE to N 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Variably cloudy. Rain risk increases later in the day. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 60s.
TUESDAY: Mainly cloudy. Periods of rain, decreasing later in the day. Lows in the 50s. Highs in the 60s.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Lows in the 50s. Highs upper 70s to lower 80s.
DAYS 6-10 (MAY 26-30)…
The uncertainty during this period will be the position and strength of a front that makes an attempt to move through the region while high pressure tries to strengthen aloft during the period. For now will leave the previous idea in place of a period of warm to very warm weather with a risk of a few showers and thunderstorms at times, favoring May 27, but some potential may exist during each day. Will continue to monitor and fine-tune as we get closer, as May 28-30 is the Memorial Day Weekend.
DAYS 11-15 (MAY 31-JUNE 4)…
Look for a cooling trend heading into the early days of June with a few episodes of showers as well. This is not a return to a persistent cool and unsettled pattern, but a continued readjustment of the pattern which is heading for a longer term warm/dry regime.
Thanks TK!
We have a PMC bike race tomorrow morning in Westwood in an effort to fight cancer. How much rain can Westwood expect overnight through Sunday morning and when do you expect the rain to shut off in this location? Please and thank you 😀
Not much as I see it now. And the threat may be gone by mid morning.
thank you!
Thanks, TK…
Turn your birthday into birthday weekend!
Kindest regards, TK!
Spent part of the morning putting flags on veterans’ graves in Mayflower Hill Cemetery here in Taunton. God bless all who served and those who serve our great nation!
Enjoy a nice weekend, everyone!
I pretty much have, but some of the projects can’t be avoided. Still having a great time. 🙂
And thank you for what you do to remember those who have served! This will be my first Memorial Day that I will be visiting my dad’s grave instead of having him here with us to remember others. His grave is just a few yards away from where part 2 of our 3-part ceremony will be on Monday May 30.
Thanks TK !
Thank you TK. And thank you also Arod and Captain Fantastic.
No triple crown winner this year in horse racing. Muddy track to say the least.
Two horrendous incidents. I’d question drugs on one and sure as heck track on the other.
I picked 11, 5, 3 and they came in 5, 1, 3, 11
Thank you TK.
Sky is very dark to our north. Air is still so,trees against the dark sky look more like a painting than real life
Short range guidance nailed that heavier area of moisture in the upper levels right down to the virga. Now some less-thick cloudiness comes in from the west for a few hours.
So it is rain not reaching the ground??
None of that did.
Sorry. It was a question. I wasn’t clear. I knew it didn’t hit the ground. But I was watching with a grand and commented that it looked like it was raining but it wasn’t. I wanted to confirm with you that is exactly what it did. It was very fun to watch
GFS continues to show good instability for thunderstorms next Friday and weekend.
If we get a trigger, there is no cap, and the timing is right certainly enough juice there for thunderstorm development. Plenty of time to watch.
Tk most of Monday dry
At the moment, I believe so. I think Sunday is half and half, Monday is mostly dry, and Tuesday is mostly wet.
Ok thanks . That’s what I just heard as well on 7 news. Kind of cool day tomorrow.
New post! Not much change there.