Tuesday Forecast

54 Comments

7:25AM

DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 19-23)
In comes the dry air today and this leads to a period of more seasonable weather over the next several days with temperature in each location dependent on wind direction and/or speed. For example, tonight will be a cool night over interior valleys as dry air is in place and wind drops to calm. Coastal areas will often be cooler during the second half of the week as the air flow will come the cooler ocean water. But other than a shower to start the day around Cape Cod and the Islands today, expect generally 5 days of dry weather ahead. Disturbance that threatened to bring light rain to the South Coast late Wednesday appears that it will stay too far south to do so. Summer arrives with the solstice at 6:07AM Thursday June 21. Forecast details…
TODAY: Partly cloudy morning including an early shower around Cape Cod, then sunnier afternoon. Highs 75-83. Wind NW 5-15 MPH gusting 20 MPH or greater at times.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 50-55 interior, 55-60 coastal areas and urban centers. Wind diminishing to calm.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 76-84, coolest coast. Wind light variable to SW but local coastal sea breezes.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 52-60. Wind light variable.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 75-83, coolest coast. Wind light E to SE.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows from the middle 50s to lower 60s. Highs from the middle 70s to middle 80s, coolest coastal areas.
SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Lows from the upper 50s to lower 60s. Highs from the middle 70s to lower 80s, coolest coastal areas.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 24-28)
A disturbance comes through the region and brings the threat of showers June 24 followed by another threat of showers around June 27. Temperatures start the period near to even slightly below normal but end it near to above normal.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 29-JULY 3)
Much of this period looks dry with minimal shower and thunderstorm threat. Temperatures trending above normal.

54 thoughts on “Tuesday Forecast”

  1. Thanks TK !

    Great forecasting, as always, anticipating the debris cloudiness yesterday holding down the high temps.

  2. Thank you, TK. I ended my birth day with an awesome thunder storm and a great light show. You did GREAT.

  3. Thanks, TK. As usual, I look at certain mets. on tv for the weather, but I always come back to your forecasts as they are the most reliable. Even my husband says, what does your blog say?

  4. Here in Sudbury it looked rather frightening arund 6:00 or so. It got very dark – black skies and below the clouds an orange sky. Beautiful, actually. However, all we got were some rumbles of thunder; a abrief strong gust of wind and a little rain. Rumbles of thunder to our east for awhile later on. Sudbury appeared to be on the very southern edge of that severe thunderstorm not far to the north of us, in the Acton area that moved east.

    Amazing photos and videos from people here on the blog – quite a day weather-wise!

  5. Good morning,

    Although other areas were hard hit with yesterday’s storm, my area in JP
    escaped anything even remotely resembling severe. We had a few sprinkles in between
    cells from the 1st line, and got some nice down pours with the 2nd line. During the whole process, only one lightning strike and resultant thunder that was meaningful.
    It lit up everything and shook the house as it was a close strike. That was it.
    Big woof.

    Ye ole rain gauge measured a whopping 0.33 inch for the entire evening. Better than nothing. 😀

  6. I thought this would be a lovely song to start the day. And has MassBay been here and I just missed him???

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m4j_wrmpMnU

    Anyone want to guess what movie the song is from. My favorite line is “At a time we don’t see many miraculous things, maybe we do. Maybe they are right there around us every day.

    Hint: movie is a classic but maybe not in the sense one would think of.

      1. Did I post it yesterday? Actually, now that I think back, I did but then got lost in the excitement of the storm discussion. At my age I can only focus on one thing apparently

        And yes, Charlotte. Did you answer yesterday also?

        I am not usually a kids movie fan but this movie has so many messages…along with laughs.

  7. Lots of natural fireworks for your b-day, Vicki!!!!

    0.11 in the bucket in Taunton…
    One small lightning and thunder here around bedtime.

    Enjoy the day, y’all!

    1. There were indeed. Several of the cells split around us but the last one was lots of fun. I credit TK. He worked hard all weekend to make it happen!

      I hope you enjoy your day as well, Captain….and the wind down of your school year.

      1. Thanks, Vicki! Most of my grades are in. Finals here Thursday and Friday morning. Field day on Monday. Half-day Tuesday and we’re ovah!

          1. Wow – earlier than most out this way….ya know of the two or three I am familiar with which of course classifies as “most.” 😉

    1. Hi, MassBay. I love the song by Sarah M. The movie was Charlotte’s Web.

      What a wonderful song…..thank you for always making me smile!

  9. I think the SPC missed the mark with their severe thunderstorm watch yesterday.
    IMHO, the watch should have been extended to cover a good deal of CT and most
    of MA, save for the coast and SE. Approximately as drawn in blue below:

    https://imgur.com/a/IBdZ5VB

  10. There was a mesoscale discussions that went up for a good part of CT and MA and gave a 40% chance of issuing a watch but felt it would be isolated severe storms and it did not warrant a watch but would continue to monitor trends.
    Curious if there will be any official tornadoes confirmed in MA and NH. There were funnel clouds in both those states from the pics posted on twitter.

    1. that may be so, but I think they BLEW IT!
      They appear to have trouble forecasting severe weather for New England.

  11. I agree with you they blew it. Looking at the radar I would have brought the watch down to include northern parts of CT and RI Boston area.
    SREF model did another good job at highlighting areas of New England where there was tornado potential. The tornado warnings yesterday all happened in areas the SREF model was highlighting.

        1. Nice area. My oldest spent a good portion of her youth boarding her horse nearby and hours riding through the Weston nursery grounds with her friends.

    3. Now that I think about it….did JPD say it is a beautiful day or did he simply asked if anyone had mentioned it? 😉

  16. Thanks for the nice words everyone. 🙂 There is something I missed yesterday and that was the severity of the storms as far east and south as they were. Not too far outside of the area I was thinking, but they certainly did survive nicely. I wonder had we had even more sunshine had the severe not made it even a bit further southeast. The debris cloudiness probably did keep even what did occur somewhat in check.

    So the well-circulating picture of the “funnel” from near Durham NH was actually a photo of a “scud bomb” or “scudnado”. It is not a tornado. The one confirmed in NH was near Lincoln.

    Upcoming, basically a classic early summer pattern now. This is the over the top warm to hot weather with intermittent cool shots from Canada, and they occasional cooler ocean flow (such as we’ll have Thursday of this week). Despite dumpings of heavy rain like those that occurred yesterday, they overall pattern is quite dry and we will be seeing the drought build a little bit more. Still not expecting anything that rivals 2016 at this point since I think the 2nd half of summer will be more classic Bermuda High dominated.

    I’d like to take a moment to recognize WxWatcher for his keen eye on picking out details up to several days in advance that can impact weather, in terms of getting the forecast more accurate. He has a gift that will serve him well.

    1. when we saw that video on TV, I told my wife that it was NOT a tornado
      as VERY CLEARLY there was no rotation. 😀

    2. You did great and WxW – well what a great team you both make!!

      If I may humbly add that you didn’t underestimate anything except maybe the power of Mac…..remember, what yesterday was…and no one can predict that. Similar to December 9 storm.

      Just sayin’

        1. hahahaha – I do know that. But I think he might be accidentally influencing some things that you were right about to begin with.

          1. Oh I don’t think Mac does anything by accident. Maybe he’s got an honorary position in the WHW “forecasting” department. 😉

    3. Thanks TK and WxWatcher does have an gift that will serve him well and we are lucky to have him here along with everyone else that contributes.

  17. It’s been quite a while since we have seen Retrac?? Or I may have missed his comments. Hope all is ok.

          1. The 2018-19 snow season could get off to a fast start if a July 1st hailstorm occurred for sure.

          2. Ahh – you are always thinking, OS. Good idea. With plenty of warning, however, to make space for my car in the garage.

            1. Mine is all beat to hell from that last
              hail storm of a couple of years ago, so
              I don’t care.

    1. Well to be fair it was really something that started in 2013 and ended last year. But I meant that drought period, yes. The one that a couple of summers ago had us crunching around in the (dormant) grass by early July.

      1. Yes and the summer I lost 4 of 6 beautiful shrubs. Boo Whoooo.
        My own fault as I didn’t water enough. Already started extra
        watering this year for the replacements.

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