Sunday Forecast

38 Comments

7:42AM

DAYS 1-5 (SEPTEMBER 8-12)
High pressure will be the dominant player in our weather for 4 out of the next 5 days, with the only interruption being Wednesday as a low pressure area moving west to east across the region sends its warm front / cold front combo through with some shower activity. During the fair weather days, the temperature and wind will be determined by the position of high pressure, the first area of which will start out north of the region today then sink southward over the area Monday and just to the south Tuesday, with a second high from eastern Canada influencing the weather by Thursday.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 67-74. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 46-53. Wind light variable.
MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 68-75. Wind light variable.
MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 48-55. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 73-80. Wind SE to S 5-10 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 55-62. Wind S up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 68-75. Wind S to SW 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Slight chance of a thunderstorm. Lows 60-67. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 70-77. Wind W 5-15 MPH shifting to N.

DAYS 6-10 (SEPTEMBER 13-17)
High pressure should be strong enough for fair weather September 13 but need to watch a boundary to the south. A front from the west comes through with a slight risk of a shower September 14 but overall the September 14-17 period looks dry with above normal temperatures as high pressure dominates surface and aloft.

DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 18-22)
Brief interruptions with shower threats early and again late period in an otherwise mainly dry and warmer than average pattern as high pressure holds control much of the time.

38 thoughts on “Sunday Forecast”

  4. Thanks TK !

    The models are giving signals of the strongest east coast ridge of the warm season in the long range.

    500 mb Heights of 591 dm and 850 mb temps of 15 to 20C …..

    1. According to TK a few days ago, we’re not done with temps near or over 90 yet. Been watching for a burst of very warm to hot weather around mid month for a while. I think WxW alluded to this a couple weeks ago as well.

      1. It seems these days with climate change we are never done with heat of some kind every month of the year. The new normal, I guess.

        1. It really isn’t anything new. And it’s not even close to 1983’s torrid September. It’s still summer for most of this month.

          We can’t just attribute a warm pattern to climate change. It’ll be cool out west. That’s just the way the pattern sets up.

  6. I am not surprised. Summer never goes quietly and I would have been surprised if we did not see one last blast of heat.

      1. I suspect it will take a hard freeze or two. Our ponds and smaller, quieter water areas are quite full. Which brings up an interesting question. Are the areas where EEE is high or critical the ones that have had the most rain this summer

          1. I didn’t say dry weather would kill them off. But it will significantly slow the emergence of new ones.

            We don’t have to wait for a hard freeze to pretty much stop them. They can’t really move when the temperature is lower that 54, so the deeper we get into the season the less active they are.

              1. A freeze and cold weather does not kill eggs laid. They can hatch the next year or even the next.

                Curiously my youngest got a Christmas tree two years ago….or maybe three. They started having mosquitoes in their house in December. The eggs turned out to be in the tree. Bringing them indoors gave them the warmth to hatch.

          2. The hard freeze…more like two ish….is what kills them. They breed less when there is water. But we have enough water and swampy areas. They will drop if we donā€™t have a lot of rain but I donā€™t think enough. Either way, as long as there are mosquitoes, the threat is real

  9. Dorian dumped all of 0.03 inch in Logan and a peak gust of 32 mph. šŸ™‚

    SNE really dodged a bullet. Hopefully no more from the African pipeline anytime soon.

      1. They are in the perfect place, geographically, so it makes perfect sense. But most of their “tropicals” are barely tropical anymore.

        If you study atmospheric circulation patterns, there are stand-out areas for getting hit with cyclones. They are one of them.

        1. Still amazing that Nova Scotia is just as vulnerable to destructive tropical activity as any island in the Caribbean. Up until now, I always assumed they went POOF by N.S. with no real notoriety.

    1. Halifax harbor may look sheltered but it really isn’t. For a storm like this it’s the perfect fetch…..

  14. My goodness what a spectacular weekend. Neighborhood has been full of kids out and about

    Thank you Tom, TK and Mark for upcoming warm weather comments. Pool is still not taken down here so might work out quite well

  15. OS. Not sure if you are reading by I am so hooked on heartland that I had to make myself take a break. I lasted a few hours :).

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