Monday Forecast

46 Comments

7:13AM

DAYS 1-5 (SEPTEMBER 9-13)
High pressure brings fair and seasonably cool weather to start the week, then a warm front brings a risk of showers early Wednesday, opening the door to the feel of summer during Wednesday and into Thursday as a cold front is slow to make its way through the region. Finally by Friday, high pressure in eastern Canada pushes another batch of cooler air into the region.
Forecast details…
MONDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 68-75. Wind light variable with coastal sea breezes.
MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 48-55. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 73-80. Wind SE to S 5-10 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Risk of showers overnight. Lows 55-62. Wind S up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of showers early. More humid. Highs 76-83. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Chance of a shower and a slight chance of a thunderstorm. Lows 60-67. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Chance of a shower or thunderstorm. Highs 75-82. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to NW late.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 50-57. Wind NW to N up to 10 MPH.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 65-72. Wind N to NE 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (SEPTEMBER 14-18)
A weak cold front will wash out as it crosses the region September 14 which will be a mild to warm day with just a risk of a shower. High pressure builds at the surface and aloft and brings generally fair weather and above normal temperatures for the balance of the period, though a trough or cold front coming along later in the period and high pressure from Canada may cool it down by about September 18.

DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 19-23)
Another surge of warmth from dominant high pressure followed by another late-period cool-down, depending on the timing of a jet stream disturbance.

46 thoughts on “Monday Forecast”

  8. Thank you, TK.

    While it will briefly get warmer later this week, I’m not sold on a dramatic warm-up next week. In fact, I think that something akin to a sine wave, with 2 days in the upper 60s/low 70s followed by 2 days in the low 80s, is the pattern we’ll be in.

    Boston sports teams are ruthless. Dombrowski is fired in early September, a little more than 10 months removed from a world series championship. Talk about making a statement, and not tolerating mediocrity. Let’s face it, the Red Sox are mediocre and have been all season. Yet, my guess is that in most markets a similar move would not be made this soon. And certainly, much of the blame does not and should not fall on Dombrowski.

    And then there’s the machine called the Patriots. It’s like watching the Germans invade France in May of 1940. The opposition thinks they have an answer by going after the tank commander, but then he picks apart the (Maginot) defenses with absolutely no mercy.

    My only concern with the Patriots is the shotgun snaps by the new center. They’re not crisp. In fact, they’re very slow to reach Brady’s hands – kind of a looping ball. I noticed it right away. A better defense could take advantage of that.

  10. Thanks TK
    I did not see the Pats blowing out the Steelers last night. I am very happy the way Dak played yesterday as the Cowboys beat the Giants. If the offense looks anything close to what it did yesterday there going to be a playoff team and compete with the Eagles for an NFC East title.

    1. Wait till AB is here . If offense stays healthy thus offense will be unstoppable. Brady is beyond thrilled with Brown even offering brown to stay with Brady till he gets settled . Look out NFL express train coming through !!!!

  18. Thankfully a long time to watch what is showing up on the 12z GFS. It sure looks like similar is going to get one last punch of heat and some humidity in here mid month.

  19. Thanks TK!
    Very good point mark. You can never let your guard down with a strong Bermuda high and and active tropics. Lots of other factors involved in steering these things, but that high closes off the out to sea off ramp.

  20. Also of note, the “Legacy GFS” at hour 240 has the tropical system in approx. the same location in the Caribbean as the new GFS, albeit a bit weaker. Ensemble support is there on the GFS and Euro as well. CMC doesn’t have it FWIW.

  21. Just a note on the GFS: It depicts kind of a rough idea, but details? Eh… It still sucks basically. It’s about as good at medium range for tropicals as the NAM is in the shorter range, but it can at least give you an idea of what the pattern would do with a storm if it’s out there.

  22. Speaking of tropical systems, did you see that the eye of Typhoon Faxai was a direct hit on Tokyo yesterday? 955 mph at landfall over Tokyo Bay with a 104 mph wind gust reported at Tokyo-Narita airport! Strongest typhoon on record to hit Tokyo. Impressive to see one the largest cities in the world sustain a direct hit by a storm this large and powerful.

    https://twitter.com/sayakasofiamori/status/1170813249983414272

    https://twitter.com/AlexJLamers/status/1170767596733550592

    2. Tokyo is in a way like the New England Coast. It sits on the western side of a tropical cyclone basin, but is often spared direct hits. And since the Pacific waters are warmer than average during this peak of tropical season, there have been a few very powerful typhoons out there. The pattern and those circumstances combined to give them this. It’s rather rare for a storm that strong to make a direct hit there.

  23. 18z GFS long range has the hurricane crushing Miami with a CAT 4 on this run:

    https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2019090918&fh=264

    Then the remnants move up the coast.

    Will be interesting to watch this thing come and go on the models over the next 1-2 weeks and see the wide run to run variations on track. Safe just to say we have a watch period for now as we get into the second half of September.

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