DAYS 1-5 (DECEMBER 5-9)
Today we get a glancing shot of the coldest airmass of the late autumn / early meteorological winter so far, with dry weather, and a diminishing wind as high pressure builds in. Tonight and Saturday morning, we watch low pressure pass to our south. A northward extension of a low pressure trough can bring some snow showers to the region Saturday morning and midday – though it may warm just enough for this to mix with or turn to rain showers near the South Coast before ending. Either way, it’s a minor event, then gone. We’ll watch for a small low pressure area to move quickly our way later Sunday, passing just to the north, dragging another strong cold front through the region, with a snow shower chance Sunday late day and night. Reinforcing cold arrives for early next week with dry weather.
TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 23-30. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts. Wind chill often below 20.
TONIGHT: Clouds increase. Lows 13-20 evening, rising slowly overnight. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy morning-midday with scattered to numerous snow showers, may turn to rain showers south of I-90 before ending. Highs 35-42. Wind variable up to 10 MPH becoming W.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 18-25. Wind W up to 10 MPH becoming calm.
SUNDAY: Clouds increase. Snow shower chance late-day. Highs 34-41. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Lots of clouds with snow showers likely early, then clearing. Lows 12-19. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 25-32. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, diminishing.
MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 8-15. Wind NW under 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Sun followed by clouds. Highs 28-35. Wind N up to 10 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (DECEMBER 10-14)
Pattern brings two minor precipitation chances โ early December 10, and again later in the period around December 13. Temperatures variable, but mostly below normal.
DAYS 11-15 (DECEMBER 15-19)
One storm may track into the Great Lakes and bring a brief warm-up early in the period before cold air returns for most of the period. One or two clipper systems bring snow or snow shower chances mid to late period.
Thank you, TK.
Good morning and thank you Tk.
13 now and low.
Ocean temps not available this morning. I did get a temp off the coast of Maine at 47.
Last evenings snow showers left the ground dusted white here.
Wordle; 3
2 in a row at 3, they want you to keep playing, awesome !
Weird. 2 FAILS followed by 2 3s. Strange game or it’s my mind????
I think we all see that. Frustrating as it can be it oddly still ends up being fun
Nice JPD. They definitely want you to keep playing. 3 for me too.
Join me in the coal tender!
Happy to. ๐
Thanks TK !
The full moon was continuing to put on a show this morning, in the lower western sky, looked amazing.
I got a hot coffee this morning.
Wordle: 2 phewโs in a row, 6. ๐
PHEW, but you got it!!! ๐
And you got it. Perfect. I think we are all up and down. It would not be as much fun if every day were the same number
My first Wordle guess gave a lot of information. With that and a mountain of good luck, I got it in 2 (TOOT-TOOT I think I get to play with the whistle today!).
We have a WINNER!!!! Well done!!!
So Far I am stuck in the coal tender!!!!
https://ibb.co/Tqwt2ctk
Wow wow wow. Excellent SClarke
Thanks TK.
1,379 โ๏ธ
Worcester 3.9โ
Boston 0.0โ
Snowfall to date
Correction… Boston’s snowfall goes down as “T” for a trace, which has happened 3 times so far.
Worcester 3.9
Boston T
Official way.
Thank you TK and Happy Friday!
Wordle: 4
Well done Sue!!
Nice
Thank you, TK
We are up to 12 from a low of 7.
โLast night (December 4th), an air temperature of -21F was measured at the summit of Mount Washington. This matched our daily record low for December 4th, originally set in 1976 and equaled in 1989 (records date back to 1932).โ
Up to 18 here. brrr. This is cold enough for me. ๐ ๐
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KDIX/standard
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=KSBY&hours=72
Of course, snowing down in the Mid Atlantic, before us.
https://chart.maryland.gov/thumbnails/3b009d0700e600e30051fa36c4235c0a.jpg?1764947685026
https://chart.maryland.gov/TrafficCameras/GetTrafficCameras
Credit to Maryland Dept of Transportation
It was coming down pretty hard in southern VA and SE Kentucky last night when I checked out the radar as well.
Thanks TK.
7F for a low in Coventry CT this AM.
0z Euro Op with an interesting setup about a week from now…
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&rh=2025120500&fh=204&dpdt=&mc=
0z ICON had it as well with a much stronger coastal:
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=icon&rh=2025120500&fh=168&dpdt=&mc=
0z CMC keeps it weak and well south of us and 6z GFS sends a weaker system north of us.
4 models/4 different solutions.
That ICON is too tight for my liking. Great for up North, but another bummer for here. Long way to go, but something to monitor for sure!
Thanks TK
Thanks, TK.
As you know, today is a 10 in my book. A tad colder would be ideal. But I’ll take it: Sunny, very little wind, a refreshing chill. My 6.5 mile run along the Charles was quite spectacular. As I’ve said before, even if it doesn’t snow in winter, it’s these days that I long for.
Colder ?!?!?!?!?!
That’s great !! You are likely to get your wish, at least a couple times, in the next few to several weeks. ๐
I’m glad. I thrive in cold. I wilt in heat. I realize I am in the minority. My Mom once called me her little Inuit (I was 4). It’s because I loved being outside in winter. Cold never bothered me and I could stay outside in the snow and cold all day.
Cool !
I had a love of snow especially and I guess, by default, cold probably into my early 20s.
But, after not many drives in snowstorms for work and then certainly, with 21+ Junes spent making up missed snow days, I don’t like it as much. A still game for a big snowstorm during a long school break ๐
Totally understood. Almost everyone I know doesn’t like cold or snow that much. Some people think I’m crazy. Heck, maybe they’re right and I belong in an asylum (but preferably one in, say, Nuuk).
I like cold & snowโฆbut up to a point.
Today is plenty for me. ๐
The first 2 games for the MIAA Superbowl were played at Gillette yesterday at 5:00 p.m. and 7:30 p.m.
Two great games with Cohasset defeating Amesbury in the Division 7 super bowl, and Fairhaven outlasting Norwell in the super bowl for Division 6. The best part about it streaming on the Patriots YouTube channel is it acts like a DVR so you can just watch it “whenever” and skip ahead to the key plays.
Day 2 is about to start with Shawsheen Tech against Foxborough at 5:00 p.m. in Division 5, followed about 2 1/2 hours later by the Division 3 super bowl in which King Phillip will take on North Attleboro. It’ll be another cold one, but this time without the wind that was blowing during last night’s games.
I’ve always had a thing for high school football. I love the work all the kids put in to do the best they can for their school. Applies to all the sports of course, but football is my favorite for h.s. along with hockey.
King Phillip, thatโs the team that beat Marshfield in the Super Bowl, 3 years ago. They are a powerhouse in football.
My daughter was on the HS dance team, so, I went and you are spot on TK, itโs a blast playing these games and Gillette and let me tell you, as one can imagine, each teamโs fans donโt take up a great big part of the stadium and yet, they make a lot of noise. And of course, you get great, closeup seats that it costs a ton of money to buy for patriots games.
If Woburn makes it back – and they will again eventually – you’d better believe I’ll be there!
We’ve had a few super bowl victories over the years – mainly before the MIAA reinvented everything.
The best one was 1975, upsetting the extremely heavily favored Brockton Boxers in Brockton on their own high school field.
They also bested an unbeaten and heavily favored North Quincy on the road in 1979.
We lost to Billerica in 1993, and our last super bowl win was in 2005 (forget the team for some reason). So it’s been a while, and since then the reconfiguration has given favor to the schools that pull from multiple cities and towns, basically “all star” teams, which is kind of a shame.
there was a big push against the alterations knowing it would favor the schools that took from multiple towns/cities. Billerica there was a big thing against it. There also been way to many rules put in place on the marching bands. It started when I was in high school with some of the regulations on the bands, but the reconfiguration was also a time of alot of rule changes for when and where the bands can play and for how long. Visiting football teams can no longer have their bands come along which is a shame because there use to be band battles. Big thing when I was in the Marching band. When I went to the alumni band night last year I was extremely shocked.
Made it all the way to 27 today for clearly the coldest day of the year all around. ๐
I was out & about all day & did not feel cold at all . Last night was way colder w/ the wind
Big difference between wind chill & no wind chill. But it was cold today. The departure was double-digit negative in most of the area. The statistics don’t care how it feels to anybody. ๐
Robert Plant and Suzi Dian performed “It’s a beautiful day today” a few weeks ago (I believe it was in NYC). It’s a sensational cover of a folk song written by Moby Grape (San Francisco band from the late 60s).
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jJtbeflNEjY&list=RDjJtbeflNEjY&start_radio=1
It’s my favorite track from 2025.
Just back from the annual Christmas Buoy tree lighting in Padanaram Village in crisp 24 degrees under a full moon. Big crowd and great scene.
Oh wow. Iโd love that.
December 1980 (one of the coldest)?
1980-81 Boston Snowfall = 22.3โ
I am curious if there is a correlation between very cold Decembers and total winter snowfall.
Nothing that stands out.
The longer I do this, correlations and analogs are proving to be pretty unusable overall, with limited use in some instances.
A wet autumn does not guarantee a snowy winter.
Measurable snow in October is NOT a winter killer. That correlation works about 50% of the time, which means it’s basically not a correlation at all – it’s a coin-flip.
A warm start to winter doesn’t mean winter will stay warm.
A cold start to winter doesn’t mean winter will stay cold.
There are literally just too many indices and long term cycles that interact, and many of them we’ve only really learned about in recent decades. This is a game changer, and it is still ongoing.
Some analogs and correlations have a little bit of use compared to others, but there are zero locks when it comes to using them. None at all. The atmosphere (climate and weather) … is not that predictable.
Excellent. Well said.
can the gfs 6z be right. that would give us a white xmas . Also a happy skier as my brothers, Dad and I will be going skiing together for the first time in 4ish years around that day. snow falling while skiing YES PLEASE!! I know I know fat chance but one can wish
I’m wishing right along with you. But I think we all know that chances of that verifying are practically nil. Let’s see IF it is still around on the 12Z run.
Let me put it this way. I hardly even look at the GFS beyond day 4. It’s that poorly-performing. The only reason I look at it every few runs beyond day 4 is to see if anything has changed in the ability to remotely accurately simulate the atmosphere. So far, no. And I continue to have very low expectations about what was once a pretty decent piece of guidance for the medium range.
My advice is not to get too excited hoping any particular operational model run is right, because more often than not, it’ll disappoint you.
The pattern supports multiple opportunities to put snow on the ground prior to Christmas, but the GFS is not going to make those chances any clearer to the eye right now. ๐
Oh I never have nor never will trust the GFS 6z and 18z suits and now a days even the 00z and 12z suits of the GFS I don’t look at until within 5 days myself as well, im just saying it would be nice to get a good size snow storm that blankets us with snow, not just northern new england, I bet it will be gone by next model run haha.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat-imp&rh=2025120606&fh=348&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2025120606&fh=384&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
it would be a xmas miracle haha
with that said there are so many pieces of energy, we just need some of the ingredients to interact properly.
It is bound to at some point. When, we just don’t know yet.
Keep wishing, Matt. Iโm with you Also
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