Tuesday August 4 2026 Forecast (6:56AM)

67 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 4-8)

High pressure brings us a fair weather and lower humidity day today, then the high shifts offshore and parks itself, taking up residence as the “Bermuda High” for the remainder of this week, putting us in the classic warm to hot and humid summer pattern, with a daily chance for pop-up showers and t-storms. Repeating what I said yesterday, we can watch for a couple disturbances that can enhance such activity, but in general it just looks like daily air mass activity. Any that do form though can become strong and contain locally gusty winds and torrential downpours, and of course any thunderstorm can produce frequent cloud-to-ground lightning, so if you have outdoor plans during this stretch of time, not only be sure to stay hydrated and protect yourself from the sun, but also be “weather-aware” for any storms.

TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 80-87. Dew point drops to near 60. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 61-68. Dew point 60+. Wind SW under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of a shower or thunderstorm, primarily during the afternoon hours. Highs 81-88. Dew point 65+. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 66-73. Dew point 65+. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. A chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Highs 82-89 except 75-82 Cape Cod / South Coast. Dew point 68+. Wind SW up to 15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: A thunderstorm possible early, otherwise partly cloudy with patchy fog. Lows 66-73. Dew point 65+. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: A sun / cloud mix. A shower or thunderstorm possible in the afternoon. Highs 85-92 except 78-85 coastal areas. Dew point 68+. Wind SW up to 10 MPH but with potential sea breezes in all coastal areas.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 67-74. Dew point 65+. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: A sun / cloud mix. A shower or thunderstorm possible in the afternoon. Highs 85-92 except 78-85 coastal areas. Dew point 68+. Wind SW up to 10 MPH but with potential sea breezes in all coastal areas.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 9-13)

Continuation of classic summer pattern with high pressure off the Atlantic Coast, moderate to high humidity, and a few shower and thunderstorm chances while most of the time is rain-free. Temperatures near to above normal.

DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 14-18)

A general west to east flow with a couple passing disturbances bringing shower and t-storm chances. Temperatures near to slightly above normal.

67 thoughts on “Tuesday August 4 2026 Forecast (6:56AM)”

    1. Nice 5. I am stuck after 3 guesses where I have 1 letter in position and 2 out of position, but it is doing me no good at all.

      Will try again later….

  7. Got 0.68 inches of rain yesterday from the multiple showers.

    Got Wordle in 5, it was a tough one today.

  9. I did the same thing as JPD. I had no clue early morning so put Wordle away after three guesses till I woke up.

    Wordle 4

  10. Good morning and thank you TK.

    Overnight low 63

    Ocean: 66

    Wordle: 5 Phew, I didn’t think I was going to get it, but 5 it is.

    1. How the hell does Logan have a 56 dew point. Can’t be right

      We’re at 81/60 here in JP which I believe to be pretty spot on.

  16. We’ve come about an hr further west on Rte 2, still in Mass to the Mohawk Trail at a pull off on the Deerfield River. The streams and rivers seem well above summer flow as one might expect with the last 2 big rain events out here.

    Beautiful, 80ish with a few fair weather cumulus.

  17. Wordle 3 today. Only 2 yellow letters at 2 but then a very lucky guess.

    The 2 by SClarke was amazing today with this word.

  18. Thank you TK!

    Wordle: I continue to struggle and today was a 5. I won’t give up though 🙂

    2. It has been an uncharacteristic struggle for me for a bit. But you also have a ton on your mind and that makes a huge difference.

      Excellent to get it

  19. Hi all!

    PM check-in time!

    Today: Drier air than I thought we’d have. The down-slope dry-out was a little more pronounced where the wind was WSW to W with dew points as low as the lower 50s in a few areas but otherwise generally middle to upper 50s. Held onto the 60+ dew points where there was more of a southerly component to the wind which was mainly from the MA South Shore to the South Coast. Easily the pick of the week for abundance of sunshine and comfort level of air.

    Upcoming: There are no changes to the forecast that I have posted above. Logan will be vulnerable to a sea breeze any of the next 3 days because of a generally weak gradient. This may make it a struggle for the temp to reach 90 there. If they don’t see a sea breeze, they have a shot to clip 90 a time or two. This is most certainly a far cry from the intense hot spell of early summer, but this one will come with a re-spike in the humidity, typical for August. Also, contrary to what local media often makes it sound like, high humidity is NOT unusual for our part of the world at this time of year. I’m not sure what their obsession is with acting like it’s some novel weather condition. It’s not. Look back at the stats through history. You’ll find that I am correct when I say this.

    Tropics: Zzzzzzzzzzzzz. No areas of concern and no expectations for development during the next 7 days as we enter the heart of the season. Some s.m. posts were highlighting potentials recently. Why? Because “the models” had something. We know better here though. Science for the win. Meteorology, not modelology. Yup, that’s how it is folks! Yet they have to bark about something. WOOF WOOF!

    El Nino: Behaving as expected. Strong, peaking by October, slowly decreasing thereafter. A whole lot of sensationalism out there about it. Ignore that. Yes, it’s a strong El Nino. Yes it has an impact on global patterns. It always has. Funny how that works. And by the way, not every “impact” is “bad”. Soon, I’ll put together a list about beneficial pattern impacts. You’ll be surprised at how many there are, but you never hear about them from the mainstream or your social media hype masters, because, well … it’s too boring, or doesn’t fit a narrative, etc. 🙂

    That’s about it for now! Off to tackle my to-do list and go get a haircut. 🙂

  20. What are the odds of a heat wave over the next few days? Seems like we will be on the cusp just about every day till Monday.

    2. Very low in general.

      And even if there are a few locations that manage it, it’ll be a 90, 91, 90 kind of “heatwave”.

  21. It was an arrest in Washington state of a man charged with our arson

    Mac’s sister lived in Spokane when based in Salt Lake Cityfor several years. We visited her there when the kids were younger. It’s a beautiful area. This is heartbreaking.

    2. 90% of all wildfires are caused by humans…PERIOD!!! Carelessness is bad enough but arson is despicable. I would be curious as to what percentage of fires are caused by which method. My bet is arson but just a guess.

      SMOKEY BEAR says only YOU can prevent wildfires! 🙂

      1. A bit closer to 85% but close enough. I don’t believe in capital punishment so not sure what this individual should get if found guilty. Solitary confinement for the rest of his life sounds good to me.

      2. Philip, it’s not “90%, period.” It’s between 80 and 85%. But human caused fires burn only about 10 to 15% of the amount of acreage that natural fires do. I have explained why this is the case many times here.

        In case we need a reminder, it’s because the vast majority of natural fires (generally lightning-sparked) are started in very remote areas that cannot be easily reached by firefighting teams, while the extreme majority of human-caused fires are much more easily accessible and can be brought under control much sooner. These are stats, aka facts.

        Anybody caught starting a fire intentionally should be severely penalized, regardless of how many acres they burn.

  22. CPC is not interested in any lasting heat here…

    6-10: Near normal.
    8-14: Below normal.
    Week 3: Near normal.

  23. Logan registered two 100+ days (although in reality it was 99 & 100 when you correct the bad temp) and five days over 90 (one registered at 90 that was not really 90).

    Still, even with the error in play, they came in at +0.6F for July, which in reality is probably about -0.5F when you correct things.

    It was generally a cooler than normal month for the southeastern part of the WHW forecast area. The South Coast region had a July that ranked between 5th and 10th coolest on record. Certainly not a brutal month.

    1. According to Ch. 7:

      Boston (Logan) hit 90F 13 times between May 17 and July 14.

      13 times too many for MY taste but that number is near average for an entire summer anyway.

      1. Five of those were recorded as 90F but were actually 89F, so they only have 8 days of 90+ in reality.

  24. The Quabbin Reservoir sits at 330 billion gallons as of August 1st. It’s about at 80% of capacity which is the lowest in the last 9.5 years.

    There was a good amount of rain this past month in the Belchertown area but there is usually a lag effect between rainfalls and increases in reservoir levels. Water coming off the watershed accounts for a lot of the volume and that water can take anywhere from a few seconds to many years to reach the reservoir.

    2. That lag is neat. We drove past the Quabbin today, never really seeing it. But again, the lag is super cool because the surrounding small rivers, those similar to the ones you see in northern New England are running pretty high.

  26. The Red Sox are off to a good start this evening with six runs in the bottom of the first inning.

        1. Hello to you. Thank you for a smile. It means a lot. Hoping things will improve here soon, but in the meantime, I love our family here.

          I hope you are well too

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