DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 1-5)
August begins with a fair weather day, courtesy a weak ridge of high pressure over our region. We will see an increase in high cloudiness as the day goes on, and plentiful clouds will fill the sky tonight, though without a rain threat. Sunday will also continue the theme of more cloudiness and less sun than today, but again I believe any rain threat is absent. Humidity levels will be elevated, though not oppressive, this weekend, at least until Sunday night when they start to increase further ahead of an approaching cold front. This front ambles its way across our region on Monday, and while that day can feature intervals of sun, it also carries a strong chance of quite a few showers and thunderstorms triggered by the front. During this time, low pressure develops and cuts off over the eastern Ohio Valley. Previously, I envisioned this system causing a very showery episode around Tuesday into Wednesday of next week, but trends are for a weaker system which does send moisture our way, with the help of high pressure off the East Coast. But this set-up would favor more of an afternoon scattered shower and thunderstorm occurrence those days, with continued warm and humid early August weather.
TODAY: Sunshine becomes filtered to limited with time. Highs 78-85. Dew point 60+. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 62-69. Dew point 60+. Wind S up to 10 MPH.
SUNDAY: Lots of clouds / limited sun. Highs 79-86. Dew point 60s. Wind S 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Areas of fog. Lows 63-70. Dew point 60s. Wind S 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Variably cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs 74-81. Dew point near 70. Wind S up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. A shower possible. Areas of fog. Lows 66-73. Dew point 65+. Wind S to SW up to 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Afternoon showers and thunderstorms possible. Highs 77-84. Dew point 65+. Wind variable to S up to 10 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 66-73. Dew point 65+. Wind S under 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. A shower or thunderstorm possible in the afternoon. Highs 79-86. Dew point 65+. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 6-10)
Continuation of a more classic summer pattern with high pressure off the Atlantic Coast, moderate to high humidity, and a few shower and thunderstorm chances while most of the time is rain-free. Potential for a disturbance from the west to enhance shower and thunderstorm chances on August 6. Temperatures near to above normal.
DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 11-15)
A general west to east flow should take a couple of troughs / fronts through with shower and t-storm chances, but with majority of the time featuring fair weather. Temperatures slightly variable but averaging around normal.