DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 29 – SEPTEMBER 2)
As we head into the final weekend of August, there is a little update on the outlook – not a huge change, but the timing of the next disturbance is faster, so that clouds and a passing shower chance come back during Sunday afternoon and evening. Otherwise, it’s a fairly dry weekend with high pressure in control today and early Sunday before it slips offshore to make way from the disturbance from the west northwest. This system goes by quickly enough so that Monday, the final day of August, looks quite nice. September opens with a bout of unsettled weather from a pair of disturbances traveling through our region in a west northwest flow Tuesday and Wednesday. Episodic showers are likely, but the exact timing / details are to-be-determined as we get a little closer to those days.
TODAY: Partly cloudy this morning. Mostly sunny this afternoon. Highs 75-82. Dew point in 50s. Wind W to variable up to 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Ground fog patches. Lows 56-63. Dew point in 50s. Wind W under 10 MPH.
SUNDAY: Sunshine most prominent morning, then variably cloudy with a passing shower possible afternoon. Highs 77-84. Dew point sub-60. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes then S up to 10 MPH late-day.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. A shower chance early. Patchy fog late. Lows 58-65. Dew point sub-60. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 76-83, coolest eastern coastal areas. Dew point sub-60. Wind W shifting to NE 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Fog patches. Lows 56-63. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Highs 66-73. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Areas of fog. Chance of a shower. Lows 58-65. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 67-74. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (SEPTEMBER 3-7)
Trending fair early to mid period before unsettled weather chances return toward the end of the period. Temperatures near to above normal.
DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 8-12)
Fair weather early and late period with unsettled weather between that at mid period. Temperatures somewhat variable but fairly close to normal overall.
Thanks TK !
I think the DP in Marshfield was 72F well into the evening yesterday after a decent rain shower around 6pm.
No longer :). I opened the window and was met with a huge change and can see the DP is now not much above 50F.
Wordle: 4. (I think there is very low score potential today)
Excellent 4. I think you are correct
Wordle 4 also
Yay, Vicki ! Welcome to the 4 car !
36F atop Mt Washington.
Coolest temp I recall seeing from the summit in a while.
Lovely
Thank you, TK!
64/53. Low of 54
Thanks TK
MCS potential with the SPC highlighting this area in the Day 5 Outlook???
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/partners/outlooks/state/images/CT_swody5_PROB.png?1787993946
Oh my. Fingers crossed that the severe weather threat weakens. Thank you for these, JimmyJames!!
Good morning and thank you TK
67 up from 64. Dp 52
Ocean: 69
Wordle: 4
Super 4. Would be fun to all be in one car today.
Thank you.
Welcome to the 4 car, JpDave !
Thank Tom.
Currently 62/54. Overnight low temperature was 54.
I had good luck today with Wordle in 2.
Awesome !!! Congrats !
Wow!! Well done
Oh my ….exceptional 2!!
Fantastic! I’m joining the crowded 4 car…
Welcome !
Vicki SPC has maintained that risk for my area now in the day 5 outlook. Yesterday they had in the day 6 outlook which is rare for the SPC to highlight an area in the northeast that many days in advance. Just looking at the area highlighted it looks like a potential MCS.
Oh boy. Thank you again!!
Yup.
500 mb ridge centered over the Ohio Valley.
A bit of a 500 mb low or disturbance in east-central Canada and btwn those 2, a strong WNW flow nearby the northeast.
High heat in the Ohio Valley, mild in southern Canada.
Disturbances traveling in the strong WNW flow and with that big temp contrast, I think a decent potential for an MCS from this far out.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=500wh&rh=2026082900&fh=132
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=850th&rh=2026082900&fh=132
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=prateptype_cat_ecmwf-imp&rh=2026082900&fh=132
I am actually COLD this morning…..But ahhhh it is very nice!
Beats the crap out of that shit yesterday!!!!!
Me too. There have been a few cold feeling nights. It does feel good.
Tom it seems that signal has been there for this potential particularly on Wednesday. I expect this to change multiple times between now and then.
In its location, yes.
My guess is a slight southwest change to the location.
Maybe western NY state to central PA to the mid Atlantic and then a shower area further northeast of that.
I’m in the caboose today with 5 in Wordle. I chose the wrong 5th letter in my 4th try.
You got it. There were many choices.
Great 5.
Very nice !
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=qpf_acc-imp&rh=2026082912&fh=123
Can see where the ridge will be centered with 0 QPF expected under it.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=qpf_acc-imp&rh=2026082912&fh=123&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Can see disturbances (at least 2) and their total projected QPF, as they rotate around the northeast side of the ridge (ring of fire)
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=qpf_acc-imp&rh=2026082912&fh=123&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Total QPF after 6 days.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=aigfs&p=qpf_acc-imp&rh=2026082912&fh=144&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
AIGFS, 6 day total QPF
Thank goodness for the drop in humidity.
Moving day for our younger daughter at Bridgewater, today.
Wishing your daughter a wonderful year.
Thanks Vicki !
Thanks, TK!
Sox are playing a day-night doubleheader today. The first game is on now on NESN. Sox are up, 1-0, top of the third. The night game is at 7:15 on FOX.
Tomorrow’s afternoon game is at 1:35 on NESN.
Go Sox!
77/54
74/51. A truly glorious late summer day. And a great day to cook sausage, peppers and onions. I can leave slider and all windows open to air house.
Thanks, TK.
Im a bus to Vermont. A 10k tomorrow early morning. Part of my London marathon prep. Hard to believe, but just 4 weeks from now the green leaves I am seeing here will be many different colors. Blessed autumn.
Safe travels and best wishes
Sox at bat in top of 9th, leading 5-0.
Sox win 6-0. Nice!
If they can get a sweep tonight they’ll be a guarantee to at least split the series. They need to stay as close to the Yankees as possible for a shot of home field in the WC.
Otherwise it’s consecutive games at Yankee Stadium in the WC…Y-U-C-K!!!
Great win !!
Hopefully, they played relaxed tonight with that one in the win column.
Bill Belichick won his first game of the season at the Aer Lingus Classic (Ireland).
UNC 15, TCU 10
It poured most of the game. I guess Europe’s high heat is over?
The pattern there changed a while ago. Also, it wasn’t all of Europe. The media only talked about where it was hot, not where it wasn’t.
Additionally, rain at one location does not inform of the weather for the entire continent. It’s important to look beyond Ireland for that context.
Sox, 1-0.
Yankees 9-2 (Final)
Hopefully Sox can win tomorrow for a split.
They will.
New post…