Wednesday Forecast

6:59AM

DAYS 1-5 (SEPTEMBER 25-29)
A temperature kiddie coaster will continue with a mainly dry weather pattern, with just weak cold fronts passing by Thursday evening and Saturday night providing the only rain shower threats of the next 5 days. Otherwise, high pressure will retain its overall dominance.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 70-77. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 50-57. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Risk of a late-day rain shower mainly north and west of Boston. Highs 75-82. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Risk of an evening rain shower mainly Boston southeastward. Lows 56-63. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to NW.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 68-75. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 48-55. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 75-82. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. A few rain showers possible. Lows 58-65. Wind W 5-15 MPH, shifting to N overnight.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 68-75. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (SEPTEMBER 30-OCTOBER 4)
Upper high pressure surges into the Northeast again briefly to end September and start October with more above normal temperatures and mainly dry weather, but a round of showers/thunderstorms around October 2 may be followed by a push of much cooler air around October 3-4.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 5-9)
While a whole sale pattern change will eventually take place it will probably evolve over time and not really be here at this point, so we should warm back up somewhat at least a few of the days of this period with another cool push possible to end it. Still the overall pattern is expected to be drier than average.

31 thoughts on “Wednesday Forecast”

  1. Thanks, TK…

    Today is the true equinox (in Taunton, at least) with exactly 12 hours of daylight and 12 hours of darkness.

        1. Sorry if that came across obnoxious. When I read your post, I remembered there was a name for it and had to try a few versions before getting confirmation that I had that correct term. Thanks for the reminder !!

          1. Tom , you could never be obnoxious. Me? Well, that’s a story for another day.

            But as for your comment, I was going to reply that Zantac works for that 😉

          2. No, it did not, Tom. Not at all!!!
            That was supposed to be a smiley face with an exclamation point.

            🙂 !

  2. Good morning and thank you TK.

    I am seriously wondering if we are nearing a record September in terms
    of average temperature. It surely seems that Most (I know not all) days
    have been above to way above average.

    If not record, it will certainly be a well above average September making it
    4 months in a row?

  3. They’re only at 2.4 above normal, based on the thermometer that we know is 1-2 degrees too high, putting them pretty much at normal. This September is different than previous ones.

  4. Quiz,

    How many September heat waves have occurred in Boston since 1872? (I think 1872 is mentioned because that’s when they started keeping records.)

    A. 4
    B. 14
    C. 24
    D. 34

    Answer later today or tomorrow AM.

    1. Is this different from the quiz last weekend? If not or even if it is, it is clear to see if I can’t recall the question, I sure as heck would not recall the answer 😉

  5. Tom,

    I have to agree with your comment from yesterday or Monday: Teaching in the warm weather and/or humidity wears me out. I have been wiped out this last week and sleeping real well!!

    1. Thankfully, I’ve noticed a difference today. Last night really helped ! The halls and rooms are much more comfortable today.

  6. We’ll need to see future runs, but the “very cool” shot for after October 3rd is projected to be not quite as cool today. Still cool, but the -5C isotherm is north of New England instead of covering all of New England. We’ll see if this is a hiccup or a trend in the coming days.

    1. There’s going to be a lot of early cold in Canada. The question is delivery ability for the lower 48, and if so, where will greatest impact be.

      We’re not heading for another one of those very warm autumns. Those are going byebyes.

  7. Photo taken yesterday at the Arizona Snow Bowl, Flagstaff, AZ.
    Peak on left in Humphrey’s Peak, highest point in Arizona at 12,635 feet
    and peak on the right is Agassiz Peak, Arizona’s 2nd highest peak at 12,360 feet.

    https://imgur.com/a/wJPo9QH

    Of course, that snow is gone today.

  8. I forgot to mention, since I follow CPC’s long range updates, that they have considerably backed off their before-persistent idea of above normal precipitation especially going into and through next summer. This outlook is trending drier and drier with time, and I suspect they are looking in the right direction. I think we’re going to have borderline drought issues before too long.

      1. One can infer that, somewhat. But they are probably not outright calling for a dry winter. I see things that make me lean that way, however.

  9. Saw a tweet from Eric F saying he sees a lot of 1954 September records being broken for heat. A later tweet seem to indicate ENSO (La Nina) not the same in 1954 as it is now.

    Soooooo, FWIW, winter 1954-55 had above average December snow, average March snow and very little snow in Jan and Feb.

    1. It’s just that the hot area is an area that had been hot in 1954, and some of the records are falling. I’m not sure what he was trying to get at there, other than just pointing it out.

      The ENSO is probably no factor as it tends to have minimal impact on warm season weather in North America.

  10. While it will be warm early next week around here, to our north (north of New England) the cold looks to be settling in at that time. Eastern Canada, according to Environment Canada, projects to have sustained cold in October and beyond in all likelihood. All it then takes is a pattern shift in the jet stream and a breakdown in our current persistent pattern of ridging to establish cool, autumnal weather here, with some cold and potentially snowy weather in the mountains of Northern New England next month.

    1. Agreed. Should be a very sharp temp contrast, starting as early as next Tuesday/Wednesday.

      Might be interesting to see the temp difference between Burlington, VT and NYC these 2 days.

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