Wednesday Forecast

63 Comments

7:29AM

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 8-12)
A compact storm intensified and moved very rapidly southeast of New England overnight, concentrating most of its snow shield across Cape Cod and sparing everyone else. With this largely non-event offshore and on the way out, we look ahead to the upcoming active pattern and basically summarize yesterday’s discussion. An arctic cold front crosses the region this afternoon with the risk of a few snow showers and snow squalls, so be on the look-out as those can quickly reduce visibility and in some cases coat the ground with snow. Wind and cold will be the story to end the day and through tonight. Thursday, as many have been since November, will be the coldest day of the week. A warm front cross the region Friday with a touch of rain or inland sleet possible as we quickly lose the cold both at the surface and aloft. Saturday’s weather will remind you of a spring day as we get into a gusty southwesterly wind flow and very mild air, with some high temperature records challenged. Boston’s record high for the date is 62 and there is a risk of reaching that. A strong but slow moving cold front will push through the region Saturday night and early Sunday with a band of rain, which may end as sleet/snow for parts of the region if the cold air is in while the precipitation is still around. At the moment, leaning toward the precipitation to win the race.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Sun/cloud mix. Passing afternoon snow showers possible. Risk of a brief snow squall mid to late afternoon first west, lastly east. Highs 32-39. Wind W increasing to 15-25 MPH with higher gusts, shifting to NW late.
TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 15-22. Wind NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts, diminishing overnight.
THURSDAY: Sunshine and high clouds. Highs 25-32. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 18-25 evening, rising slowly overnight. Wind SE under 10 MPH.
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered light rain, possibly some sleet interior areas, favoring the morning hours. Highs 40-47. Wind SE under 10 MPH shifting to SW up to 10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Temperatures steady 40-47 evening, rising to 50-57 overnight. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY: Variably cloudy. Risk of a passing rain shower. Highs 55-62. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain likely. Lows 48-55. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to N.
SUNDAY: Cloudy. Rain ending in the morning. Temperatures fall through the 40s into the 30s. Wind N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 13-17)
Two low pressure systems likely impact the region, about January 14 and 16, based on current timing, with rain favored over snow, along with mostly above normal temperatures, but a subtle shift can change these tracks and temperatures, so need to keep an eye on it.

DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 18-22)
Still looking at a similar pattern of active weather, probably needing to watch 1 or 2 additional low pressure systems bringing precipitation threats.

63 thoughts on “Wednesday Forecast”

  3. Thanks, TK!
    Elvis Presley is 85 today! (Notice the present tense of the verb!) 🙂
    Elvis lives!

  4. Good morning and thank you TK.

    Another snow chance bites the dust and left behind a bit of dust, not enough
    to measure.

    Not very hopeful of much of anything for quite some time now…. blah blah blah…

  6. So I hope this finally puts to rest the not always correct notion that a storm track over 40/70 equals significant snow for southern New England

    1. It HAMMERS it home for me. 🙂 🙂 🙂
      Every stinken storm system is different.

      Crap, I’ve seen a major snow storm in Boston with a track through
      the Cape Cod Canal. It all depends.

        1. highly unlikely unless it was some sort of very cold system
          that has occluded long before passing over the city.

  7. Good morning and thank you TK.

    We had a healthy coating and enough to measure in Coventry last night. We got about a half inch from the main batch of light snow and then another quarter inch overnight from a renegade outer band that formed and moved through. Was letting the dog out at 3am and was surprised to see it snowing moderately again.

    So 0.75” the total here. Dribs and drabs…..still a long ways to go before we reach the 70” I had guessed for my house 🙂

    1. This will be one of their warmest days of the winter so far. Lower 50s with afternoon and evening rain. Despite it being a “mild” winter since the solstice, with the early cold/snow, the temps have been modified and it hasn’t gotten all that warm up that way. But Saturday’s set-up is different. We haven’t had one quite like this in many weeks.

      1. grrrr how does Sunday look? Trying to figure out which day is best for skiing, family planned weekend trip up there with one of the days to involve skiing before I leave for St. Thomas

  9. FWIW …. seems to be a few decent snow showers/squalls pushing into the Berkshires.

    Don’t know if there is enough dynamics to help them survive their eastward trek ?????

  12. Well today is going to be a good day to try out a longer time-lapse on my phone camera. If you’re friends with me on FB and the results are good, you’ll see them later. 🙂

  14. Wow. Full blown squall. I understand it’s the same in Sutton. Wind is shaking car I’m sitting in.

    1. My friend in Gardner was walking with her baby and they got caught in a heavy one. At least she got some video. 😉

  15. Looks like a DILLY of a snow squall heading for the CITY. Will it pass North or South
    or hit? Will let you know. 🙂 Looks like “just” North. TK looks to get it, at least
    in Woburn, not sure about Reading?

    https://radblast.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/radar/WUNIDS_map?station=BOX&brand=wui&num=6&delay=15&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=0.48478260869565215&noclutter=0&showstorms=0&mapx=400&mapy=240&centerx=411.3452914798206&centery=296.72645739910314&transx=11.345291479820617&transy=56.72645739910314&showlabels=1&severe=0&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&smooth=0&rand=26308591&lat=0&lon=0&label=you

    1. I’m in Woburn, on Woods Hill now. Time lapse running. Visually it looks like I got this.

      1. The absolute heaviest may be just north of me. My brother is there, and another one is just north of that. At least one of us is going to go through whatever is heaviest for here.

  18. Yes both sides of me, but the sky was neat to watch. Just a light to borderline moderate snow shower here but 2 wind gusts over 30 MPH occurred, one around 40 MPH. It’s still snowing a bit but vis to the west tells me it’s not likely to deteriorate any more. Still enjoyed it despite missing the cores!

  19. Caught the Southern end of one.
    Nothing too severe, but it was nice to see. Enough to coat the ground. 🙂

  21. Pete just mentioned “that wonky thermometer at Logan Airport”… THANK YOU PETE! Now it’s out there. 😉

  22. No squalls here today but sky went very dark as a few passed just to the north of Hartford earlier.

    Dave, on the snow chart….I got 0.75″ not 0.25″ last night. You know its been a slow period for snow when I am quabbling over quarters of inches 🙂

      1. Oops sorry, you got it right. I looked at the latest number and didn’t realize you broke it up into two days,

    1. Yep. Storm behaved as expected. We knew there would be a sharp cut-off on its NW flank.

  24. And yes as of today I still think a lot of the region will end January with snowfall close to normal for the month.

  25. Didn’t get hit by any squalls here today but there were plenty of them around. Several spectacular pictures and videos came into my office of a squall moving through downtown Philadelphia. Many of them are in the article below:

    https://billypenn.com/2020/01/08/did-you-miss-it-the-snow-squall-in-philly-looked-really-intense/

    I also got to check off another box today: issuing my first Snow Squall Warning! Actually I issued several of them, including for that one in Philadelphia. Fitting since I’ll be presenting a poster on snow squalls at AMS next week 🙂

  27. I think Boston’s record on January 11th of 62F will be history after Saturday. In fact, I wouldn’t be surprised if Boston hit 66F. Could 70F be reached somewhere in Southern New England? Probably not. But, you never know. No snow cover, ground is very soft for the time of year, ocean is still relatively warm, strong southwesterly with temperatures to our southwest well into the 60s and even low 70s.

  28. Long sleepless night as It will take me another 24 hrs or so to rebound . We did not even need to salt last night and around 5am this morning the roads were drying up quite nicely .

  29. I’m loving the jeopardy program. I have no idea who I ended up choosing to win. In the end, it’s moot. They are amazing. I do like that it appeals to the not so qualified folks such as I. There are a good number I can answer p.

  30. First player to win three games is crowned Jeopardy Greatest of All Time Champion. James Holzhauer and Ken Jennings have won one game each. My pick Brad Rutter better going.

  31. There going to play tomorrow and Friday night. If no one has three wins after Friday night it will continue next Tuesday night.

  33. Spotter Reports
    National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
    1020 AM EST Wed Jan 08 2020

    The following are unofficial observations taken during the past 22
    hours for the storm that has been affecting our region. Appreciation
    is extended to highway departments, cooperative observers, Skywarn
    spotters and media for these reports. This summary also is available
    on our home page at weather.gov/boston

    ********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL********************

    LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS
    SNOWFALL OF
    /INCHES/ MEASUREMENT

    CONNECTICUT

    …Hartford County…
    Southington 0.6 1117 PM 1/07 General Public
    2 SW Plainville 0.5 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    2 SSW Newington 0.5 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    2 SW Farmington 0.3 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    1 E East Hartford 0.3 800 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    1 NNE West Hartford 0.1 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    3 WNW Bristol 0.1 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    1 E Rocky Hill 0.1 730 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS

    …Tolland County…
    Storrs 1.3 800 AM 1/08 Co-Op Observer
    Columbia 1.0 1100 PM 1/07 Public
    3 NE Storrs 0.8 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    Staffordville 0.6 510 AM 1/08 Co-Op Observer
    NNW Staffordville 0.6 500 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS

    …Windham County…
    3 W East Brooklyn 1.8 900 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    East Killingly 1.5 714 AM 1/08 NONE
    1 SW East Killingly 1.5 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    1 NNE South Windham 1.1 900 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    2 NE Moosup 1.0 600 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    Scotland 1.0 635 AM 1/08 Ham Radio
    2 W Eastford 0.8 630 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS

    MASSACHUSETTS

    …Barnstable County…
    1 NW South Dennis 3.5 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    Brewster 3.5 556 AM 1/08 Ham Radio
    3 ENE Harwich 3.0 900 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    Yarmouth 3.0 705 AM 1/08 Ham Radio
    Chatham 3.0 1007 AM 1/08 Ham Radio
    Harwich 2.8 1006 AM 1/08 Ham Radio
    4 W Barnstable 2.6 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    West Harwich 2.5 800 AM 1/08 Co-Op Observer
    1 WNW Hyannis 2.5 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    South Mashpee 2.5 616 AM 1/08 Ham Radio
    Eastham 2.5 704 AM 1/08 Ham Radio
    5 S Mashpee 2.4 650 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    1 SW Eastham 2.3 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    West Yarmouth 2.3 948 AM 1/08 Ham Radio
    1 SSW Waquoit 2.1 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    Marstons Mills 2.0 613 AM 1/08 Ham Radio
    3 NNW Falmouth 2.0 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    1 E Orleans 2.0 910 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    Mashpee 2.0 430 AM 1/08 Trained Spotter
    2 WSW Mashpee 1.9 900 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    1 NW East Falmouth 1.8 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    East Sandwich 1.8 530 AM 1/08 Co-Op Observer
    3 S Orleans 1.6 730 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    1 NW Wellfleet 1.5 800 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    3 E Falmouth 1.4 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    1 ESE East Falmouth 1.3 730 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    1 WNW East Falmouth 1.2 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    1 NNW Falmouth 1.0 703 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    West Falmouth 1.0 611 AM 1/08 Ham Radio
    1 ENE North Falmouth 1.0 530 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    1 NE Barnstable 1.0 600 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    North Falmouth 1.0 603 AM 1/08 Ham Radio
    6 N Falmouth 0.9 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    East Falmouth 0.8 606 AM 1/08 Ham Radio
    2 SE East Sandwich 0.6 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    2 WSW Falmouth 0.5 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS

    …Bristol County…
    Assonet 2.0 723 AM 1/08 Ham Radio
    Somerset 2.0 847 AM 1/08 Trained Spotter
    Acushnet 2.0 709 AM 1/08 Trained Spotter
    7 SSE Westport 1.7 800 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    Fairhaven 1.3 608 AM 1/08 Ham Radio
    1 WSW Dighton 1.3 630 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    Taunton 1.1 729 AM 1/08 Ham Radio
    4 N Taunton 1.1 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    3 NNW Dighton 1.1 800 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    1 ENE Attleboro 1.0 715 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    NWS Boston/Norton 0.9 700 AM 1/08 Co-Op Observer

    …Dukes County…
    Edgartown 4.5 900 AM 1/08 Co-Op Observer
    West Tisbury 2.8 610 AM 1/08 Ham Radio
    1 WSW Vineyard Haven 1.5 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    Vineyard Haven 1.5 700 AM 1/08 Co-Op Observer

    …Hampden County…
    Chester 0.1 841 AM 1/08 Trained Spotter

    …Middlesex County…
    1 SSE Cambridge 0.1 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS

    …Norfolk County…
    Weymouth 1.0 604 AM 1/08 Ham Radio
    Walpole 0.2 700 AM 1/08 Co-Op Observer
    2 SSW Foxborough 0.2 800 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    1 NW Norwood 0.1 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS

    …Plymouth County…
    Lakeville 2.0 125 AM 1/08 Public
    4 W Duxbury 2.0 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    2 SE Bridgewater 1.5 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    Whitman 1.5 647 AM 1/08 Trained Spotter
    Middleboro 1.5 700 AM 1/08 Co-Op Observer
    3 SW Pembroke 1.4 800 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    3 WNW Kingston 1.3 600 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    WSW East Bridgewater 1.0 645 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    Bridgewater 1.0 600 AM 1/08 Co-Op Observer
    East Wareham 1.0 600 AM 1/08 Co-Op Observer
    Duxbury 1.0 806 AM 1/08 NWS Employee
    1 NNE Abington 0.8 530 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    1 NNW Plymouth 0.5 645 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    Cedarville 0.3 609 AM 1/08 Ham Radio

    …Worcester County…
    Southbridge 0.9 700 AM 1/08 Co-Op Observer
    2 WSW Warren 0.6 733 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    Warren 0.5 600 AM 1/08 Emergency Manager
    East Brimfield Lake 0.5 700 AM 1/08 Co-Op Observer
    3 SW Auburn 0.3 800 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    2 NW Woonsocket 0.2 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    2 N Northborough 0.1 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    2 ESE Leicester 0.1 606 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS

    RHODE ISLAND

    …Bristol County…
    Barrington 1.5 623 AM 1/08 Ham Radio
    Warren 1.4 624 AM 1/08 Ham Radio
    Bristol 1.3 515 AM 1/08 Ham Radio
    1 WNW Barrington 0.6 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS

    …Kent County…
    Coventry 2 1.0 700 AM 1/08 Co-Op Observer
    Coventry 1.0 700 AM 1/08 Co-Op Observer
    Warwick 1.0 911 AM 1/08 NONE
    3 NNE Warwick 0.8 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    2 WNW West Warwick 0.6 800 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    TF Green AP 0.6 659 AM 1/08 Airport
    4 SSW Warwick 0.5 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    2 ESE East Greenwich 0.5 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS

    …Newport County…
    4 SSE Tiverton 3.0 1145 PM 1/07 CoCoRaHS
    Little Compton 2.5 818 AM 1/08 Trained Spotter
    2 S Portsmouth 1.7 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    1 SSW Tiverton 1.5 605 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    2 NW Little Compton 1.5 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    1 E Little Compton 1.5 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS

    …Providence County…
    1 E North Providence 0.8 617 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    Scituate 0.6 615 AM 1/08 Media
    1 SSE Harrisville 0.5 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    4 ENE Cranston 0.5 809 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    1 NNW Greenville 0.3 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    1 S North Smithfield 0.3 600 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    1 SE North Smithfiel 0.2 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    3 NE Cumberland Hill 0.1 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS

    …Washington County…
    Richmond 1.6 808 AM 1/08 Ham Radio
    3 WSW North Kingstow 1.0 800 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    1 ENE Wakefield 1.0 800 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    2 SW Kingston 0.7 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    8 NNE Kingston 0.7 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    5 NNE Richmond 0.5 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    3 WSW Charlestown 0.3 800 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    6 W Kingston 0.2 800 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS
    3 E Westerly 0.2 700 AM 1/08 CoCoRaHS

  34. Spotter Reports
    National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
    740 PM EST Wed Jan 08 2020

    The following are unofficial observations taken during the past 15
    hours for the storm that has been affecting our region. Appreciation
    is extended to highway departments, cooperative observers, Skywarn
    spotters and media for these reports. This summary also is available
    on our home page at weather.gov/boston

    ***********************PEAK WIND GUST***********************

    LOCATION MAX WIND TIME/DATE COMMENTS
    GUST OF
    MPH MEASUREMENT

    CONNECTICUT

    …Hartford County…
    Bradley AP 44 542 PM 1/08 ASOS
    1 ESE Farmington 33 609 PM 1/08 AWOS
    Hartford-Brainard AP 32 347 PM 1/08 ASOS

    …Windham County…
    Willimantic AP 41 650 PM 1/08 ASOS
    1 NW Danielson 32 439 PM 1/08 AWOS
    Scotland 31 701 PM 1/08 CWOP

    MASSACHUSETTS

    …Barnstable County…
    Otis AFB 52 450 PM 1/08 AWOS
    Woods Hole 46 442 PM 1/08 Ham Radio
    Provincetown AP 43 500 PM 1/08 AWOS
    Yarmouth 37 504 PM 1/08 CWOP
    Wellfleet 32 700 PM 1/08 CWOP
    West Falmouth 31 1050 AM 1/08 CWOP

    …Bristol County…
    Fairhaven 47 642 PM 1/08 Ham Radio
    Taunton 35 656 PM 1/08 CWOP
    Taunton AP 33 258 PM 1/08 ASOS
    New Bedford AP 31 604 PM 1/08 ASOS

    …Dukes County…
    Edgartown 47 454 PM 1/08 Ham Radio
    Marthas Vineyard AP 37 448 PM 1/08 ASOS

    …Essex County…
    Gloucester 39 416 PM 1/08 CWOP
    Rockport 37 703 PM 1/08 CWOP
    Beverly AP 35 610 PM 1/08 ASOS
    Lynn 32 400 PM 1/08 CWOP
    Lawrence AP 32 605 PM 1/08 ASOS
    Newburyport 32 615 PM 1/08 CWOP
    Bradford 31 615 PM 1/08 CWOP

    …Franklin County…
    Orange AP 39 340 PM 1/08 ASOS

    …Hampden County…
    Westover AFB 43 547 PM 1/08 AWOS
    Westfield-Barnes AP 43 350 PM 1/08 ASOS
    Westfield 37 446 PM 1/08 CWOP

    …Hampshire County…
    Amherst 31 515 PM 1/08 CWOP

    …Middlesex County…
    Bedford AP 37 330 PM 1/08 ASOS
    Watertown 32 347 PM 1/08 CWOP
    Medford 31 652 PM 1/08 CWOP
    Pepperell 31 639 PM 1/08 CWOP

    …Nantucket County…
    Nantucket 50 524 PM 1/08 Ham Radio
    Siasconset 44 545 PM 1/08 CWOP
    Nantucket AP 40 533 PM 1/08 ASOS

    …Norfolk County…
    Milton 47 537 PM 1/08 CWOP
    Wrentham 47 328 PM 1/08 CWOP
    Norwood AP 37 344 PM 1/08 ASOS

    …Plymouth County…
    Wareham 41 617 PM 1/08 CWOP
    Plymouth AP 38 421 PM 1/08 ASOS
    Marshfield AP 31 555 PM 1/08 AWOS

    …Suffolk County…
    Logan AP 40 257 PM 1/08 ASOS
    Winthrop 33 610 PM 1/08 CWOP
    Boston 32 631 PM 1/08 CWOP

    …Worcester County…
    Fitchburg AP 51 249 PM 1/08 ASOS
    Mendon 47 313 PM 1/08 CWOP
    Worcester AP 41 630 PM 1/08 ASOS
    Sutton 39 300 PM 1/08 CWOP
    Webster 34 630 PM 1/08 CWOP
    Fitchburg 31 417 PM 1/08 CWOP

    RHODE ISLAND

    …Kent County…
    TF Green AP 36 551 PM 1/08 ASOS

    …Newport County…
    Newport AP 36 622 PM 1/08 ASOS
    Middletown 34 603 PM 1/08 CWOP

    …Providence County…
    1 SE Providence 45 406 PM 1/08 HADS
    Smithfield-Lincoln A 38 648 PM 1/08 AWOS
    Cumberland 37 700 PM 1/08 CWOP
    Glendale 32 315 PM 1/08 CWOP

    …Washington County…
    Charlestown 48 416 PM 1/08 CWOP
    Quonset AP 40 335 PM 1/08 AWOS
    Block Island AP 39 432 PM 1/08 AWOS
    Narragansett 33 605 PM 1/08 CWOP

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