Thursday June 18 2020 Forecast

50 Comments

7:20AM

DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 18-22)

No big changes & one minor adjustment to today’s update. Continuing to see the break-down of what was a blocking pattern, and this process will continue to influence the sensible weather here where we all live, first in the form of a continued warm up and gradual increase in humidity the next three days. We’ll reach “peak” temperature both Friday & Saturday, when some areas will reach or exceed 90. This is not going to be an intense spell of heat with oppressive humidity, but hot and humid enough to be quite noticed, especially since our overall pattern has been on the cooler side. The minor adjustment made involves Sunday’s forecast, which I already had cooler due to a general shift in wind direction as low pressure passes southeast of the region, and that remains today, but I am going to add the risk of a pop up shower favoring southern areas as I think there could be just enough moisture around for that. By Monday, we’re back to a summery southwesterly wind flow, high humidity, and a risk of a shower or storm for all locations as a weak cold front starts to approach the region from the west.

TODAY: Mostly sunny. More humid. Highs 75-82 coast, 83-90 inland. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear evening. Low clouds forming in some areas overnight. Humid. Lows 60-67. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Low clouds favoring the South Coast but areas further north also early in the day, then mostly sunny. Humid. Highs 78-85 coast, 85-92 inland. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Areas of low clouds and patchy fog. Humid. Lows 62-69. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Humid. Highs 78-85 coast, 85-92 inland. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Humid. Lows 63-70. Wind S under 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy South Coast with a risk of rain showers. Partly sunny elsewhere. Humid. Highs 72-79 coast, 79-84 inland. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Humid. Lows 65-72. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated showers and thunderstorms mainly late in the day. Humid. Highs 77-82 South Coast, 83-88 elsewhere. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 23-27)

A front from the west slogs its way across the region then sits in the vicinity June 23-26. Expect isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms June 23 & 25 while impulses of low pressure may bring more general shower activity June 24 & 26, based on current expecting timing. A push of drier air may arrive at the end of the period courtesy high pressure from Canada.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 28 – JULY 2)

A zonal (west to east) flow is expected with variable but overall seasonably warm weather but limit opportunities for any shower activity as the overall pattern continues dry.

50 thoughts on “Thursday June 18 2020 Forecast”

  1. Good morning and thank you TK.

    I see you are making minor adjustments to this format, specifically with the color scheme. Personally, I liked the blue
    or the magenta like color.

  3. Looks like a great day for Hampton tomorrow as I will be up there by 9:30 . The vacation condo fell through due to covid so looking at a 2 bedroom cottage tomorrow & hopefully drop a deposit on it if we like it

    2. That’s a shame. We won’t be going to Humarock sadly.

      Please wish Mrs SSK a happy birthday !!!!

  8. Happy Birthday, Vicki! Please enjoy a special day today!

    Thanks, TK…

    Today is the “last” day of school today. I am finishing my 37th year. I turned in my grades last night. How about you, Tom? I think all schools in the state are done today. Certainly the most surreal school year in history!

    1. We finished yesterday. For our middle school, we did a 2 hr caravan. The teachers gathered on sides of the building by grade and the kids and their families could drive by all 3 grades. We gave the students and the parents a big thank you and in nearly all cases, they did the same to us. It was nice.

      In my 17 years, as you said Captain, strange, surreal last 3 months of the year.

      Hope it’s a nice last day for you Captain !

  9. Happy birthday vicki I hope you have a wonderful fantastic day today and heck the rest of the year!

  10. https://weather.gc.ca/warnings/report_e.html?nb2#1502004371542437569202006160506ww1474cwhx

    This is one example of a heat warning for the next 3 days in northern New Brunswick.

    Humidex, as you probably can tell, is Canada’s year index. 40c is 104F, so you get the idea. Nighttime lows of 21C to 24C is 70F to 76F. Can’t imagine A/C is as widespread up there.

    Might add Siberia way, way above average as well. Interestingly so far, highest heat this spring has been at latitudes 45 to 65 north, while upper lows at much lower latitudes have kept those locations much cooler than average.

  11. 81 as we reach the noon hour.

    Here’s my extremely eclectic list of concerts that I have been to:
    (I won’t make you guess which one that I haven’t been to)

    In no particular order:
    Harry Belafonte and Ladysmith Black Mambazo
    Harry Chapin
    Paul Simon
    The Electric Light Orchestra
    Bob Dylan
    Hall and Oates
    Men Without Hats (“The Safety Dance”)
    Barry Manilow (my first date with Mrs. Fantastic)
    Anne Murray
    Benny Goodman
    The Preservation Hall Jazz Band
    Neil Diamond
    U-2 (three times)
    Elton John (20 times!)

    2. Me thinks you may just like Sir Elton John.
      Did you see the movie, Rocket Man? I thought that it was very well done.

    1. Hahahaha. Nope Blake Shelton ;). As a teen when the Beatles came to be, I thought it was so cool Paul’s birthday and mine are the same.

  13. Nice cooling sea breeze at Logan. Only 79 there while it is in
    the low 90s across much of N. Main, NB and parts of Quebec.
    Go Figure

  16. Thank you EVERYONE for your birthday wishes and for making my day extra special

    We need a heart emoji

      1. This is the best. I streamed it to my system but also to kids upstairs and turned it wayyyy up.

        Thank you. Has me dancing and Smiling

  18. You’ll notice the temperatures in my forecast are a little warmer than TK’s. He and I are usually fairly close, but a line in the NWS Forecast discussion caught my attention:

    “A factor that could see temperatures overperform is the increasingly dry conditions with a lack of widespread measurable rain.”

    I should have thought of that originally, they’re right. The models don’t always catch on to things like that quickly, and thus it may end up warmer than the models are showing, hence my warmer forecast. That could play a big role in the Sunday/Monday forecast if we don’t end up with as much cloudcover and/or showers, which is the way I leaned with my forecast.

  21. The satellite image from this morning was neat to look it, thanks SAK. I have to say it started off quite overcast this morning around my area, although it didn’t do much to keep the temps down, they rebounded quickly once it burnt off.

  25. The “upside down” is still in place today. The block in the atmosphere, not fully broken down, allows the heat to be more prominent to the north, hence the lower to middle 90s in northern Maine & adjacent Canada, while the ocean-influenced Nantucket is 62. This is why one should never make the assumption that it’s “colder north, warmer south” all the time. It’s dependent on region / geography & weather pattern / synoptic set-up, both regional and local.

    While we don’t always see that big a spread north to south, with north being the hottest, it does happen, as we see today.

  27. Logan, after being in the 70s to lower 80s most of the day, jumped to 87 during the 5PM hour when the wind shifted to SW.

    1. Thank you Mark. I really did ….all kids and grandkids were here this evening. Can’t hug them but sure was happy to see them

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