Wednesday June 16 2021 Forecast (7:41AM)

42 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 16-20)

Our weather will be dominated by a west-to-east flow in upper levels, or a zonal flow, as we head down spring’s home stretch to the summer solstice, which occurs late evening of June 20. High pressure will bring fair and seasonable weather today and Thursday, with some pop up clouds each day as the sun heats the air which rises into lingering colder air aloft. Then we warm up both surface and aloft on Friday as high pressure slides south of New England to off the East Coast. Our only risk of unsettled weather during this 5-day period comes on Saturday as a warm front sneaks in with maybe a pre-dawn or early morning shower, then a cold front approaches with a shower and thunderstorm threat during the afternoon hours. High pressure moves toward the region via the Great Lakes bringing fair and pleasant weather back to the region for Sunday.

TODAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 74-81, but turning cooler some coastal areas. Dew point near 50. Wind NW up to 10 MPH but possible coastal sea breezes.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 52-59. Dew point upper 40s. Wind NW to variable under 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 75-82, coolest coastal areas. Dew point near 50. Wind variable to W up to 10 MPH but coastal sea breezes possible.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 55-62. Dew point lower 50s. Wind variable to S up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 80-87, cooler South Coast. Dew point middle 50s. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear evening. Increasing clouds overnight with a risk of a passing shower near dawn. Areas of ground fog interior lower elevations. Lows 60-67. Dew point near 60. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs 81-88. Dew point middle to upper 60s. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 60-67. Dew point falling to 50s. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 78-85. Dew point in 50s. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 21-25)

A west to east flow pattern will continue. Look for a low pressure area bringing a warm front toward the region later June 21 with clouds and possible showers, and a cold front to bring showers and thunderstorms June 22. Mostly fair weather is expected thereafter but may have to watch for one wave of low pressure with possible showers about June 24.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 26-30)

Overall west-to-east flow pattern is expected to continue but slowly weaken with a northward lifting of the jet stream. This is a warm pattern with limited opportunities for showers and thunderstorms.

42 thoughts on “Wednesday June 16 2021 Forecast (7:41AM)”

  1. Good morning and thank you TK.

    Father’s Day is looking mighty fine. Let’s hope it stays that way.

    1. Having been in Las Vegas in the Summer, I can attest to that!
      I didn’t experience 115, but it was 108 one day and that was BRUTAL enough!!!

      1. We were in Spokane,WA, late 90s or early 2000s and it was 114 at night. Nasty stuff that and no AC

      1. Vicki I ended up getting a new tv which is being delivered today. The guy from optimum came and said the bolt hit the wire underground and told me you are so lucky the only thing you loss is your tv as this could of have been so much worse.

        1. Oh mu. I have two friends who had their TVs blow out into their living rooms. This was years ago and perhaps the nee TVs won’t do that but you sure were lucky. My kids laugh at me when I say to turn the TVs off during a storm. If you don’t mind, I will tell them about this. My son in law says out house is grounded so this can’t happen. I just don’t think it is worth the chance.

          And anyway….there is nothing on TV that is as fun as watching a thunder storm 🙂 🙂 🙂

          2. Years ago when we were first married, we had a vicious thunder storm and the lightening hit the down spout on
            the back of the house. Some sort of electrical surge
            took out the color generator of the picture tube of
            of tv. The TV still worked, but no color anymore. It almost would have been cheaper to get a new TV, but we were able to get it repaired.

            1. Wow.

              Last year it did blow out the filter motor to the pool here last year….above ground intex pool. Nothing fancy but it was end of season and hard to find a new filter motor

    1. Wow. We had the tail of one but clouds that were spectacular. I’ll post some pics in a bit. I sure do love rainbows. Awesome photo,JPD

  9. In the will keep an eye on it category a quick peak at the latest SREF for Saturday and it is indicating a low tornado risk for areas around Worcester west.
    This from the morning discussion from NWS Albany
    A lot could change between now and Saturday but if all the
    instability, shear, forcing and upper dynamics line up, there could
    be a considerable severe weather event somewhere in the northeastern U.S. Saturday.

  10. In my forecasts at work, I’ve been highlighting the past few nights the potential in the extended forecast that the system next Tuesday could produce heavy rain. The Euro especially tries to take the remnants of the tropical expected to hit the Gulf this weekend, and have them interact with the system approaching from the Great Lakes. The ICON is similar, and the Canadian is heading down that path (but not there yet). The GFS keeps the systems a pretty decent ways apart.

    Something to keep an eye on over the next several days.

  14. A bit perplexed..

    NWS discussions have been consistent (as have mine) on diurnal cloud development today and tomorrow but both zone and point forecasts as worded as “sunny” both days. Not matching. Oversight for 2 days running? Not sure…

    1. They don’t need to advertise products during these. The practice should be halted immediately.

  17. Marshfield is your cool spot late this afternoon with a temperature, according to their latest ob, of -40. Gee that’s the same in both F & C! 😉

    1. I can only say very interesting. He makes it clear he is speculating but also enjoyed seeing JRs reply. Love seeing these two friends discuss

    2. Pure speculation, but good discussion ‘tween them. I share the concern, but we’ll see how it unfolds.

Comments are closed.