Monday March 11 2024 Forecast (7:38AM)

61 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 11-15)

March has a windy reputation here, and today will be a good example of that as we have a blustery Monday between a large low pressure area in eastern Canada and high pressure over the southeastern US. There have been a few light snow showers around overnight and a couple more flurries of snow or sprinkles of rain can occur for a while today, but any of those will be minor, brief, and inconsequential, and clouds should give way to more sun with time. The effects of the gradient between low and high pressure will ease but still be with us somewhat during Tuesday day, a sunnier and less windy day. A warm front approaches the region Wednesday with sun giving way to clouds, and maybe a passing area or two of very light to light rain. This will lead mild air into the region Thursday which should feature a sun/cloud mix. A cold front will approach the region Thursday night into Friday, and the timing of this front will determine how mild we get (or don’t get) on Friday. There’s a little uncertainty with this part of the forecast. Either way, Friday does look like a rather cloudy and wet day.

TODAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. A brief light shower of rain and/or snow possible, favoring southern NH and eastern MA through midday. Highs 38-45. Wind NW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 28-35. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy to mostly sunny. Highs 47-54. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 28-35. Diminishing NW wind.

WEDNESDAY: Sun followed by clouds. Highs 48-55, coolest coast. Wind variable up to 10 MPH becoming SE.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of light rain. Lows 40-47. Wind SE up to 10 MPH shifting to SW.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 55-62, coolest South Coast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Lows 42-49. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Cloudy. Rain showers likely. Highs 50-57 – may occur early followed by a cool-down. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to N.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 16-20)

Unsettled pattern with periods of precipitation favoring rain to start, may favor mix/frozen later on as we experience a trend toward colder weather. Vernal equinox occurs at 11:06 p.m. EDT March 19.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 21-25)

Overall pattern looks chilly and active with 1 or 2 opportunities for unsettled weather, which may include frozen precipitation.

61 thoughts on “Monday March 11 2024 Forecast (7:38AM)”

  8. FWIW,
    The 0Z Euro last night “LOST” the snow storm it had
    on the 12Z run. Now, there’s a surprise! NOT!

    Let’s see IF it’s back on the 12Z run.

    1. Setup actually looks good on both the Euro and GFS around 3/18-3/20 regardless of run to run details. That is a a definite watch period.

      1. Of course it is. I think I may have posted the 20th before it appeared anywhere. Not gut but law of averages. The surgery I’m having is linked to a promotion that day only. If I miss it, I’m out a couple thousand dollars.

  12. Thanks TK. We had a couple bursts of heavier snow here in Coventry overnight and picked up a half inch to inch of snow across the area. Got down to 27 and the ground is completely covered. Untreated surfaces were quite icy this morning and I passed a car spinning his wheels trying to start up at a stop sign on my way to school.

    1. We “may” have had a flurry or 2 here, but only got down
      to 34 and there was NOTHING on the ground here this morning. 🙂

  13. As Tom surmised, the Green Mtns in VT have really cashed in on this storm. Snow totals so far (and it is still snowing):

    Stratton 15”
    Jay Peak 18”
    Killington 19”
    Sugarbush 19”
    Gore Mtn (NY) 20”

  14. Thanks, TK!

    We had powdery snow on the cars this morning.
    33 degrees when I left for school at 6:30.

  18. Thank you, TK…..and it certainly is a blustery day

    “ Hum dum dum ditty dum
    Hum dum dum
    Oh, the wind is lashing lustily
    And the trees are thrashing thrustily
    And the leaves are rustling gustily
    So it’s rather safe to say

    That it seems that it may turn out to be
    It feels that it will undoubtedly
    It looks like a rather blustery day, today
    It seems that it may turn out to be
    Feels that it will undoubtedly
    Looks like a rather blustery day, today”

  19. Just got a wind gust of 39.6. I don’t have a great place to sit thr kestrel so suspect the gusts are a bit higher

      1. Wow. I’m tempted to put the kestrel tripod in the roof of my car for a better reading but am afraid it will blow off. I need to get a full-size tripod

  24. Quite windy on my long run today. This is a prototypical March day in Boston: Blustery and cool. Believe it or not, I felt cold during the first half mile of my jog, especially my hands. I see more white caps on the Charles in March than any other month. Today the waves were fairly impressive for a river. What impressed me more were all the sailboats. While it’s nice to have a stiff breeze, it can’t be easy to steer. Plus you’re a couple of feet from cold water that splashes into the boat every other second.

  25. Updated snow totals from VT and still snowing:

    Killington 27″
    Jay Peak 24″
    Mad River 21-29″

  26. 12z GFS, CMC, and Euro all continuing to show an interesting setup in the 3/18-3/20 period. Nothing “verbatim” showing up with respect to a winter storm for SNE but they are all oh so close to something bigger.

      1. Good enough for 9 days out 🙂 If it were showing a blizzard at this lead time, it probably wouldnt happen in the end. Plenty of time for things to better align.

      1. My granddaughter just finished this book and is looking for more like it. The story fascinated her as well as the way of life. She started little house on the prairie.

        JJ I will send this to her. Thank you.

        JPD this is the book my granddaughter read. I’m going to send your link to her too

        https://ibb.co/qnfskr4

            1. Wellll. I’m used to heading to sleep around 12:30…. . I went to sleep at 2:00 and 1:30 (new time) the last two nights and was up solving world problems in my head and listening to wind for a few hours around 5 am, respectively, each night.

    1. I think the GFS has the wrong evolution depicted. I haven’t liked this model for about 6 straight runs now. That pattern evolution takes longer.

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