Thursday March 14 2024 Forecast (7:20AM)

88 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 14-18)

Weak high pressure maintains control of our weather today. We’ll see high temperatures climb into the 60s in many areas, but with light wind, this sets up perfect conditions for a cooler sea breeze at the coast, where high temps will be held in the upper 40s and 50s. A cold front will sink southward through the region tonight, and a wave of low pressure will move eastward along it. This combination will produce a couple rounds of rain showers overnight and early Friday morning, but the bulk of the rainfall looks as if it will pass north of the WHW forecast area. Behind the low pressure wave, a northeasterly air flow will keep Friday daytime cloudy and much cooler. Saturday’s weather will be dry and on the cool side with a weak bubble of high pressure moving into the Northeast. Quickly following that up will be another low pressure area passing to our north later Sunday. That will turn out to be a milder day with a southerly air flow (though this keeps the South Coast cooler) and an approaching cold front will produce afternoon and/or evening rain showers. This will be replaced by chilly, breezy weather with mainly dry conditions – only a chance of a passing sprinkle or snow flurry, on Monday behind the cold front.

TODAY: Partly sunny. Highs 55-62 coast, 63-70 inland. Wind SW to SE up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy evening. Mostly cloudy with passing rain showers overnight. Lows 42-49. Wind shifting to N up to 10 MPH, a few higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Cloudy. Rain showers early morning. Patchy drizzle and isolated rain showers thereafter. Temperatures steady 42-49, may even fall slowly during the afternoon. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 35-42. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 46-53. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Areas of fog mainly South Coast late. Lows 35-42 evening, rising slowly overnight. Wind variable up to 10 MPH, then S increasing to 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely during the afternoon or evening. Highs 48-55 South Coast, 55-62 elsewhere. Wind S to SW 10-20 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 26-33. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly sunny. A passing brief rain or snow shower possible. Highs 38-45. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 19-23)

High pressure brings dry weather with below to near normal temperatures during the middle of next week to welcome spring (vernal equinox 11:06 p.m. March 19). Unsettled weather may arrive before next week is over.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 24-28)

A colder pattern with high pressure to the north and a series of low pressure areas passing nearby or just to the south, bringing the chance of unsettled weather which may include some frozen precipitation late month.

88 thoughts on “Thursday March 14 2024 Forecast (7:20AM)”

          1. Wow! I think I would absolutely LOVE that!!!!!

            Closed I have come is a Chess Pie.

            https://www.google.com/search?q=Chess+pie&client=firefox-b-1-d&sca_esv=1e612c396070fea5&tbm=isch&source=iu&ictx=1&vet=1&fir=CxvanXEBuIMZBM%252CCS6_meO18YSlhM%252C_%253BS5nNaIi8tca6iM%252CBYfItNJgjISS1M%252C_%253BznHy9Kfeg2MZOM%252Cs645Z3FDABf6nM%252C_%253Bb9v9ildUOXf9cM%252CrKufFxiOGmMwUM%252C_%253Bn1g8hqrvuLqwiM%252C95pwQ_j2yvi01M%252C_%253BRLUzuNxYvzQVYM%252CGjecLydFIOGAvM%252C_%253BgTtyfW0HggMdQM%252CEvRYol9qeAZsOM%252C_%253BgCtImermU_xwqM%252CXv5hKw74vTeNGM%252C_&usg=AI4_-kSuNiyRAXCgLwMupW4-u-H21rEZcA&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwjtj4D-_vOEAxVYKFkFHcHDD9AQ_h16BAhxEAE#imgrc=b9v9ildUOXf9cM

  3. Good morning and thank you TK.
    36 this morning.
    We’ll see if the sea breeze has as much influence here today.
    I am expecting 56 or 57 here. Let’s see how far off I am. I missed by 1 degree yrsterday.

  5. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=qpf_acc-imp&rh=2024031400&fh=90&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=qpf_acc-imp&rh=2024031400&fh=90&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=icon&p=qpf_acc-imp&rh=2024031400&fh=90&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ukmet&p=qpf_acc-imp&rh=2024031400&fh=90&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=qpf_acc-imp&rh=2024031400&fh=90&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    Projected precip thru Sunday afternoon for Friday and Sunday systems. Seems there is concensus.

    1. Nice.

      We tell the 7th grade students they have to know its an approximation and not exactly Pi, but thank goodness for 22/7.

      Especially when the diameter and/or radius squared is divisible by 7 when calculating circumference or area of a circle.

      2. My favorite pie is: lemon meringue pie

        https://www.google.com/search?q=lemon+meringue+pie&client=firefox-b-1-d&sca_esv=3cd05f168dae64b7&tbm=isch&source=iu&ictx=1&vet=1&fir=7h-M90nsTG1maM%252Co-1cK3mvVjnRUM%252C%252Fm%252F022lvh%253BLMSkAZALkWeIqM%252CEwaGzw2qJjC_UM%252C_%253B_CVZzEB-s4hXHM%252C_STvxcotErHLfM%252C_%253BZrwJ_s8mzAFtZM%252CT_wWiaAp1ZYtyM%252C_%253ByX3bpFCAKg9pVM%252CBMsFqy_6ZalKMM%252C_&usg=AI4_-kSeMxO-WMKAgGh0wuhY14YlG2QBLQ&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwjEoomp5fOEAxXYEFkFHWTnARwQ_B16BAhGEAE#imgrc=7h-M90nsTG1maM

  7. I had a facebook friend post that there was a PDS (particularly dangerous situation) last night (late evening) near Volland, Kansas.

    All I know is the radar had a most vicious looking hook signature and the couplet were the intense colors and tightly wrapped.

  11. Thanks, TK!

    The ratio of the circumference to the diameter of a Jack O’Lantern is pumpkin pi!

  14. TK I mentioned on your FB post for starlink that not only had I not seen it, but I heard a noise that had me run back into the house. I suspect this is the guy I heard. Coywolf (eastern coyote) and very close to the house too

    https://ibb.co/3psB8wL

      1. I knew we had one as you saw in the FB video of him howling. I am not sure I’ve moved that fast in a long time. I’m glad I didn’t know that he got that close to the house. I might have gone thru the screen

  15. Made it all the way up to 51 here so far. 46 at the airport.
    Will keep watching. 🙂

    I’d like to make 60, but not sure that will be possible with the
    sea breeze. So far, it it very light at 7 mph. That should not penetrate here, however, as the sun heats things up, that
    is likely to increase. We shall see.

  18. We’re up to 54 here in JP. It’s trying hard, that’s for sure. 🙂

    46 at the Airport, about 5-6 miles from here. 🙂

  21. Good part of Oklahoma already under a tornado watch and a large part of Indiana a severe thunderstorm watch.

    I think the SPC has a 10% tornado contour out today for some part of the US

  22. Thanks TK for the pi video! 🙂

    Did everyone notice that the video is 3:14 long? 😉

    Tom, I forgot that pi is also 22/7 as well. Yes I remember that from my school days. 🙂

    2. pi = 3.14159…

      As I mentioned in the previous blog, that’s as far as my teachers/professors dared to carry it out for us. Just as well as there are enough things to memorize in school as there is. 🙂

  24. We made it to 54 here before falling back to 53.
    I honestly thought that it would make it to 56 or 57 here today.
    Unless the sea breeze backs off or the wind shifts later, NOT
    going to happen.

    Still a BEAUTIFUL DAY!!!!!!

      1. Thank you. It’s a download from my ring. What surprised me us there is a second ring camera on the chair that didn’t pick up toe critter but I can see its light go on.

  27. Another nice spring day.

    Sparrows, mourning doves, starlings, mockingbirds and robins have all been very outside my building squawking about the mild winter (heard several of them mention Hunga Tonga), hiring nesting contractors, and some appeared to be on their way to fertility clinics set up in the Public Garden by some wise owls.

  28. 53 here. 46 at the airport.

    Meanwhile 63 at Norwood
    64 at Worcester and 66 at North Adams.

    Oh well, at least it’s NOT raining!!!!!

    2. I have no memory of it but those were the days when it would snow at least on occasion around here. I just don’t know what will become of our winters for the foreseeable future. Dreaming of a white Christmas in December will probably be just as futile as dreaming of a white Independence Day.

      1. Usually the snowdrops are just about if not completely done by now with the crocuses taking over. This is why I believe the plant world feels something (snow) is up. We will see. ❄️ 🙂

        1. Maybe. I think the poor plant world is very confused. We are three to four weeks esrlier than 80s/90s. What worries me is trees are budding and if we get a wet storm, that may not be good. Sap typically started to run mid March but is now running mid February.

  34. 6PM seabreeze still going…

    45 Boston. 63 Fitchburg.

    Last night it was very interesting to watch Fitchburg fall rapidly while Boston only edged down a couple of degrees so a big temperature contrast changed to them being the same temperature in just a matter of hours. That won’t happen quite as quickly this evening because clouds are moving in and the wind should shift around so that Boston might even come up a couple degrees while Fitchburg falls a little more modestly than they did last night.

  36. Might have a sharp north to south temp contrast and battle zone in the late medium range (7-10 days) from now.

    Eastern Canada (Quebec city) could be really cold for one of few times this winter.

    12z gfs and euro have different outcomes for how precip would evolve near this sharp temp contrast around days 8-10.

    I can buy the sharp temp contrast evolving with storminess near it.

    I just don’t know if we end up on the colder or warmer side from this far out.

    I do think this is something to watch the next 3-5 days as it eventually comes into the short term.

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